Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 On 1/21/2011 at 5:02 AM, thesnowsknows said: No me gusta the trends on the High. We need the High man. read more post less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 On 1/21/2011 at 5:00 AM, Midlo Snow Maker said: hi heading out You keep saying that, but there is no block and the NAO is going positive, the high is going to slide east. We need the low to take a favorable track for this to be snow. The High is not going to be locked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 On 1/21/2011 at 5:04 AM, BethesdaWX said: Every ensemble member gives DCA Precip, every ensemble member is colder & weaker than the OP... at this range, the ensmbles make me happy. some of you are bipolar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2011 Author Share Posted January 21, 2011 On 1/21/2011 at 5:03 AM, Ian said: <br />the bomb idea is problematic.. thread the needle is tough for us<br /><br /><br /><br />Euro is best solution with 1012 wet low. Gfs with more upside and downside meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 On 1/21/2011 at 5:04 AM, psuhoffman said: You keep saying that, but there is no block and the NAO is going positive, the high is going to slide east. We need the low to take a favorable track for this to be snow. The High is not going to be locked in. agreed thats what i'm saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pojrzsho Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 On 1/21/2011 at 5:04 AM, Ian said: some of you are bipolar When it comes to snow ALL of us are bipolar!! : - ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Sort of interesting that both screw scenarios (inland warm and OTS) are both totally on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 On 1/21/2011 at 5:05 AM, Ji said: Euro is best solution with 1012 wet low. Gfs with more upside and downside meh yes it's probably too much as is for 12z but it's better than the 0z gfs imo. i might favor the euro idea more for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 On 1/21/2011 at 5:07 AM, PhineasC said: Sort of interesting that both screw scenarios (inland warm and OTS) are both totally on the table. so either way were screwed lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thesnowsknows Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 On 1/21/2011 at 5:04 AM, Midlo Snow Maker said: read more post less Sorry, I've been drinking. Last post I swear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2011 Author Share Posted January 21, 2011 Omg...the Midlo Myspace threat http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/fp0_324.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 It is -42 in International Falls, MN right now. Maybe we can ship some cold air out E for your storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 On 1/21/2011 at 5:07 AM, PhineasC said: Sort of interesting that both screw scenarios (inland warm and OTS) are both totally on the table. Which screw scenario do you support? MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcwx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 On 1/21/2011 at 5:08 AM, baroclinic_instability said: It is -42 in International Falls, MN right now. Maybe we can ship some cold air out E for your storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 On 1/21/2011 at 5:07 AM, PhineasC said: Sort of interesting that both screw scenarios (inland warm and OTS) are both totally on the table. i think that's sorta nina'ish in itself. big lows want to push inland (super -nao kept that at bay earlier i think) and many just scoot out to sea because they can't get the amplification/spacing needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 West of the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 GGEM is UGLY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Warm and inland seems to be the hot thing tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2011 Author Share Posted January 21, 2011 On 1/21/2011 at 5:07 AM, PhineasC said: <br />Sort of interesting that both screw scenarios (inland warm and OTS) are both totally on the table.<br /><br /><br /><br />Usually OTS always screws us since there isn't a storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 the ggem seems to like to follow the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 On 1/21/2011 at 5:08 AM, Ji said: Omg...the Midlo Myspace threat http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/fp0_324.shtml and the ggem looks like crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 it's safe to say we'll see something completely different by this time tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Nogaps also West of the gfs screw the ensemble mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2011 Author Share Posted January 21, 2011 I'm sure ukmet will have a 1039mb low east of bermuda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 On 1/21/2011 at 5:10 AM, PhineasC said: GGEM is UGLY. looks like the CRAS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 On 1/21/2011 at 5:08 AM, baroclinic_instability said: It is -42 in International Falls, MN right now. Maybe we can ship some cold air out E for your storm. dewpoint looks a little goofy CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BAUDETTE PTCLDY -30 32 100 CALM 30.09F FLAG ISLAND PTCLDY -24 -29 76 CALM 30.07F INTL FALLS PTCLDY -41 32 100 SW3 30.07R Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 On 1/21/2011 at 5:09 AM, Dcwx said: ...it's a joke? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 21, 2011 Author Share Posted January 21, 2011 Jma was also inland. Good thing we are not in bullseye 5 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 On 1/21/2011 at 5:12 AM, Ian said: it's safe to say we'll see something completely different by this time tomorrow I am OK with this for now. At least it is something different to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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