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Off we go, Tracking the Friday All In Storm/NADS


stormtracker

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Sim radar looks good to me. If this verifies, it will be the only system of this type this winter that gernerates snow. I'll trade a coastal transfer with a chance at 6+ for a 3" event that you can just watch advect in from miles away and move out.

Of course I'm saying this because coastal transfers have performed so well this year......

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this one could be different. you never know.. miller bs often overpeform here.

Ah crap, I need to delete my last post. The sim radar did not give the look of a miller b screwjob and I thought a different setup was on hand. I should have taken time to look at the UA maps.

The NADS now stands for Normal Average DC Screwjob?

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Whether or not Friday's storm verifies, we're still looking at - almost regardless of which model you look at - the coldest 2-week period of the season... and it coincides with the most active pattern of the season so far. Run to run can always offer opportunities for pessimism - and especially run to run qpf and surface temps several days out aren't good for mental health... but all in all, I'm happier looking at the horizon today than at any point earlier in this season. And I'm more optimistic about the chance (chance, mind you!) of getting six inches in the next week than I was about the chance of getting even 3 inches in December when the Euro and GFS were showing bomb-bomb-bomb.

I guess I'm just saying - chill out people...

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How can you not be positive on this event after what we have endured? Much better chance at getting 1"+ vs the last couple miller b new england laughing dc crying events.

I prefer REALISTIC as opposed to POSITIVE or NEGATIVE.

Also, I've spent less than 1 hour tracking this storm so far :thumbsup: Therefore I have no idea how much we'll get yet. Too much wiggle room with the mixing zone.

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