Hoosier Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Looks like Hoosier may be glad he didn't start this one. I'm picking my spot. Gonna wait until I see a better threat for a big storm here/nearby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 It's not dead yet. look if it crapped out 2-4 I would be happy. just another snow maker..that is rare here..gonna enjoy every bit of it. we just don't get snow on snow. most of our big snows are in transitional periods.....we get super cold 2 days then torch this winter the suppression is allowing snows like the one coming to happen, then we stay in the NW flow for a week and get another vort to get us and maybe a clipper to. whatever is causing this shift, i hope it stays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Funny sounding run, hard to imagine an EC storm with temps that warm in Michigan. Didn't most of the EC have wintry weather today while temps were above freezing in southern MI? Not that hard to imagine... par for the course this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 GFS and GEM both have snow for places, they are both COLD...that is important..looks like both are wrong too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 congrats Buckeye! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 That high pressure looks to prevent an off the coast track. I would expect this to track further NW. Also the LRC says this should be another dec 12 storm. 5-6 days before that storm the models had a similar track east of the apps. Ended up a MSP special so we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 That high pressure looks to prevent an off the coast track. I would expect this to track further NW. Also the LRC says this should be another dec 12 storm. 5-6 days before that storm the models had a similar track east of the apps. Ended up a MSP special so we will see. What's the LRC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 What's the LRC? http://lrcweather.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=category&layout=blog&id=2&Itemid=2 He only updates the blog I believe every 3-4 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 What's the LRC? Lezak's recurring cycle I believe. http://lrcweather.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=category&layout=blog&id=2&Itemid=2 The belief that a weather pattern sets in and reoccurs (with some differences of positioning) Joplinmet uses something similar to it and it's been pretty right. He predicted the storm we are having today even before it showed up on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted January 19, 2011 Author Share Posted January 19, 2011 Things certainly look interesting with the latest euro. Will have to see if any of the other models transition towards phasing the two S/W's. So far Euro is the only model, The gfs seems to leave some of the energy behind into the southwest, still plenty of time to watch this develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 UKMET looks like the Euro......... Euro gets a little "goofy" between 144-192hrs handling everything, but at that point, it is just for interest. the evolution of the 5h trough on the euro from day 4 to 5 is strange. Looks like its coming into the central US with a negative tilt on day 4, then on day 5 its very sharp but with a fairly positive tilt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 This one has my mild interest, mild at best right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 the evolution of the 5h trough on the euro from day 4 to 5 is strange. Looks like its coming into the central US with a negative tilt on day 4, then on day 5 its very sharp but with a fairly positive tilt. Are we buying stock in this bad boy? Ya or Nay??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Are we buying stock in this bad boy? Ya or Nay??? This winter's a bear market for big storms. But hey, they say buy low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 weenie blocked here until it of course nears the coast.. Invest in a hooker because mother nature doesn't want to be one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 weenie blocked here until it of course nears the coast.. Invest in a hooker because mother nature doesn't want to be one. Somebody could publish a book with this stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 weenie blocked here until it of course nears the coast.. Invest in a hooker because mother nature doesn't want to be one. snow or packers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 The Euro and GFS are in a model war, and maybe the first full blown one in awhile with the 500mb pattern. Way different by 120hrs. 18z GFS H5 at 120 looks prototypically EUROish with that retrograding piece of energy in the SW. 12z EURO, despite that bias, actually kicks it out. Go figure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Are we buying stock in this bad boy? Ya or Nay??? i'll comment on friday. Wouldn't want to step on tomorrows only decent threat this season so far, thats bad karma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 hmmm 0 850 to mexico border while parts of canada torch to +3. This winter it's totally believable too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 hmmm 0 850 to mexico border while parts of canada torch to +3. This winter it's totally believable too. If anyone had said this is how the winter was going to happen in the fall they probably would have been told they were crazy or something. This winter has been so weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 If anyone had said this is how the winter was going to happen in the fall they probably would have been told they were crazy or something. This winter has been so weird. This winter started tipping its hand in December imo. It has been a good learning experience for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 This winter started tipping its hand in December imo. It has been a good learning experience for sure. Learning experience yes, the good part is dependent upon location Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Just a gut feeling but i think the Euro is onto something with the big one for the eastern OH Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Just a gut feeling but i think the Euro is onto something with the big one for the eastern OH Valley. wasn't gonna say anything but you prompted me because we agree.....my first hunch on this was Pittsburgh may be the place to be for next week. that's all im say'n til friday ....gotta 3 incher to track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Just a gut feeling but i think the Euro is onto something with the big one for the eastern OH Valley. my gut......not feelin it hope you're right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 You can tell this low will be coming from the south because our high here in the detroit area is 15 on monday and it gets to 30 by wednesday. Not sure on the exact timing but it looks like the system could affect the eastern ohio valley and possibly the great lakes on tues-wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 wasn't gonna say anything but you prompted me because we agree.....my first hunch on this was Pittsburgh may be the place to be for next week. that's all im say'n til friday ....gotta 3 incher to track That's what she said! (sorry, couldn't resist) Here's hoping for a 6 incher! (snow that is) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 That's what she said! (sorry, couldn't resist) Here's hoping for a 6 incher! (snow that is) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I lack the energy/enthusiasm to track this one. Punting on 3rd down for my hood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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