Yeoman Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I wish things would change so I can be "wrong" again Maybe next year we will not only be back to no snow but also 50s and nothing to track for weeks on end like it was for 7 of the past 10 years. Considering everything we've been able to track, the cold weather and the fact that winter is only half over I think it could be a hell of a lot worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I like the looks of this so far a little diff than what we've seen so far this year...so far at least lol..it looks like the Friday storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 GFS looks like a nasty ice storm with a big high over E Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I like the looks of this so far a little diff than what we've seen so far this year...so far at least Is that the DT/Facebook storm? Looks promising....just 156 hrs to go :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 GFS at 168 in an OH valley storm. What are you guys looking at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Maybe next year we will not only be back to no snow but also 50s and nothing to track for weeks on end like it was for 7 of the past 10 years. Considering everything we've been able to track, the cold weather and the fact that winter is only half over I think it could be a hell of a lot worse. if were not going to have significant snow, I would rather it be 50 so I can go outside and do things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Is that the DT/Facebook storm? Looks promising....just 156 hrs to go :-) no..the DT facebook threat looks like his 5th consecutive bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 if were not going to have significant snow, I would rather it be 50 so I can go outside and do things. you cant go outside in 38 and do things? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 GFS repeats the seasonal pattern twice in a row lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 GFS at 168 in an OH valley storm. What are you guys looking at? Looking at 174 where it gives us 3-5 inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I wish things would change so I can be "wrong" again I value your knowledge and insight, but you were wrong last week when you had many convinced during that Tuesday storm that the predicted 1 to 3 inches were not going to materialize cause you said everything was shunting off into southern PA. In the end, it ended up being exactly what was modeled - a quick, but intense, 1 to 2 inches of snow from DC on north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 If that wave in the gulf doesn't come north, winter in cancelled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 no..the DT facebook threat looks like his 5th consecutive bust Threat still looks fine to me, or is it Friday already? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 no..the DT facebook threat looks like his 5th consecutive bust Headline: "DT busts on NADS" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Looking at 174 where it gives us 3-5 inches of snow. Did you buy a U Haul and move Towson to the Poconos? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Maybe next year we will not only be back to no snow but also 50s and nothing to track for weeks on end like it was for 7 of the past 10 years. Considering everything we've been able to track, the cold weather and the fact that winter is only half over I think it could be a hell of a lot worse. Hoffman admitted he couldn't care less about any event under 10 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 you cant go outside in 38 and do things? Yesterday, I did some work in the vegetable garden, including anchoring a couple of compost bins. The ground is frozen at least 2" deep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Threat still looks fine to me, or is it Friday already? DT's facebook threat was overruning for Tenn Valle and Lower Mid Atlantic and missing the NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 GFS 4 days ago had tonight as mostly if not all rain I believe...maybe some freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I value your knowledge and insight, but you were wrong last week when you had many convinced during that Tuesday storm that the predicted 1 to 3 inches were not going to materialize cause you said everything was shunting off into southern PA. In the end, it ended up being exactly what was modeled - a quick, but intense, 1 to 2 inches of snow from DC on north. You need to read his posts carefully. He punts on any event less than 10 inches. The nearly 4 inches I received in the last storm was a total bust to him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Did you buy a U Haul and move Towson to the Poconos? Are we looking at different maps? 174h on the GFS is snow for us I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 psu..you should be happy JB is crapping on DC. He has busted for Dc every storm this year so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I value your knowledge and insight, but you were wrong last week when you had many convinced during that Tuesday storm that the predicted 1 to 3 inches were not going to materialize cause you said everything was shunting off into southern PA. In the end, it ended up being exactly what was modeled - a quick, but intense, 1 to 2 inches of snow from DC on north. I guess expectations are different 1-2" of snow is nice but I would not spend hours and hours tracking if I knew the end result was going to be a couple inches. So on that note, I was hopeful that a few of the NAM runs that developed things further south would be correct, I saw by that afternoon that was not the case. Second, our area did not get anything from the coastal and no it did not happen as the models showed, there was supposed to be precip south and east of DC and they did not get anything. The coastal formed further north then models indicated, that is why NYC only got 8". The DC/BWI area got a quick burst of snow from the H5 energy coming over the area from the west. They got lucky basically. Ask anyone living anywhere south of DC if things went according to models when they got a trace of precip instead of the .15 or so predicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Are we looking at different maps? 174h on the GFS is snow for us I would think. 850 on the PA border, right? Who cares? Bring on spring training. This is miserable for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 psu..you should be happy JB is crapping on DC. He has busted for Dc every storm this year so far Why does JB say DC is a miss? Too warm or too far south to get precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Threat still looks fine to me, or is it Friday already? I think there is some confusion. The threat has always been for the 21st/22nd (if you want to call it the "DT" storm, DT even said 21st/22nd when he first mentioned it). Then the Euro showed a fantasy storm on the 23rd for 2 runs in a row and people jumped on to that, despite the fact that no other model showed anything remotely similar (this is when the "NADS" joke was born). The problem is people saw those two Euro runs ( it was the 0z and 12z Sunday runs) and got in their heads that the real threat was for a later period, despite the Euro being the only one showing that later scenario. Take out the 2 runs, and the models have been consistent in showing that the only threat was for the 21st/22nd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 You need to read his posts carefully. He punts on any event less than 10 inches. The nearly 4 inches I received in the last storm was a total bust to him. its 6 inches please get it straight it also depends...a nice 2" surprise from a clipper is different from when a storm that had 8" potential craps the bed and ends up with 2". Not all setups are the same. It is true that I do not get excited much by 1-3" inch events. I would much rather have one 20" snowstorm and nothing else all winter then 30" that come 2-4" at a time. For instance I know many hated 05/06 because it was warm for much of the winter, but I loved that winter. Had 2 pretty good snows in December and then the HECS in February. The rest of the winter was nice out and I could do things outside. That was perfect to me. This cold with minor events is just annoying to me. That said I can still analyze a storm and predict what I think will happen, not what I want to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 psu..you should be happy JB is crapping on DC. He has busted for Dc every storm this year so far he finally has caved to reality Ji that is not a good sign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Hoffman admitted he couldn't care less about any event under 10 inches. Living in the tug hill of Maryland will make you jaded with these piddly events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Why does JB say DC is a miss? Too warm or too far south to get precip? he does not specify, but specifically says he is not targeting DC for snow with this storm, that it will be further north, and he does not consider DC to be the northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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