Interstate Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 .SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... ***WATCH EXPANSION INTO NE MD...N DEL AND MUCH OF NJ EXCEPT FAR SOUTH PROBABLE AT 1115 AM PENDING NEW GFS*** PLEASE GIVE US TIME ON THIS. WE ALL SAW THE NEW 12Z NAM WITH HUGE SNOWGROWTH AND QPF AMTS UNDER THE DEFORMATION ZONE NW OF THE NAMS MORE DEFINED 500MB STRUCTURE. COULD BE THUNDER SNOW WED EVE. COLLAB WITH HPC AT 8AM REGARDING MY UNCERTAINTY FURTHER NW IN NE PA AND NW NJ BUT AWAITING ALL THE MODELS BEFORE ANY POSSIBLE TRIM THERE. FOCUS "MAY" BE SHIFTING SEWD 30 MILES. MORE AT 1115 AM Where is this coming from... Mount Holly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Where is this coming from... Mount Holly? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 That 36hr RGEM chart is very easy on the eyes 48hr too. I see 20-25mm snow for major airports.. you agree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 i demand a WSW now!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derecho Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 WSW issued... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1016 AM EST TUE JAN 25 2011 MDZ004>007-009-VAZ040-042-501-252330- /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0002.110126T1800Z-110127T0900Z/ FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY- RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-NORTHERN FAUQUIER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREDERICK...WESTMINSTER... GAITHERSBURG...WASHINGTON...LEESBURG...WARRENTON 1016 AM EST TUE JAN 25 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...MAINLY SNOW...BUT POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SOME SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...OR RAIN WEDNESDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS...5 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE. * TIMING...STARTING JUST AFTER NOON EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS...BUT CLOSER TO LATE AFTERNOON IN THE WASHINGTON BALTIMORE SUBURBS. ENDING AFTER MIDNIGHT FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * TEMPERATURES...MID 30S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...DROPPING TO THE MID TO UPPER 20S WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * WINDS...NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joc111 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 WSW issued... Only for far N/W counties... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowden Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 .SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... ***WATCH EXPANSION INTO NE MD...N DEL AND MUCH OF NJ EXCEPT FAR SOUTH PROBABLE AT 1115 AM PENDING NEW GFS*** PLEASE GIVE US TIME ON THIS. WE ALL SAW THE NEW 12Z NAM WITH HUGE SNOWGROWTH AND QPF AMTS UNDER THE DEFORMATION ZONE NW OF THE NAMS MORE DEFINED 500MB STRUCTURE. COULD BE THUNDER SNOW WED EVE. COLLAB WITH HPC AT 8AM REGARDING MY UNCERTAINTY FURTHER NW IN NE PA AND NW NJ BUT AWAITING ALL THE MODELS BEFORE ANY POSSIBLE TRIM THERE. FOCUS "MAY" BE SHIFTING SEWD 30 MILES. MORE AT 1115 AM What area are you from?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 i demand a WSW now!!! I have one already... Do you know what the control run is of the ECMWF--- because I"m getting the free accu pro this month, I watched JB's video and he mentioned the EC control run-- takes the low inside HAT to just east of Wallops. The models that are best for me are a tad west with the SLP and get a little better interaction between the ull and slp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1016 AM EST TUE JAN 25 2011 MDZ003-501-502-VAZ025>031-503-504-WVZ050>053-055-501>506-252330- /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0002.110126T1100Z-110127T0500Z/ WASHINGTON-EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY- AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-FREDERICK VA-PAGE-WARREN-CLARKE- WESTERN HIGHLAND-EASTERN HIGHLAND-HAMPSHIRE-MORGAN-BERKELEY- JEFFERSON-HARDY-WESTERN GRANT-EASTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL- EASTERN MINERAL-WESTERN PENDLETON-EASTERN PENDLETON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAGERSTOWN...FROSTBURG...CUMBERLAND... STAUNTON...WAYNESBORO...HARRISONBURG...WINCHESTER...FRONT ROYAL... HIGHTOWN...MONTEREY...MARTINSBURG...CHARLES TOWN...MOOREFIELD... BAYARD...MOUNT STORM...PETERSBURG...ELK GARDEN...KEYSER... FORT ASHBY...CIRCLEVILLE...FRANKLIN 1016 AM EST TUE JAN 25 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. * PRECIPITATION TYPE...MAINLY SNOW. THERE MAY BE A LITTLE MIX WITH SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN AT THE ONSET. * ACCUMULATIONS...5 OR MORE INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE. * TIMING...STARTING JUST AFTER SUNRISE ALONG THE APPALACHIANS...MID TO LATE MORNING EAST OF THE SHENANDOAH VALLEY. ENDING WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY EVENING. * TEMPERATURES...LOWER TO MID 30S WEDNESDAY...DROPPING TO THE MID 20S WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH WEDNESDAY...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH WEDNESDAY EVENING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 RGEM is a crushing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Wel guys, it's mostly rain on the front side for Raleigh. But your looking really good with ALL SNOW !! So I'll be in Northern Va riding the streets to keep you safe beep and say hello if you see us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I assume you are five-posted, so hopefully it as at an end. And, since you are so unbelieveably lazy you can't bother to read last night's pretty damn decent discussion on this here thread, here is what Usedtobe (Wes) said as it unfolded about the ULL: Wes said: Doesn't mean it will come off like modeled last night, but there are apparently good reasons why it might. Not five-posted. To say that I am "unbelievably lazy" just because I can't go back through 37 pages of a thread to see if anyone answered my question is unfair. Not all people can live on this board 24/7. I am not going to engage in bashing people and I never have, so I will say no more. Also, I was actually online last night when Wes posted the above statement and I read it then. It does not answer my question though. Wes' statement is his opinion on this particular storm and though he may be correct, my question was more general. My recollection is that ULLs seem to track further north than modeled even a few hours prior to the event, and I wondered if anyone else thought this or had evidence backing it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Weird that it does not include Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I see 20-25mm snow for major airports.. you agree? Looks like 20mm+ for BWI and DCA, maybe slightly less for IAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 always loved the old school unysis maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 WSW issued... that was quick service edit: boo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Interesting the big cities weren't included. I bet 3 pm will change that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 RGEM is a crushing Yes it is. The nam looks like it gives us convection. I'm writing a bullish blog. lol. Famous last words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 It is funny how LWX has issued a WSW for all the northern counties in MD. The NAM shows that the heaviest snow falls to the south of the warning area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 WSW issued... Sorry, if it's not issued IMBY I can't count it as official. Please see to it that the situation is rectified immediately. ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
loshjott Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Only for far N/W counties... For Montgomery County, Gaithersburg is under the Watch but not Rockville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Kinda suprised they are holding off on watches for DC-BAL, especially now seeing the RGEM looks as good as the NAM. Maybe they are waiting for the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yes it is. The nam looks like it gives us convection. I'm writing a bullish blog. lol. Famous last words. Can't wait to see it Wes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yes it is. The nam looks like it gives us convection. I'm writing a bullish blog. lol. Famous last words. When Wes is honking, I'm excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crazy4Wx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 What no WSW for Annapolis? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 lol. as soon as i read this post my weatherbug warning started flashing. this is a positive development, but a shame that the NAM looks to be fringing us out once again in the Shen Valley. WSW issued... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazeKing Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I'm near the sweet spot on the nam snowfall map in the MIDATL , this can't be right and RGEM looks sweet too, no way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 RGEM is a crushing yes it is more so than any other model as far as showing pure snow over a very large area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 When Wes is honking, I'm excited. Where would I go to read his blog ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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