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January 24th-26th Winter Storm Potential


cmichweather

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Well, it seems the basic trend is for an east coast monster in this time period. Sounds great for them and the maybe the Ohio Valley, but won't be much of anything for us further west. The pattern this winter is just not conducive for anything other than clippers or hybrids for this part of the country. Hopefully the Midwest sees a real storm sometime in Feb or March.

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personally i'd rather see the low in WVA vs eastern VA....but hey plenty of time for adjustments

ok...now im really going to bed

thanks for the info Dilly!

Night man. Congrats on the snow today.. I'm not buying into the euro yet. But man it'd be sweet. Funny you mentioned march 93 considering JB used it as analog today lol..

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personally i'd rather see the low in WVA vs eastern VA....but hey plenty of time for adjustments

ok...now im really going to bed

thanks for the info Dilly!

I might lose it if I see you guys get hammered with a big one. ;) March 2008 was a little bitter but not that bad since I had 2 big ones in 2007.

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Looking at this a little closer, if that piece of nrgy can dive further south and phase with the souther nrgy the storm may be pulled further west on th3e gfs/nam.. nam is more closer to phasing thn gfs.

(EDIT) GFS looks more like appl runner now. I didn't even look through the whole run lol *Still sleeping* LOLarrowheadsmiley.png

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Boy if there was ever any hope for a west trend it would be now. Such a nice looking storm on the models. Hope we can all somehow cash in!

There is a good possibility. I do not think storms ever on top of the APPL MNTS, that does not happen. Either its west of east!!!! GFS did shift some west with this latest run, 6z.. SO maybe its a good trend. I do not see strong blocking, nor do I see a strong arctic airmass to suppress the system to the east.

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The east based NAO is strenghtening so hopefully the models dont have a good handle on it and it can come west. I hope this is the one. We have been fairly patient and I hate to say it but we are due more than anyone else. Of course mother nature doesnt care but...

It's all about timing. If the midwest energy can come quicker or the southern energy slows down its a whole diferent solution. But as we all know these types of phasing storms are attracted by the water so I am not too optimistic.

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The east based NAO is strenghtening so hopefully the models dont have a good handle on it and it can come west. I hope this is the one. We have been fairly patient and I hate to say it but we are due more than anyone else. Of course mother nature doesnt care but...

jb alludes to this...saying this storm should come west due to the nao. I don't get the feeling he's thinking WAY west but enough to cause a changeover in the i-95.

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Euro clobbers the eastern OV as has been said. This run is a good one if you want a big storm somewhere. Not such a good trend for my backyard.

My suggestion to you is to bail on this one for here right now. Ain't happening. Could be a big dog for KY and OH though. :)

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