Yeoman Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 36 degrees at 12:30pm, a far cry from the expected 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 CoolWX finally updated their graphics to include the 12Z NAM... 1.5"+ "snow liquid equivalent" in some parts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 It is cool. I see reason for you concern, but as it stands now temps are looking better for the storm as temps have trended colder for storm than few days ago. For the area including DC there will be more snow than rain as it stands now. Just have to wait for the storm to get here and see how it performs. Just try and mix patience with your excitement and concern. Best of luck to you. Well put - could not have said it any better. bravo. Apologies if I came across as harsh. Also, he shouldn't be using the GGEM to back up his concerns. Well documented that the mets here prefer the RGEM at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowden Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 36 degrees at 12:30pm, a far cry from the expected 50. Under Mostly Cloudy skies, I don't see it cracking 45, but who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 36 degrees at 12:30pm, a far cry from the expected 50. who was calling for 50? the day before temperature talk is silly anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 12z GFS is a big fan of the DT Facebook Storm #2 for 3 Feb. Looks familiar, it has a retreating high going off the coast. Can we get 2 snowstorms without a high to the northwest this winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
budice2002 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Is the NWS radar down, that will be bad with a the snow coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
agordon5 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 who was calling for 50? the day before temperature talk is silly anyway. I'm pretty sure that WJZ said something like 47 this morning. But as we all know things change, and in the case for the better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Curlyq Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Looks like the timing for the heavy snow is late afternoon into evening. * PRECIPITATION TYPE... MAINLY SNOW... BUT POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SOME SLEET... FREEZING RAIN... OR RAIN WEDNESDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS... 5 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE. * TIMING... STARTING JUST AFTER NOON EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS... BUT CLOSER TO LATE AFTERNOON IN THE WASHINGTON BALTIMORE SUBURBS. ENDING AFTER MIDNIGHT FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * TEMPERATURES... MID 30S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... DROPPING TO THE MID TO UPPER 20S WEDNESDAY NIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Is the NWS radar down, that will be bad with a the snow coming Sterling's radar looks fine to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJField Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 One can't blame municipalities, local media mets, well, everybody really, from being caught unawares. After all, EVERY costal storm like this so far this season has gone OTS (for us at least) like they're on streetcar rails. As Tony Montana would have said..."say hello to my little trend." It just doesn't feel as warm outside today as I was told it would be (Cabin John). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I would never rely on Bass for any forecast. I'm pretty sure that WJZ said something like 47 this morning. But as we all know things change, and in the case for the better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 who was calling for 50? the day before temperature talk is silly anyway. When is Capital Weather Gang putting out a map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Last night TWC was calling for 50. Not that anything they say has any value though. I think the point of temps is this- yes, it's 39 now- yes we'll be in the 40's this afternoon, and probably stay above freezing tonight, and will likely have rain in the immediate metro at the outset. but tomorrow into tomorrow night will be a whole different story than today. will we lose some accum. esp on the roads- maybe a bit, but so be it. Many here forget we lost about 2-3 hours of steady light/mod snow on 2/5/10 as well b/c of above freezing temps and daylight snowfall, and at the end of the day, no one was complaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Colonel Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 When is Capital Weather Gang putting out a map? Wes said he was going to be a little bullish just before the GFS came out....and I got chills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 When is Capital Weather Gang putting out a map? They have been saying Wes was posting an update at 12:30... anxiously waiting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 FWIW: Wes doesn't put out maps, but does do probability forecasts for DC (and maybe other areas?). ...unless he wants to go for it this time around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 agreed.. 10:1 is almost always a safe assumption Anyone know what the ratios with the Feb 22 1987 (date?) event were like? That was the textbook definition of a "heavy, wet snow" as I recall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Anyone know what the ratios with the Feb 22 1987 (date?) event were like? That was the textbook definition of a "heavy, wet snow" as I recall. I lived in ILG-- the official airport was 14.4 inches from 1.03 liquid. I had more like 17 and 14 on the concrete. Lived 2 miles from ILG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Anyone know what the ratios with the Feb 22 1987 (date?) event were like? That was the textbook definition of a "heavy, wet snow" as I recall. Less than 10:1 at DCA. 1.48" for 10.3" snow, so about 7:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thesnowsknows Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Wes said he was going to be a little bullish just before the GFS came out....and I got chills. Haha last time Wes mentioned the word bullish on his blog was for Dec 26th. I went on a tirade on CWG after that. Let my emotions get the best of me there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NattyBo Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Anyone going to do a Euro PBP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 hr 12 1008 4 mb deeper just north of the fla pan upper low area precip exploded compared to 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Haha last time Wes mentioned the word bullish on his blog was for Dec 26th. I went on a tirade on CWG after that. Let my emotions get the best of me there. I don't think I used the word bullish on the blog. Jason is editing it. We should see the heaviest snow of the season. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 hr 18 more neg tilt low reforming sav ga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 hr 24 pretty much the same 0c holding at dc 0.10 so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 thru 30 850s are similar to 0z.. perhaps a smidge warmer initialy but cooler on the backside.. precip looks good with the ull Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreAce33 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Midlo, if you don't mind, keep those of us to the east updated on the 850 line? Tough for those of us that live on the shore to pull out meaningful info from non-stop IAD/DCA/BWI forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTutton Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Looking at the Euro 36 hours out.... On a scale of 1-10, 1 being throw it out and 10 being extremely important, what significance would you give the EC compared to NAM, RGEM, SREF, etc? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 hr 30 0c further east into roa heading east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.