OKpowdah Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Still one big difference is the GFS keeps that blocking low over Newfoundland, whereas the Euro lets it retreat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Too much phasing of things off to our west...not good. Warm air is going to try to rebuild in from the south...looks like cold air could get locked in over NNE though so they might have a shot at something frozen What's their little SWFE saying? The precip comes in faster, but so does the sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 NAO looks to be doing it's dirty work, squeezing this thing S of us, locking C/NNE in the cold. But wait..doesn't the Pacific rule..and it shouldn't trend colder? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Back out for more leaves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Interesting run, y'all call me crazy but add some lift ( which seems to disappear on the GFS) and we have a repeat of 12/9/9 NNE guys should be getting a little pumped for the first widespread advisory level snow, me thinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 20, 2010 Author Share Posted November 20, 2010 What's their little SWFE saying? The precip comes in faster, but so does the sleet? That's it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 What's their little SWFE saying? The precip comes in faster, but so does the sleet? That's the one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 20, 2010 Author Share Posted November 20, 2010 But wait..doesn't the Pacific rule..and it shouldn't trend colder? It may end up being a sheared out piece of nothing or a spine runner. There is a ton of energy spilling in from the PAC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Is that a split-flow trying to develop there over the western/central US? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 The good news is at least the GFS still shows some pretty decent cold working into the Northeast, as far as how much of the cold that remains to be seen but that isn't really all that important. I bet we see our first sometime soon after Thanksgiving The key players are there, so I feel pretty good after the Holiday weekend. Specifics to be determined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Interesting run, y'all call me crazy but add some lift ( which seems to disappear on the GFS) and we have a repeat of 12/9/9 NNE guys should be getting a little pumped for the first widespread advisory level snow, me thinks. I'm cautiously optimistic, trending towards giddy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 The key players are there, so I feel pretty good after the Holiday weekend. Specifics to be determined. Agreed. I honestly really don't care what Thursday's system does actually...the ensuing pattern after that has looked potentially good for at least several days now and I don't think that will changes. Maybe NNE could see some fun out of the system but other than that this was to never be that impressive. Below-average temperature pattern with a very active jet and lots of energy to be coming in from the Pacific is enough to keep me happy and confident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 LOL wait until you see the death storm at the end of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 locking in the mecs for dec 2nd, 6-12 south of rte 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 20, 2010 Author Share Posted November 20, 2010 LOL wait until you see the death storm at the end of the GFS. 12/3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Agreed. I honestly really don't care what Thursday's system does actually...the ensuing pattern after that has looked potentially good for at least several days now and I don't think that will changes. Maybe NNE could see some fun out of the system but other than that this was to never be that impressive. Below-average temperature pattern with a very active jet and lots of energy to be coming in from the Pacific is enough to keep me happy and confident. Forget about Thursday, agreed. Some in sne may see frozen at the beginning, but it's after the weekend that's important to us. I'm still a little shaky about the next possible low at d10. It is possible that low could go overhead or west if the trough sets up further west, but the pattern over the next couple of weeks looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 12/3. 957mb?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Forget about Thursday, agreed. Some in sne may see frozen at the beginning, but it's after the weekend that's important to us. I'm still a little shaky about the next possible low at d10. It is possible that low could go overhead or west if the trough sets up further west, but the pattern over the next couple of weeks looks good. Wxwatcher Dendrite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 LOL wait until you see the death storm at the end of the GFS. Two fantasy storms today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 The 00z UK seems to have a wintry looking storm by 144 hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Alter the timing a tad and the 12/4 ORH Revival could be a snowy jaunt for attendees. Hallelujah! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Wxwatcher Dendrite Yeah even with the euro, many places inland will start as some sort of frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Yeah even with the euro, many places inland will start as some sort of frozen. They stay frozen on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Interesting run, y'all call me crazy but add some lift ( which seems to disappear on the GFS) and we have a repeat of 12/9/9 NNE guys should be getting a little pumped for the first widespread advisory level snow, me thinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 20, 2010 Author Share Posted November 20, 2010 The 00z UK seems to have a wintry looking storm by 144 hours... Slower more amplified version of the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 20, 2010 Author Share Posted November 20, 2010 957mb?? Well there's 2 storms, the first is 992 at 228h S of the BM and the follow up storm gets down to 972 at 384 E of the BM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Just by the fantasy run of the GFS, almost identical to last Dec, ten days later a coastal KU runs from the MA to SNE, LOL, carbon copy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 A couple of fantasy bombs at the end of the run on the 12z gfs, What a surprise........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Just by the fantasy run of the GFS, almost identical to last Dec, ten days later a coastal KU runs from the MA to SNE, LOL, carbon copy. Yeah, I just took a look at the 12z run as i am just getting back in i made a comment to those 2 storms, Not impossible to happen at this point but there out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 20, 2010 Share Posted November 20, 2010 Yeah, I just took a look at the 12z run as i am just getting back in i made a comment to those 2 storms, Not impossible to happen at this point but there out there. That would be hilarious, not for you or NNE though, just so similar it's cool, anyway looks like you guys get some frosting on the bird, enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.