Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 hr 96 sub996 low decent way off of nc OTS? not much precip north of ric Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcwx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 4:05 PM, PhineasC said: With a 998 low off the SC coast? Yeah sorry it was a response to Bob Chill, should have looked before posting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Hmmm... 992 low of the NC coast @96. I went into this run with negative nancy glasses on. Glasses off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Folks around here should like this run a lot through 96HR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 OTS off NC. No one should complain about this given the Euro inland track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 More than anything else I am blown away by the huge differences from 6Z. @ 84 the 500 vort is parked over FL panhandle. Neutral or slightly negative. 6Z had a negative tilt off eastern NC. Just insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 OTS scrapes the coastline Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pojrzsho Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Wow....Low off the coast with this run...and we get ighlt rain on the coast, and NOTHING west of there at 102.....wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Looks like December 26th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 4:08 PM, PhineasC said: Folks around here should like this run a lot through 96HR. Yea, but through 102 it is heading out to sea and almost no precip makes it to DC. I know everything looks pretty good @ 500 and the temps look good but no precip?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 agreed this is a good spot for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 can anyone tell me where the traditional setup for the highs should be when you have the "banana"........not saying anything about this storm.......just something that popped in my head.......thanks in advance?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 GFS goes from Miller B to Miller A miss. . GFS is crushing the Vort too quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 4:10 PM, PhineasC said: Looks like December 26th. Is it going to curl around and crush Philly NE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcwx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Yes, I am happy with this run. Models now agree on Miller A type solution, GFS compromised with NAM/Euro would probably give us a tasty storm. Still a ways to go but I genuinely like where we are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 4:09 PM, pojrzsho said: Wow....Low off the coast with this run...and we get ighlt rain on the coast, and NOTHING west of there at 102.....wow At least we don't have any temperature problems this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 4:04 PM, Bob Chill said: Trough neutral @ 84. Low starting to head NE. Track looking good. Temps are the next obstacle. temps are an issue partly because of that northern stream vort that comes across ahead of the storm and destroys the confluence. That may be inaccurate since the GFS is still in the process of morphing, that energy was actually what the GFS was turning into the miller b in previous runs, now it just races across and cuts off our cold air supply ahead of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Well, the run keeps it very interesting instead of depressing. Hard to whine and complain at this point. I'd much rather worry about precip missing to the S/E vs N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Swings around and clips SNE, might be temp issues in Boston for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 4:11 PM, Swiscaster said: Is it going to curl around and crush Philly NE? Totally misses PHL and NYC. Clips SNE but is warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 4:10 PM, Midlo Snow Maker said: agreed this is a good spot for now Heard that before! A lot. I would rather be in the bullseye at this juncture this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 4:09 PM, PhineasC said: OTS off NC. No one should complain about this given the Euro inland track. this was a great run and now play into the GFS bias, a blend of the Euro/GGEM and GFS camps would work out really well now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 4:09 PM, PhineasC said: OTS off NC. No one should complain about this given the Euro inland track. toasty though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 4:11 PM, psuhoffman said: temps are an issue partly because of that northern stream vort that comes across ahead of the storm and destroys the confluence. That may be inaccurate since the GFS is still in the process of morphing, that energy was actually what the GFS was turning into the miller b in previous runs, now it just races across and cuts off our cold air supply ahead of the storm. You should like this run a lot. A blend of it and the Euro would be excellent. At least you don't have to listen the Miller B whiners anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pojrzsho Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 4:11 PM, Quasievil said: At least we don't have any temperature problems this run. What's concerning is it seems like if the coastal did move closer it would be rain for many....since even the precip on the coast light as it is is falling as rain at 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanVA Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I was worried until the GFS brought back the Miller A, I still believe this even will be farther east than the Euro and GGEM. Euro and GGEM are rarely ever a winning combo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 4:13 PM, C.A.P.E. said: toasty though For you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 4:13 PM, psuhoffman said: this was a great run and now play into the GFS bias, a blend of the Euro/GGEM and GFS camps would work out really well now. Given this run of the GFS and the other models I wonder how likely that inland track is. What GFS bias are you referring to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 ukie looks like it might come way inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcwx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 On 1/22/2011 at 4:13 PM, C.A.P.E. said: toasty though Yes temps are the obvious concern now. Even the GFS looks warm for how far OTS it is. Without any blocking I don't see where the cold is coming from on this storm. May work out for inland areas though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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