40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 You don't think some ski mountain in NNE could pick that up? Too low down here......1"....I'll get more than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Lolli this. What are you thinking right now? A colder scenario like the globals or do you think the SREFs and now the NAM are finally sniffing this out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 3-6 snow sleet ...ice =snow day tuesday zr lasting into tuesday night, some power outages=ice day wednesday school thursday Snow Storm Friday=snow day Friday And school is way more funnerer in June is swampazz humidity No snow day until Friday IMHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Sleds used to be 30-35hp with 17" wide tracks. now they have 100+hp and 13.5" tacks with 144 picks in them. It's like a chainsaw, a hot knife through butter. Trails have to be groomed daily. Then you have the guys who think the throttle is binary and "ride it like they stole it". I used to live out in Westfield and we had about 10 miles of local trails, deer runs etc and they were always mint, even with 4-6". Now the talk already is that we need more snow. Can you imagine, we just got 40" in Savoy and we need more snow. I mean, how fast do you need to go in the trails. I'm about done with it, time to get back to skiing. Did Savoy and Florida REALLy get over 30" of snow? I heard someone say 36" in Wilmington, VT which is just Way way too far north to have gotten into the storm more than 20".... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 And school is way more funnerer in June is swampazz humidity No snow day until Friday IMHO Yeah I was half kidding although you never know. Tommorow is 50/50, theyll be school wed-thu, Friday storm might start to late but its 4 days out so well see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 OT - cheetah440, did not realize what your name was for until tonight. That is sweet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 You don't think some ski mountain in NNE could pick that up? I'm just joking. Someone could pick up a good amount, but will the area be too far nw, or will the NAM win? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 LMAO, wonder how that map would look if he was home?? LOL my jackpot exactly matches the GYX map... and BOS is definitely as close to accurate as it can be... Someone in the mountains will get those amounts if I had to pick an amount for here it would be 9-10" which is right in the range of 6-12" take it to the bank sore sport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Too low down here......1"....I'll get more than that. I had you higher before the 0z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Jay, unlikely that anyone sees >12" Jackpot of 12" probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 You don't think some ski mountain in NNE could pick that up? Sure, I could see it at Cannon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I'm just joking. Someone could pick up a good amount, but will the area be too far nw, or will the NAM win? NAM is an outlier imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheetah440 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Did Savoy and Florida REALLy get over 30" of snow? I heard someone say 36" in Wilmington, VT which is just Way way too far north to have gotten into the storm more than 20".... I believe it, they get hammered up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I had you higher before the 0z NAM I'd advise not waivering from run-run....that is why an extensive knowledge of climo in these events is crucial. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Should I be getting the spikes out for walking to class tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I had you higher before the 0z NAM NAM is an outlier imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Looking forward to the rain...Gonna be a free 12 hour car wash. I don't think the 10-12" of glacial concrete in my yard is going anywhere anytime soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 LOL my jackpot exactly matches the GYX map... and BOS is definitely as close to accurate as it can be... Someone in the mountains will get those amounts if I had to pick an amount for here it would be 9-10" which is right in the range of 6-12" take it to the bank sore sport Sweet, yea SR always jackpots in SWFE with coastal popping, good call for your area Jay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Well 3 of you jumped on me like I'm expecting a foot of snow here. I was pointing out the simple fact that the NAM is busting high with the 2m temps. Is that a false statement? I do think it has bearing on RA vs FRRA for some. I think we all jumped separately at the same time. NAM generally blows. Radar indicates we get some snow prior to changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 What are you thinking right now? A colder scenario like the globals or do you think the SREFs and now the NAM are finally sniffing this out? I just got back from a wake, so I haven't really digested the NAM. It is a little concerning to see it so warm. The other thing that I hope doesn't happen, is the signal for the qpf to run due north and not make much eastward progress. The slower it makes progress east, the less snow for those east of the CT river I think. I think we will see some echoes develop and move up from the sw later tonight, but something to watch. The NAM is usually pretty good in these setups, but it has been all over the place at the 850 level. Perhaps I'd lean near the euro for now, but I'd keep in mind what the mesoscale models are doing. I got to tackle this tomorrow morning unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Jay, unlikely that anyone sees >12" Jackpot of 12" probably. Meh 14-18" range It would only be a 2" bust if some mountain pass got 14" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Looking forward to the rain...Gonna be a free 12 hour car wash. I don't think the 10-12" of glacial concrete in my yard is going anywhere anytime soon. if you get high DP's and fog it will. just like the day b4 new years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheetah440 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 OT - cheetah440, did not realize what your name was for until tonight. That is sweet! I usually have an old Arctic Cat sled as my avatar. Now you know why I dig snow, pray for it etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I just got back from a wake, so I haven't really digested the NAM. It is a little concerning to see it so warm. The other thing that I hope doesn't happen, is the signal for the qpf to run due north and not make much eastward progress. The slower it makes progress east, the less snow for those east of the CT river I think. I think we will see some echoes develop and move up from the sw later tonight, but something to watch. The NAM is usually pretty good in these setups, but it has been all over the place at the 850 level. Perhaps I'd lean near the euro for now, but I'd keep in mind what the mesoscale models are doing. I got to tackle this tomorrow morning unfortunately. I disagree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 LOL it was really warm down there.......... It might be an outlier but it was a red flag Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Sweet, yea SR always jackpots in SWFE with coastal popping, good call for your area Jay My sarcasm detector is having trouble on this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I think we all jumped separately at the same time. NAM generally blows. Radar indicates we get some snow prior to changeover. Juicy Mofo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 LOL it was really warm down there.......... It might be an outlier but it was a red flag LOL Fair enough. I'm not huge on Friday.....GFS and EURO have it developing a bit too late to be a huge deal and that is the way I'd lean, for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Oh, no, not this again... I hope not, things aren't looking to promising and with much more snow accumulation prior to the ice, things could get interesting tomorrow evening into Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I disagree. I mean with freezing rain setups...such as mesoscale features and temps. That's why I tried to make the difference between that and mid levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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