PhineasC Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 cold/dry, warm/wet, cold/dry My winter forecast is still in good shape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 5:01 PM, PhineasC said: UKMET is garbage. It had a monster low off the coast 12 hours ago. Has the morning run come out? At this point is any model showing any consistency? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Really hoping the GFS/GFS ENS are on to something. Maybe we can get the EURO to move towards the GFS camp. Holding out hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 5:06 PM, winterwxluvr said: Has the morning run come out? At this point is any model showing any consistency? Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 5:07 PM, DCTeacherman said: Really hoping the GFS/GFS ENS are on to something. Maybe we can get the EURO to move towards the GFS camp. Holding out hope. Hope so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 GGEM trended the wrong way thats for sure, it was already the furthest west and went more west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 This morning's operational GFS run is pathetic for meaningful MA snow. Am holding out hope for a Valentine's Day Snowstorm based on Don S's crashing (-) AO forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 5:08 PM, PhineasC said: Euro Exactly what I was thinking, but didn't want to say it because I don't really have much to go on. The maps I can see are tough, so the pbp is all I have to go on. That's why I asked about the UK, wondering if it was showing any consistency. Maybe the NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 5:07 PM, DCTeacherman said: Really hoping the GFS/GFS ENS are on to something. Maybe we can get the EURO to move towards the GFS camp. Holding out hope. I'd say the euro ENS is already there, it should be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 UKMET looks ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 5:09 PM, Stormpc said: Hope so... We all have access to these maps. Maybe just a link next time? Or just a mention of it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Less of the high hanging back west on every run This will not end well or nuetral. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 The low over nc on the ukmet is too far west if you want the cold air to hold over I95 dc area. It's probalby Ok for I81. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 5:14 PM, EasternUSWX said: UKMET looks ok. the ukmet does look better than the ggem, but id still like maybe a little more to east with the Low, maybe 50-75 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 5:14 PM, EasternUSWX said: UKMET looks ok. That 96 hour map. 12 hours later than the NAM image, but wouldn't that be about where the NAM surface low would be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 well gfs is east, ensembles look good, euro ensembles look like they trending towards gfs ensembles, and ukmet doesnt look bad, in your expert opinions, doi you think maybe the GGEM maybe an outlier at this point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 5:18 PM, wxtrix said: please stop quoting images just top add a crap comment. Thank you. And even if adding a good comment, there's no need to repost the image. Also, no need to post images available all over the place, including Allan's site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 5:18 PM, wxtrix said: please stop quoting images just top add a crap comment. STRONGLY AGREE COME ON PEOPLE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thesnowsknows Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 5:16 PM, Mad Cheese said: Less of the high hanging back west on every run This will not end well or nuetral. Agreed. Facts as currently standing: chances for moderate to heave snow along I 95 definitely slim. Those downplaying the lack of blocking are kidding themselves. I was censured for nothing this in an earlier thread, but we will see what happens. I'm rooting to be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 5:15 PM, winterwxluvr said: We all have access to these maps. Maybe just a link next time? Or just a mention of it? There is no rule against posting maps of model runs. I don't understand why you don't even want links to their images to be posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 5:24 PM, Fozz said: There is no rule against posting maps of model runs. I don't understand why you don't even want links to their images to be posted. i dont think we need a whole run of maps myself.. it's just a waste of space. im not even really a fan of one map with no commentary but i realize fighting that battle is difficult. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 5:16 PM, usedtobe said: The low over nc on the ukmet is too far west if you want the cold air to hold over I95 dc area. It's probalby Ok for I81. I agree its too far west initially, but as the low bombs out east DC would probably get a nice snow on the back end. I would be happy with the UK track up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 5:12 PM, winterymix said: This morning's operational GFS run is pathetic for meaningful MA snow. Am holding out hope for a Valentine's Day Snowstorm based on Don S's crashing (-) AO forecast. the gfs is on drugs right now, get back to it later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 5:24 PM, Fozz said: There is no rule against posting maps of model runs. I don't understand why you don't even want links to their images to be posted. Maybe not, but there is no sense in littering this thread with images that anybody can have access to by simply opening another window on their computer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 i predict the gfs will have a wound up low passing over my head by 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Some of the GFS Ens are pretty nice. But, still a huge spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 5:28 PM, EasternUSWX said: Some of the GFS Ens are pretty nice. But, still a huge spread. Anyone who doesn't have this in their favorites http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ewallmref.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 5:28 PM, Ian said: i predict the gfs will have a wound up low passing over my head by 0z It very well might. Some of the ensemble members are pretty close to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 5:28 PM, Ian said: i predict the gfs will have a wound up low passing over my head by 0z Looks that way. Seasonal trend busted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 5:26 PM, winterwxluvr said: Maybe not, but there is no sense in littering this thread with images that anybody can have access to by simply opening another window on their computer. You are being unreasonable. This has always been the way that model threads have worked. When there is something interesting to share, such as QPF totals, or the track of a surface or H5 low, I would encourage people to post any relevant panels, or at the very least, the link to those images. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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