PhineasC Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Still anyone's guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Is the EC the only one showing any consistency? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 is the 18z run warmer with temps? I know its OTS but temps look a lot warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2011 Author Share Posted January 23, 2011 im starting to lose interest in this storm. Feb 2-4? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Is the EC the only one showing any consistency? its probably been the most consistent of late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2011 Author Share Posted January 23, 2011 is the 18z run warmer with temps? I know its OTS but temps look a lot warmer with no heavy precip, it will blowtorch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 23, 2011 Author Share Posted January 23, 2011 there is something wrong with the 6z/18z data stuff... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 im starting to lose interest in this storm. Feb 2-4? You name it, you stick with it till the end... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 is the 18z run warmer with temps? I know its OTS but temps look a lot warmer without good precip it should be warmer at the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 there is something wrong with the 6z/18z data stuff... weenie rule #478 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 weenie rule #478 These model runs are just ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 I'm interested in seeing what the second area of precip behind the main system will end up doing. Seems to be where most/any possible snow will come from (due to forcing from the tail-end of the UL vort) since we'll likely be too warm for snow beforehand. Positive note: The shortwave UL trough goes negative before all of the precip's gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 These model runs are just ridiculous. at least the gfs doesnt wash out the vort as much as the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeedaSnowday Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Perhaps another OTS miss coming. <wide eyed> seriously?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 where be mitch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 where be mitch? If I see one more of those... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 If I see one more of those... You'll what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 If I see one more of those... i'd like to say it's wrong but how many times have we had trouble getting qpf north of the va/nc border this season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdwx Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 i'd like to say it's wrong but how many times have we had trouble getting qpf north of the va/nc border this season? Ugh.. Remember EURO showed us getting nailed for what 3-4 days, everyone laughed at GFS and looked what happen.. How about No Rowboat or snowblower, just a heavy jacket and sunscreen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 i'd like to say it's wrong but how many times have we had trouble getting qpf north of the va/nc border this season? or east of the VA/WV border, or south of the PA/MD border, or west of the MD/DE border? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Ugh.. Remember EURO showed us getting nailed for what 3-4 days, everyone laughed at GFS and looked what happen.. How about No Rowboat or snowblower, just a heavy jacket and sunscreen? If I'm not mistaken, didn't todays EURO still put a pretty good slug of precip up this way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 If I'm not mistaken, didn't todays EURO still put a pretty good slug of precip up this way? Yep, and it's (almost) all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Ugh.. Remember EURO showed us getting nailed for what 3-4 days, everyone laughed at GFS and looked what happen.. How about No Rowboat or snowblower, just a heavy jacket and sunscreen? ive actually favored the euro so far for this one but it has failed us before. i do like that it has at least been relatively consistent outside the ridiculous runs with 3" qpf. hopefully it holds later.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 i'd like to say it's wrong but how many times have we had trouble getting qpf north of the va/nc border this season? Indeed. And it's why I've been hoping for high qpf, even if we end up too warm. It's so dry, I really want to see some precip in here one way or another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Has the "convective feedback" excuse been used yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarolineWx Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 there was a day when GFS runs would show us turning to rain, but the ensembles would be further east and that would give us hope, only to ultimately miss the snow and get rain seems like everything has turned bass ackward this year in that respect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thesnowsknows Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 If I'm not mistaken, didn't todays EURO still put a pretty good slug of precip up this way? When has the Euro led the way this year? It's been the GFS all year. This makes multiple runs today that are OTS. I'm getting tired of this storm, especially if it's going to scoot off the coast without even a droplet. I mean this is just ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 image pretty sizeable shift southeast there too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 23, 2011 Share Posted January 23, 2011 When has the Euro led the way this year? It's been the GFS all year. This makes multiple runs today that are OTS. I'm getting tired of this storm, especially if it's going to scoot off the coast without even a droplet. I mean this is just ridiculous. It is also multiple runs that show little to no consistency. The 0z and 12z were wetter and up the coast, the 6z and 18z were suppressed and OTS. Which one are you putting faith in? Now, the EURO has struggled some this year, but at least with this one its shown at least some run to run consistency which no other has been able to muster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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