psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 As it stands right now the 12z EURO gives us like .05-.1, the GFS gives Baltimore north .25+, the NAM gives Fredericksburg north .25, and the 21z SREF gives DC north .25. Anybody got the GGEM? I still feel like this could be a 2-5" event from DC north. The 0z NAM and the earlier GFS runs were really great. I hope the 0z GFS isn't the start of something. GGEM is stuck at 48, looks like 12z so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 GGEM is out, its actually a little south but its VERY stingy with precip, probably 1-2" DC area 2-3" along the PA border. no one gets more then 3" anywhere until perhaps new England on the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I probably got more snow last night than I will get Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 GGEM is out, its actually a little south but its VERY stingy with precip, probably 1-2" DC area 2-3" along the PA border. no one gets more then 3" anywhere until perhaps new England on the GGEM. Im ready to punt this and completely hug your storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 funny...the gfs ensemble mean is wetter than it was at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 funny...the gfs ensemble mean is wetter than it was at 12z Anybody got total qpf for the GEFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I am ready to crown OttawaBlizzard as weenie of the decade. All he does is stalk Donald Sutherland about if its going to snow in Ottawa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Anybody got total qpf for the GEFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Man I wish it would trend south tomorrow. All we would need is that LP transferring at the NC/VA border and we'd be set. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 That map is actually depressing how the .05 .5 line stops directly at the Mason Dixon line.... Frankly, I'm probably in the minority here, but I would almost prefer another ice storm than a 1 to 3 inch snowfall. At least this morning, I got to see them use the snow plows for the first time in northwest DC -- they were plowing the ice off the streets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 That map is actually depressing how the .05 line stops directly at the Mason Dixon line.... Frankly, I'm probably in the minority here, but I would almost prefer another ice storm than a 1 to 3 inch snowfall. At least this morning, I got to see them use the snow plows for the first time in northwest DC -- they were plowing the ice off the streets you mean .5......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 you mean .5......... yes thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 00z cras is out...it held serve http://cimss.ssec.wi...00/fp0_060.html http://cimss.ssec.wi...00/fp0_066.html that looks way better for here than 12z. blizzard+ http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/cras/cras45_NA/00/images/cras45na_500_066m.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 that looks way better for here than 12z. blizzard+ http://cimss.ssec.wi...na_500_066m.gif I just looked at individual precip panels for the hell of it, it looked to me like it would be one hell of storm, but DC proper would be rain with a quick foot of snow on the backend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 that looks way better for here than 12z. blizzard+ http://cimss.ssec.wi...na_500_066m.gif I dunno about y'all, but I'm ridin the CRAS. I like the cut of it's jib. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I just looked at individual precip panels for the hell of it, it looked to me like it would be one hell of storm, but DC proper would be rain with a quick foot of snow on the backend rain to flash freeze and uber blizzard. if americanwx.com can run a wx model how does wisc.edu get away with having something so ridiculous running on their servers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Someone on New York board said that run would give Southern New Hampshire 5 inches of liquid in 3 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Someone on New York board said that run would give Southern New Hampshire 5 inches of liquid in 3 hours. Road trip . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Someone on New York board said that run would give Southern New Hampshire 5 inches of liquid in 3 hours. if the euro trends to the cras would you believe it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 That map is actually depressing how the .05 .5 line stops directly at the Mason Dixon line.... Frankly, I'm probably in the minority here, but I would almost prefer another ice storm than a 1 to 3 inch snowfall. At least this morning, I got to see them use the snow plows for the first time in northwest DC -- they were plowing the ice off the streets except there is no .5 line across the Mason Dixon line, because that is 72 hour precip and is adding the precip that falls tonight and tomorrow up in PA into the mix. This is actually the precip for the storm Thursday night/Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 if the euro trends to the cras would you believe it? If your grandmother was your grandfather she would have balls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 if the euro trends to the cras would you believe it? The euro has been almost as bad this year. remember that ridiculous cut off low it developed off the mid atlantic about 10 days ago that showed it backing precip into DC and giving our area 15" of snow? That solution was just as crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 If your grandmother was your grandfather she would have balls. Very original....but good point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 <br>if the euro trends to the cras would you believe it?<br><br><br>If the cras storm were to ever verify this board would still be in meltdown because we would all be complianing about our foot of snow, on top of a Capitol Beltway encased in 5 inches of ice, while Southern New England was getting a repeat of the Blizzard of 1888 with 30 foot drifts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 hows this for a good signal for my storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 hows this for a good signal for my storm I will take some of that purple Hoffman loving please . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarolineWx Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 except there is no .5 line across the Mason Dixon line, because that is 72 hour precip and is adding the precip that falls tonight and tomorrow up in PA into the mix. This is actually the precip for the storm Thursday night/Friday That map looks almost like the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 That map looks almost like the NAM model consensus, imagine that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I will take some of that purple Hoffman loving please . I would say having the .25 back to Columbus at that range is a good signal that this is probably not going OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I would say having the .25 back to Columbus at that range is a good signal that this is probably not going OTS Yes it sure is, i am actually getting excited thinking we may see a pretty big storm from this. I am curious to see what the EURO shows tonight. I am sure the GFS will phase the storm over the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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