PhineasC Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 So funny (Actually sad for snow lovers in DC AREA) that storms last year that started south came north. We would claim SE bias and by storm time be in the action. This year, the SE bias is not SE enough for most storms and they do not trend north! Such a pain! What has happened this year is that the 500 vorts have stayed too far north, while the surface sometimes seemed south. So the "north trend" just screwed us further. I distinctly remember the first two HECS last season all showing a very strong vort going through southern VA at this range. I'm sure you recall the numerous clown maps giving Charlottesville 30 inches. Over the next few days, the vort slid north and DC became the bullseye. Now, the vort starts on top or north of us and never goes south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 The Euro will save us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 The Euro will save us. Big Time. Gas up your bus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Euro will show a weak OTS POS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 The EURO and the JMA will lead the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 thru 84 the euro is a little slower and further north than the 12z gfs with the lead shortwave but it's pretty early to know much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 thru 96 i want to say it's going to try to end up back west from last night tho it is still early. as far as i can tell it still thinks the gfs is bunk with the stuff hanging back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 she is neutral west of the miss. hold on baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 1016 low in se mo/sw in at 108, something trying in the ngom as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 1016 low in se mo/sw in at 108, something trying in the ngom as well maybe its not time to kill psuhoffman yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 snowing over much of va at 114 but this is pretty diff than last night so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 snowing over much of va at 114 but this is pretty diff than last night so far is it the same crap snow as the gfs? or is it organized? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 .25"+ nearing blue ridge at 120.. no major surface reflection anywhere -- 850 0c near ric Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 low developing near Charleston SC at 108-114 it looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 is it the same crap snow as the gfs? or is it organized? looks like it should be about to pop but not much so far organization wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 looks like it should be about to pop but not much so far organization wise nothing like a low forming just to the south of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 126 has 1008 low just off nc/VA border, still snowing across all of dc area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 This run sounds good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 lol it's just chillin at 132.. still snowing.. .5"+ back toward blue ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I do like the H placement at 120... very nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 This run sounds good. psuhoffman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thesnowsknows Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 This is mad exciting. I shouldn't have eaten before this. Too bad I have zero faith in the Euro. The fact that's it's trending our way is bad IMO. I would rather have it as the outlier it was last night to balance things out while the GFS takes it further OTS with every run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 quite a bit diff at the surface initially but by 132 500 not terribly off from last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 lol it's just chillin at 132.. still snowing.. .5"+ back toward blue ridge i guess we dont need a deep low...we didnt have one for PD storm. A wound up low might tighten the qpf field Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 it's got that PDII-ish kind of feel, like yesterday... not a strong low, but strong high...all we need is a low level jet at 850 mb right about now an we'd be golden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 138 still snowing but winding down.. low not very strong still -- 1008 off md/nj/de area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20, 2011 Author Share Posted January 20, 2011 I am going to assume the euro gets a storm right this year. its been very consistent with a precip maker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 heh last night it had a 984 off li today 1004. everyone does pretty well around here.. prob .6-.8 or so, 1" to the southeast -- cold thruout in dc area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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