winter_warlock Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 looking like the best snow event for central md so far this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 BWI 850's start at -6.5C and drop at 60 hrs to -7.7C (good ratios I would think) more snow to fall at BWI it would seem after 60 hrs, but probably not much...its moving along you still worried about rain buddy. I told you snow or no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 I'll take a solid 3-5" event and like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 It does look very similar to the 18Z gfs. I'm not waiting around for the 00Z gfs. I'd be happy to see this run verify. I'll second that motion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Nice storm for the Western burbs. Nice and cold. Some decent ratio's. maybe 4 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 It does look very similar to the 18Z gfs. I'm not waiting around for the 00Z gfs. I'd be happy to see this run verify. 00z gfs will always look worse(drier,less dynamic) than 00 Nam. Sleep now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 4-6'' event this run with nice ratios good run, ill take all day long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 would be nice to see the 00z gfs improve on the nice 18z gfs we saw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 It does look very similar to the 18Z gfs. I'm not waiting around for the 00Z gfs. I'd be happy to see this run verify. i like it for sure except as noted this might be the best believable solution. we're due tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 you still worried about rain buddy. I told you snow or no 1) we were talking about that run of the NAM 2) you still just repeated what your bedroom hero stated 3) I wouldn't do any victory laps until Friday 1PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Seems to be a decent consensus. Fairly straightforward event. Climo says 2-4" north of I-66/Rt 50, 1-3" southeast. Jackpot down the spine of the Apps with 6+ across Potomac Highlands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 4-6'' event this run with nice ratios good run, ill take all day long. thx for providing inflation quickly so we dont have to mull it over long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 would be nice to see the 00z gfs improve on the nice 18z gfs we saw. qpf on both models is around .30" let's just take it and be happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 thx for providing inflation quickly so we dont have to mull it over long i thought only philly weenies take .30 and make it a 6 inch storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 qpf on both models is around .30" let's just take it and be happy agreed, the .30 inches is still better then anything i saw this winter here in baltimore county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 thx for providing inflation quickly so we dont have to mull it over long .3 at 15 to 1 is not 4''+. Okay bye, and didn't you call for no ice last night. Good to know your deflation call failed against my inflation success Happy CWG day Ian, thanks for the assumption. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Im still laughing at the 12z CRAS 984 low just south of us and no precip on us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 i thought only philly weenies take .30 and make it a 6 inch storm .3 could have 6:1 ratios and still be my best storm of the yr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 For Friday? How about .... becuz it's only Tuesday ... Even I am smart enough to know a "60% chance of rain and snow showers" followed by a "40% chance of snow showers" means no accumulation (in their minds). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 this is the image of the year lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 this is the image of the year lol... have you ever seen a northern vort dive down to the gulf and go negative before getting here so we get mostly rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 this is the image of the year lol... yeah, but JB bought into it...sorta' w/his forecasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 have you ever seen a northern vort dive down to the gulf and go negative before getting here so we get mostly rain? if it was ever going to happen here, it would be this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 yeah, but JB bought into it...sorta' w/his forecasts really...JB bought into a hurricane in january? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 if it was ever going to happen here, it would be this year even in crazy make believe model land today's cras was a first for me i think -- though it may be common on the cras for all i know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 really...JB bought into a hurricane in january? no, the more wound up solution the 12Z run of the NAM was showing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 this is the image of the year lol... SN+ in Ithaca with 850 temps below 0F..........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 while we are celebrating the NAM run, philly weenies are panicking calling it a hiccup..the nam sucks,,etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 suicide warnings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 19, 2011 Share Posted January 19, 2011 Even I am smart enough to know a "60% chance of rain and snow showers" followed by a "40% chance of snow showers" means no accumulation (in their minds). Professional Meteorologists don't post accumulations for a system 3 days out.. only weenies do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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