mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 WOW DCA is 1.36 of snow QPF...really impressive. no way, who said that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thesnowsknows Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 WOW DCA is 1.36 of snow QPF...really impressive. Which makes Mitchnick's calls of .88 rain in BWI simply illogical IMHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 yeah it will your being ridicululous...that 0.2 on the euro is probably a -0.6... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Watches will be up soon... and I see zwyts in the thread... hi! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 no way, who said that? WED 12Z 26-JAN 0.7 0.7 1015 91 99 0.16 558 546 WED 18Z 26-JAN 1.8 1.6 1009 97 99 0.24 554 547 THU 00Z 27-JAN 1.2 -1.3 1000 96 100 0.62 545 544 THU 06Z 27-JAN 1.7 -2.7 1002 90 94 0.74 540 539 THU 12Z 27-JAN -1.1 -2.9 1008 81 10 0.01 543 536 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 no way, who said that? EURO MOS? I guess cause he always seems to post that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pojrzsho Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 EZF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcwx Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 WOW DCA is 1.36 of snow QPF...really impressive. Incredible if this verifies. Oh the look on that NBC 4 TV mets face when he has to announce a winter storm watch/warning after calling for "no accumulation" and "really warm temps" earlier tonight. What a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 WOW DCA is 1.36 of snow QPF...really impressive. i'd rather it be 1.5 but i'll take it :-/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 IAD MOS WED 12Z 26-JAN 0.4 -0.2 1015 89 99 0.15 557 545 WED 18Z 26-JAN 1.2 0.5 1009 97 97 0.24 553 545 THU 00Z 27-JAN 0.9 -1.4 1002 96 100 0.57 544 542 THU 06Z 27-JAN 1.6 -3.1 1003 88 88 0.63 541 539 THU 12Z 27-JAN -2.5 -3.4 1009 80 13 0.01 543 535 THU 18Z 27-JAN 0.3 -4.4 1011 60 29 0.00 539 530 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Yes i am 25 miles North of BWI, but i cannot imagine that would make that much of a difference. Uh, yes it will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 This reminds of what being on a weather board the night before Jan 2000 must have been like, if such a thing existed back then, except this one is coming together 36 hours ahead of time instead of 12. (And, no I am not predicting this will end up being anything like that storm around here but you get my drift) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 ROA? .34 qpf with 850 temps at zero or less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 This reminds of what being a weather board the night before Jan 2000 must have been like, if such a thing existed back then, except this one is coming together 36 hours ahead of time instead of 12. (And, no I am not predicting this will end up being anything like that storm around here but you get my drift) hopefully not too early... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 WED 12Z 26-JAN 0.7 0.7 1015 91 99 0.16 558 546 - RAIN WED 18Z 26-JAN 1.8 1.6 1009 97 99 0.24 554 547 - RAIN THU 00Z 27-JAN 1.2 -1.3 1000 96 100 0.62 545 544 - STARTS AS RAIN AND TURNS TO SNOW AT SOME POINT THU 06Z 27-JAN 1.7 -2.7 1002 90 94 0.74 540 539 - PROBABLY SNOW, BUT SURFACE AT 1.7C OR 35F THU 12Z 27-JAN -1.1 -2.9 1008 81 10 0.01 543 536 - A FLURRY I am reading the model verbatim; you are lowering the temps to suit you sure, if the temps are lower, there will be more snow, I agree, but that's not what model is showing now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 another .06 for Dulles this weekend...i guess clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 I am reading the model verbatim; you are lowering the temps to suit you sure, if the temps are lower, there will be more snow, I agree, but that's not what model is showing now im also looking at the euro trend of more qpf and colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 This reminds of what being on a weather board the night before Jan 2000 must have been like, if such a thing existed back then, except this one is coming together 36 hours ahead of time instead of 12. (And, no I am not predicting this will end up being anything like that storm around here but you get my drift) The EURO says it could Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 Boston about 1.7 inches qpf..this could be a big nesis event due to DC-Bos being affected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Do we really have to fight over whether the Euro gives Baltimore 6 or 16? If it's 6, lets just toss it for being a low-end outlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 im also looking at the euro trend of more qpf and colder. right, which means you are adjusting the numbers I'm not saying what the correct forecast will be I am saying what the model is predicting on this run you're speculating and you've admitted as much; and that's fine, just as long as people reading know that because it is NOT what the model is showing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 How ugly is this. 18z on Wed...Richmond 850 temps are at 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Boston about 1.7 inches qpf..this could be a big nesis event due to DC-Bos being affected Boston's numbers are down right disgusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 right, which means you are adjusting the numbers I'm not saying what the correct forecast will be I am saying what the model is predicting on this run you're speculating and you've admitted as much; and that's fine, just as long as people reading know that because it is NOT what the model is showing the model is showing 1.36 inches of liquid with temps at 850 or less...thats the only thing i have to go by. The surface temps at DCA are 1.7....this is heavy wet snow. Ive seen it happen before dude...Feb 88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Add to the list of fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25, 2011 Author Share Posted January 25, 2011 for those of you who think CRAS likes to hand out blizzards...CRAS is all rain http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/cras/cras45_NA/00/fp0_042.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I hate to jinx this, and it's early, but doesn't this have the potential of being the biggest all encompassing DC to Boston snowstorm in years? I guess maybe March 2009 hit everybody, but don't know for sure. Before that, maybe the Valentines one in 2007? I'm pretty sure Boston didn't get in on Dec. 19 from what I remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 the model is showing 1.36 inches of liquid with temps at 850 or less...thats the only thing i have to go by. The surface temps at DCA are 1.7....this is heavy wet snow. Ive seen it happen before dude...Feb 88 yes, you are the sage look, we're gonna' get decent snow I don;t need the Euro to tell me that the other models are doing just fine with it better get some sleep, still have tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 I know I asked before, but can someone with access give info for FDK per Euro.......QPF and all snow? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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