Jebman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Well we were supposed to have a little light rain tonight, you know, a couple hundredths of an inch of rain overnight. Then rain/snow mix during the day Wednesday. Then snow at night. It's 32.4 degrees with moderate snow, some large flakes pounding down. Our little 'light rain event' is whitening up the ROADS here as well as all sidewalks, car tops and shrub tops. The top of my plastic trash can out back is collecting 'white rain' nicely now. Great forecast, NWS, Right on the Money lol. Hell what do I know? I'm just a weenie huh Down to 31 degrees now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
insanegrenade Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Well we were supposed to have a little light rain tonight, you know, a couple hundredths of an inch of rain overnight. Then rain/snow mix during the day Wednesday. Then snow at night. It's 32.4 degrees with moderate snow, some large flakes pounding down. Our little 'light rain event' is whitening up the ROADS here as well as all sidewalks, car tops and shrub tops. The top of my plastic trash can out back is collecting 'white rain' nicely now. Great forecast, NWS, Right on the Money lol. Hell what do I know? I'm just a weenie huh Down to 31 degrees now. So much for the rain...white rain more like it. pretty big flakes coming down heavy now here in capitol heights,md/largo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 257 am with continued moderate snow. All roads are white. Temp is 31 dewpoint 28. I have half an inch of snow. Some surfaces have three quarters of an inch of wet snow. That high yesterday of 54 degrees didn't do NOTHIN'. Radar shows plenty of moisture headed north over top my backyard as isentropic upglide continues. There are yellow elements headed for my position now not just east of DCA like earlier. This is a major storm. It is also starting WAAAAAAAAAAY ahead of schedule. Look out Mid Atl becuase I think we are gonna get destroyed by this snowstorm. It will probably end up staying in the upper 20s all day today with all snow, all day. Then the comma head cometh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 06Z NAM corrected itself off its rocker and looks better compared to the 0Z. Matches up better with current obs and shows better convective potential during the later daytime/evening hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Uhhhhh...... Overnight: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 28. North wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Wednesday: Snow before noon, then rain and snow between noon and 3pm, then snow after 3pm. High near 34. North wind between 7 and 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Wednesday Night: Snow, mainly before midnight. Low around 24. North wind between 8 and 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. This is from the 1:45 update. P.S. still no warning......and already a light dusting on all surfaces. Going to be a disastrous morning and afternoon rush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 257 am with continued moderate snow. All roads are white. Temp is 31 dewpoint 28. I have half an inch of snow. Some surfaces have three quarters of an inch of wet snow. That high yesterday of 54 degrees didn't do NOTHIN'. Radar shows plenty of moisture headed north over top my backyard as isentropic upglide continues. There are yellow elements headed for my position now not just east of DCA like earlier. This is a major storm. It is also starting WAAAAAAAAAAY ahead of schedule. Look out Mid Atl becuase I think we are gonna get destroyed by this snowstorm. It will probably end up staying in the upper 20s all day today with all snow, all day. Then the comma head cometh. Agreed on temps. I have no idea where some of these TV news stations are coming up with low/mid 40s for highs during the day today. I hope the public is ready for the onslaught of convective snow during the rush-hour. It looks to hit right at 4/5-8 PM with the nastiest stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
insanegrenade Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Is there a logical explanation to why the folks at the NWS or even the local mets are claiming this event was going to start off as rain and still is AFTER a recent update from NWS. Clearly, it's not raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
waldo5252 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Hilarious. Weather.com says like rain in Calvert county right now and it's snowing like nuts!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Latest 06Z NAM suggest west side of DC burbs and towards Leesburg will stay all snow through the event with perhaps a quick change to sleet/drizzle although DC proper would likely changeover to rain later in the morning. Edit: 0Z NAM suggested the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 This Watch/Warning map has lack of communication written all over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 317am 31 degrees with 29 dews and light snow. Think I may have detected a little light sleet. Snow is MUCH lighter now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 The warnings will come out within the hour. Please relax, everyone. Yes, it's delayed, but it's coming, so bitching about it between now and their overnight updates is stupid. AFTER it's issued, we can fuss about the numbers or who doesn't get included. Also, the observations are supposed to go in the observation thread. No need to post them twice, we can read it in the obs thread. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I just cannot fathom the reasoning for no warning. It is obviously colder than they or the models expected....and many areas far south are seeing predominantly snow. Even their own forcasts now have 6-12 up here.....yet.....no warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowmanChief Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Moderate snow in Arlington. Half an inch so far. everything is white, including roads! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 This isn't the OBS thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I just cannot fathom the reasoning for no warning. It is obviously colder than they or the models expected....and many areas far south are seeing predominantly snow. Even their own forcasts now have 6-12 up here.....yet.....no warning. They did not have enough confidence at their 9pm update. They don't update every hour, they update 4-6 times a day. Their next update is between 3 and 4am... The reasoning was: AREAS EAST OF THE BLUERIDGE REMAIN IN A WINTER STORM WATCH AS CONFIDENCE IN WARNINGCRITERIA IS A LITTLE LOWER. THIS IS LARGELY DUE TO THE LOCATION OFTHE RAIN/SNOW LINE...WHICH WILL ULTIMATELY DETERMINE SNOWFALLACCUMULATIONS. THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR 5 OR MORE INCHESWITHIN THE WATCH AREA AS WELL...BUT WE JUST DONT HAVE THECONFIDENCE TO UPGRADE TO A WARNING RIGHT NOW. HOPEFULLY 00ZGUIDANCE WILL OFFER INCREASED CONFIDENCE WHERE THE RAIN/SNOW LINE WILL SET UP AND THEN HEADLINE ADJUSTMENTS CAN BE MADE OVERNIGHT. The 00z guidance came in, it was a hit... they have now analyzed it, and the warnings will come out shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 ^the r/s line was not a factor in limiting below warning criteria for the counties/areas originally in the watch (N. Bmore, Carroll, Frederick, MoCo, etc). Should have been out at 9pm.....it was clear then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 328am 31 degrees with 30 degree dewpoint and light to moderate snow with huge pounding flakes at times. Think I am also getting some sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Jeb, post in the OBS thread that is pinned....this is model discussion, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
insanegrenade Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Temps here in Largo/Capitol heights are at 26.9...have dropped rapidly withtin the hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Jeb, post in the OBS thread that is pinned....this is model discussion, etc. Gotcha - I forgot about the obs thread - Will stick to that topic for obs from now on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Temps here in Largo/Capitol heights are at 26.9...have dropped rapidly withtin the hour. There's no way. And post in the obs thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
insanegrenade Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 There's no way. And post in the obs thread Sorry, didn't see the obs thread. and yes way. current temp is at 26.9. Other folks are also noticing temps go down with the snow coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Sorry, didn't see the obs thread. and yes way. current temp is at 26.9. Other folks are also noticing temps go down with the snow coming Nobody anywhere around is below 30, much less 27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I am still in the high 31's even up here, but we haven't had the heavier snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
insanegrenade Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Nobody anywhere around is below 30, much less 27. Parkville MD user over on accuforums is reporting 29. I am at 27. Severn MD is reporting 27 as well so people are going below 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I can't find a single station in and around largo under 32 except camp springs at 31.6. Most of the others are 33-34. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
insanegrenade Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 I can't find a single station in and around largo under 32 except camp springs at 31.6. Most of the others are 33-34. http://weather.weatherbug.com/MD/Capitol%20Heights-weather.html?zcode=z6286 There you go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chase Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 There's a problem with that station... it's got 27 for the high and low, so it's been the same temperature since midnight? Nah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.