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The Psuhoffman Storm


Ji

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Lets say the heavy snow last 8 hours.

.1875 inches per hour.

At a 10:1 ratio that is less than 2 inches an hour. I think that is possible.

Yeah I know it's possible to get 2 inch/hr rates for 6 hours I'm just saying it's fairly rare for us and usually involves some luck to be in the right place. It does seem like the chances of it happening are increasing for the DC-Baltimore area. I'm not gonna be disappointed if we end up with 4-6 inches though.

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PROBABILISTIC HEAVY SNOW AND ICING DISCUSSION

NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD

430 PM EST TUE JAN 25 2011

Love the part about "off the charts" ! Got to save that one, Randy! :snowman:

If this storm moves east 10 miles I would be happy. Also, you guys are acting like thundersnow is guarantee. It is a rediculous setup regardless.

OT but this just irks me lol - rediculous is with an I not an E :):lol::devilsmiley:

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I thought I'd try out american wx forums but I'm shocked at the self-promotion and arrogance of some of the members on here. Feel free to delete this post or even ban me. I'm out. This is one forum of many and I think the majority of people here need to get over themselves. To those that value good conversation and appreciate weather for what it is, thank you. To those that ignore any other opinion beyond their own or their inner circle of friends, I'm sorry.

Yeah...you missed the point. Clearly. take a break dude.

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THEN AROUND WED MIDDAY/WED AFTN... THE I95 CORRIDOR AROUND THE

DC/BWI WILL BEGIN TO GET INVOLVED ON THE ACTION. THE UPPER LOW

CENTER WILL SLIDE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA PRODUCING ENOUGH

COOLING ALOFT TO TRANSLATE DOWN TO THE BOUNDARY LAYER FOR RAIN

CHANGING OVER TO ALL SNOW. THE INSTABILITY AND UVVS ASSOCIATED

WITH THE DEVELOPING DEFORMATION ZONE/COMMA-HEAD WILL BE OFF THE

CHARTS... POSSIBLY ALLOWING A CONVECTIVE ASPECT TO BECOME

INVOLVED. THIS SHOULD TRANSLATE IN INTENSE SNOWFALL RATES ACROSS

THE DC/BWI AREA FROM LATE TMRW AFTN TO VERY EARLY THURS MORNING

BEFORE THE ENTIRE PHASING SYSTEM MOVES RAPIDLY UP THE COAST. THUS

FOR THURS... A QUICK SIDE-SWIPE OF MDT TO HVY SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED

UP I95 THROUGH PHL... NYC AND BOS. HPC WENT WITH 4 TO 12 INCH HVY

SNOW PROBS EACH DAY AND A GENERAL PREFERENCE TOWARD A

ECMWF/CANADIAN/UKMET BLEND OVER THE NAM/GFS ON MASS FIELDS... QPF

AND THERMAL PROFILES.

it's funny that 2 days ago with basically the same 500 maps lwx said there would be no dynamics. i wonder sometimes....

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