Ian Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 a little better for dc area north at 72.. about .1" for n md, .05 into dc area that's about it.. shifted the snow hole south about 100 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 a little better for dc area north at 72.. about .1" for n md, .05 into dc area precip should be over after 72 hrs on Euro sadly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I have a real hard time believing that the Euro, considering how its been this year, will pull the lonely coup on the Friday event The euro is terrible. Failed many times this year. Now it's all models vs. Euro. It aint winning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I have a real hard time believing that the Euro, considering how its been this year, will pull the lonely coup on the Friday event Last year we would've jump ship on this threat. This year... not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Holy CRAS http://cimss.ssec.wi...na_pcp_078l.gif The coolest thing about that map is what it would do to NYC and southern NE. If only it could happen that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 that's about it.. shifted the snow hole south about 100 miles That is good news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Yup, had a feeling the Euro wouldn't come right around to the GFS and NAM. I'm repeating myself but given the recent GFS/NAM performance, taking a blend of those 2 and leaving the Euro just for consideration if things start evolving the other way seems like a good play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 That is good news. puts it a little more inline with the others on qpf output. the best news might be it doesnt slam sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Day 3 5H map on Euro there's a kink out on the western side that should turn into something maybe http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=us&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1024x768&mo=ecmwf≤=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&ft=h72&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 puts it a little more inline with the others on qpf output. the best news might be it doesnt slam sne. again, GFS lead the way again on that solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Holy CRAS http://cimss.ssec.wi...na_pcp_078l.gif I'll play the odds and say and inland CAT 1 probably won't verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 LOL the CRAP CRAS gets the low down below 940mb, what crack are they on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 again, GFS lead the way again on that solution i dont think the euro has slammed sne yet.. the gfs did one run or two. for the most part the euro and gfs have not been that far off other than where they lay down qpf in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 It's going to be hard to go against the GFS, which as been doing pretty well, and almost every one of its ensemble members, at least the ones I can view. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 puts it a little more inline with the others on qpf output. the best news might be it doesnt slam sne. Euro is the dry solution, NAM is the wet. GFS is a good compromise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 LOL the CRAP CRAS gets the low down below 940mb, what crack are they on? 1000mb to 940mb in 24 hours.. super bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Holy CRAS http://cimss.ssec.wi...na_pcp_078l.gif Some friggin sweet snow ratios on that I imagine. I have a real hard time believing that the Euro, considering how its been this year, will pull the lonely coup on the Friday event Agree. Euro's been far from a lock at any point this year (at least for the east coast of the US). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Euro is the dry solution, NAM is the wet. GFS is a good compromise. the gfs has been pretty stellar lately imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 LOL the CRAP CRAS gets the low down below 940mb, what crack are they on? My question is why do we keep looking at the Cras? I know it might be fun to look at and joke about but it really has no merritt posting it...Anyway, looks like a possible 2-4 inches is possible in Central MD on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Day 4 Euro gives a diff look than we've seen so far this year maybe things are a changing for the better http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_grbcalc2.cgi?re=namer&id=&zoom=.6&ti=0≥=1024x768&mo=ecmwf≤=500&va=hght&in=60&pl=cf&ft=h96&cu=latest&overlay=no&mo=≤=&va=&in=&pl=ln&ft=h24&cu=latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 EURO only .05 for IAD. I Think that model is having serious issues short term and long term. It completely missed the ice storm yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 rofl i knew the 500 on the cras must be totally ridiculous http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/cras/cras45_NA/12/images/cras45na_500_072l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 the gfs has been pretty stellar lately imo For this area... agree completely. Never thought I'd say it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 For this area... agree completely. Never thought I'd say it. Last Years GFS upgrades FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 lower outer banks get hit again this run hr 114 0.25-.50 some mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 rofl i knew the 500 on the cras must be totally ridiculous http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/cras/cras45_NA/12/images/cras45na_500_072l.gif That model is like a never-ending series of pornos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 euro still hits the outer banks pretty good with the nads storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Looking at the GFS and its ensembles, I like the look of the precip from SW to NE. Precip coming at us that way seems to always be more reliable for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 the gfs has been pretty stellar lately imo It has been good. One cause for concern about Friday's even is the large number of sref members with surface temp issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 HR 126 500mb bowling ball over kansas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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