mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GEM precip type maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 precip type maps not available past 48 hrs and the 60 hr map would certainly be all snow for us since 48 hr map is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 This is PSUHoffman's crowning moment. He must be out buying the bubbly ready to get drunk on the night of the storm to celebrate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GGEM looks like the RGEM/NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Once again, GGEM sucked the most for this storm at mid range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Once again, GGEM sucked the most for this storm at mid range. she looks fine now, so go easy on her Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 This is PSUHoffman's crowning moment. He must be out buying the bubbly ready to get drunk on the night of the storm to celebrate. I'm telling you. If DCA gets 4 inches, there is place somewhere for something in honor PSUHoffman as it relates to this storm. That is the benchmark I set earlier today. 4 inches at DCA. Maybe a high hurdle to obtain, but we'll see and that appears somewhat more likely know then when I said that five hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GEM has around 20mm qpf for DCA/BWI that is mostly snow, but prob not all still, a great hit and consistent with all other modeling 15 mm is 0.6 QPF... 18mm is 0.7 QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 This is PSUHoffman's crowning moment. He must be out buying the bubbly ready to get drunk on the night of the storm to celebrate. He's probably off worrying about something, actually. The guy isn't happy unless he is "gravely concerned" and "very worried" about some aspect of the storm the models aren't seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 15 mm is 0.6 QPF... 18mm is 0.7 QPF Thanks, yoder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 man its warm in southern Greenland tonight thanks to the -NAO http://weather.unisy...=na&inv=0&t=cur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 He's probably off worrying about something, actually. The guy isn't happy unless he is "gravely concerned" and "very worried" about some aspect of the storm the models aren't seeing. He has every right to worry or be skeptical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 15 mm is 0.6 QPF... 18mm is 0.7 QPF I just multiply mm x .4 to get inches, even though its actually .39**** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 He has every right to worry or be skeptical. I would be more worried if only one model was showing this solution. But they all are showing the same thing. I think confidence is high at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GFS ensemble mean at 48HR is silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 couple of 3 hour snow maps from Unysis per NAM they only go out to 48 hrs, but you get the point hrs 45 and 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 He has every right to worry or be skeptical. if he's going to go along with claiming a storm he saw on the gfs 12 days out then not really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterson Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 oz nogaps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostbite_falls Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 He has every right to worry or be skeptical. Quiet you! Phin is busy talking to himself. Outside of 4 AM weenies, it's rare to see back to back posts--he's done it twice in the last hour. First time I'd swear he was replying to himself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 oz nogaps deal sealed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 GFS ensemble mean at 48HR is silly. Link? for total qpf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Link? for total qpf? We get crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Link? for total qpf? its in the .5-.74" range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Link? for total qpf? Storm total: http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfsensemble/00zgfsensemblep72072.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 deal sealed Talk about being a worrier a few days ago.. Those words you just wrote are powerful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 its in the .5-.74" range I thought we were in the .75-1.00 I checked the map and i see we are, you cannot always be right Mitch . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 He's probably off worrying about something, actually. The guy isn't happy unless he is "gravely concerned" and "very worried" about some aspect of the storm the models aren't seeing. nope... things are actually going just about how I thought, sitting back and letting you all carry the conversation. There isnt much more I can add at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 its in the .5-.74" range Total is .75 to 1.00 for BWI and DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 if he's going to go along with claiming a storm he saw on the gfs 12 days out then not really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 25, 2011 Share Posted January 25, 2011 Total is .75 to 1.00 for BWI and DC. You are correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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