Ian Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 euro ens is basically a carbon copy of the op... qpf max is sw of dc compared to near loudoun on 36 .. 42 basically the same qpf spread maybe a little less up north near the md border. i dont have total qpf maps on the ens tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Shut it, darkie I wanted to see them before I go to the gym. Oh no you didn't cr--never mind. Go to the gym and work those flabby arms. Have a snowfall map by 10pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Locally run NMM (LWX model) looks pretty good as well. Has some periods where it shows .25 QPF in an hour sweeping through parts of the area. Sim reflectivity also looks heavily juiced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 SREF's pretty much consistent with previous, maybe a tad wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 SREF's pretty much consistent with previous, maybe a tad wetter. Sounds like they are pretty stable. Very good agreement going into this event - something that's been absent all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Somebody mentioned this earlier but my zone forecast here for Montgomery Co. has 3-5 inches for just the daytime period Wednesday. I'd say that considering this could go on into the nighttime house that would be an extremely good start. Good luck folks! Ian, make sure you have a box of crackers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I dont know if anyone posted the RGEM total accums (color maps) but enjoy down there guys, glad this is event is widespread for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Sacrus, Looks pretty much like all the other models. Much more consistency than we've seen for other storms this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yesterday I thought the sweet spot for this storm would be in an area bounded by Leesburg, Hanover, PA, Greencastle, PA and Winchester. Now, I think I'd move that east by 20-30 miles and be comfortable saying that it would be a good 6" - 12" zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Sacrus, Looks pretty much like all the other models. Much more consistency than we've seen for other storms this year. What a nice trend for this one and youre right what a rarity this year to have such consensus with most guidance where the heaviest qpf occurs. Looks like we'll have more tracking next week as well. Tony Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 18Z NAM Panel 18 is much wetter than the 12Z at 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KyleG Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yesterday I thought the sweet spot for this storm would be in an area bounded by Leesburg, Hanover, PA, Greencastle, PA and Winchester. Now, I think I'd move that east by 20-30 miles and be comfortable saying that it would be a good 6" - 12" zone. I wouldn't move it much east - JB is still saying the models are too far east with the bullseye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I wouldn't move it much east - JB is still saying the models are too far east with the bullseye. playing climo is wise but might want to see the bump soon. 500 track is very consistent... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 H5 vort on the NAM at 18 is sick. Looks a bit stronger than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 LWX point forecasts call for 4-8" around DC, 6-10" in the NW burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 nam looks like mostly or all snow dc nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 <br />18Z NAM Panel 18 is much wetter than the 12Z at 24<br /><br /><br /><br />18Z NAM is mostly wetter than the rest of its runs it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 nam looks like mostly or all snow dc nw I called that 2 days ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 And the NCEP site crashes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 CRUSHED! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 NAM small snow hole in CMD. Liking the chances for 6-12 inches in Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 qpf max nw from earlier for sure but the nam is bouncy tho it looks about right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 And the NCEP site crashes. too many weenies viewing the site crashed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Wow NAM drops over .75 in 6 hours at 30 hr with it still snowing hard according to sim radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 NAM is a shellacking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yummy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 qpf max nw from earlier for sure but the nam is bouncy tho it looks about right I think I like our position this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I think I like our position this time im sure the max will be nw but maybe not much.. we should do plenty well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Looking at the H5 on the NAM, the run may have even had the potential to produce more QPF. Watch for 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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