cpickett79 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 0 F to 35 and rain at 3pm to 30F and fRZ tommorrow nite? can anyone see nam's 2m temps for the 1.5 QPF it gives 128-495. from during the six hour frame from 7 to 1 am .... :lmao: perhaps we can still get IP from hell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Alright I'll go ahead and embarrass myself. First time trying this: New Haven 2-4" snow brief sleet then .4" rain New London 1-3" snow brief ice then . 5" rain Providence 2-4" snow brief ice then . 4" rain Hartford 4-8" snow sleet then .2" ice ending with 33F drizzle Torrington 7-10" snow sleet Charlemont 9-13" snow sleet then ice Worcester 9-11" snow sleet brief ice Westford 8-10" snow sleet brief ice Wilmington 4-7" snow sleet, .3" ice Boston 3-6" snow ice, rain Nashua 8-10" snow brief sleet then ice Keene 10-13" snow sleet Concord 9-12" snow northern extent of sleet/ice Laconia 11-15" snow Portland 6-10" snow sleet ice Bridgton 15-18" snow You're probably giving me false hope, but in the event this verifies, I'll give you two weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 2-4 ice/ sleet the rain then frzra to lite snow? IDK depends on how fast ML close off south of us and speed of East winds scouring out cold. thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheetah440 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Went past my local sledneck bar up the road yesterday and there were probably 50 machines in the lot. Not going to be any rain here. LOL, some snow on the wet side would work too. Which bar btw, Listons? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Went past my local sledneck bar up the road yesterday and there were probably 50 machines in the lot. Not going to be any rain here. Good thing there was 50. Had there been only something like 35 I'd be concerned about your p-type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 2-3" of rain for RI/SE MA? WTF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheetah440 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Unless you came out of the womb wearing skiis you were once one of the aholes. I'm not sure what's worse the people tearing up the mountain or the people that ski by little kids doing 35 mph on green trails. I'm talking about snowmobiles. Too many riding 1000cc machines that are like chainsaws through this powder we have on the trials. That and the fact that they don't care about anyone riding on the remains of what they leave in their wake. Of course, I did start skiing when I was 3, not quite the womb but close and I was never an ahole on the mountain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Yes. A single storm over-performed even 12 hour 0z NAM forecasts and it's much revered because of it. Doesn't mean it'll change from what has been a dreadful two winters of performance the majority of the time. Unless you came out of the womb wearing skiis you were once one of the aholes. I'm not sure what's worse the people tearing up the mountain or the people that ski by little kids doing 35 mph on green trails. One of my favorite activities as a Patroller was x-ing out lift tickets of this particular brand of Ahole. "you can't do that!!" to which I said "Yes I can!" clip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 2-3" of rain for RI/SE MA? WTF? Terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 NAM is about 4mb deeper with the low vs the 18z run and the SLP has virtually the same placement. The deeper storm is bringing up more mid level warming. A huge shift warmer in thermal profiles Yeah but it had the SLP track down, and the general area of max dynamics/QPF as well. So it did a great job no? Busting on mid-level strength is the norm for the NAM. Sometimes it goes in your favor, sometimes it doesn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 2-3" of rain for RI/SE MA? WTF? Very doubtful. Plenty of rain but not that much. The good news is even with NAM the low levels are not that warm. And the better news is this solution I think makes it easier for something bigger Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Actuallly, looks like it might drop a little snow on the back end in NW mass. This is not what I wanted to see before heading to bed now. I'll hold it in the "wrong" categoroy for now and hope to come down at 4:30 to a more wintry type scene both out my window and on the models. Fingers crossed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 If you're forecasting ice in our neck of the woods, then you can hardly ever go right. You right but - Ah, No Worcester County North big time issues This is sacrificial to snowgods for next one. Gots to even out. I drove down to Plymouth Ma today. I swear I have more snow than anywhere around. DPW in town did lousy job. The streets are very narrow and dangerous. Rain actually welcome to lower snowbanks on sides so atleast one can see. OT Jets still suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 LOL, some snow on the wet side would work too. Which bar btw, Listons? The one, the only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I don't care if some cranberry bog in in Carver, MA gets down to -10, tonight.....it has no baring; this setup blows because the high is offshore and the primary joins it to tag team us. More wet, than white in these parts......probably break even. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 00z NAM is Valentines Day 2007 sleet fest revisited I was thinking Feb 07 when this run was coming out too. The only question is will it be more IP or ZR? H9 is the warm level so I'm leaning ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Yeah- SREF's were a huge red flag if the NAM verifies on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I'm talking about snowmobiles. Too many riding 1000cc machines that are like chainsaws through this powder we have on the trials. That and the fact that they don't care about anyone riding on the remains of what they leave in their wake. Of course, I did start skiing when I was 3, not quite the womb but close and I was never an ahole on the mountain. HA! My bad, and I can imagine there's the same "type" on the snowmobiles too. Never really gave it much thought that they could tear up those trails too. One of my favorite activities as a Patroller was x-ing out lift tickets of this particular brand of Ahole. "you can't do that!!" to which I said "Yes I can!" clip. Good move. Someone got so close to us Saturday while we were helping the kids their ski pole hit one of the wives while he zoomed by. The trail was wide open, wide, and there were very few people on it. We were on the edge in plain site, well out of the way. The guy did apologize as he was slamming down, but still. Thankfully Sunday River is not a place where we see that happen often, Waterville..that's another story. All of the girls took up snowboarding Sunday. Quite funny watching them as they all reverted from very good skiers to snowplows. -- Anyway good luck with this storm guys. I might see an inch of snow/something measurable before it goes quickly to a snow erasing downpour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 This looks like mostly Snow here at KLEB, but it's close... Either way, the GFS MOS has been relatively unimpressed for a while... be interesting to see the rest of the suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 is john jumping off a bridge.....or is he not sold on mid levels from hell box was really hammering ML warmth on disco..... seems like mid levels torch ahead of schedule.....what to we want a weaker or stronger low to limit torching mid-levels it seems at 12 hours (12z =7am) the nam is weaker with surface low but mid levels 0c are much further north. from 12z run to 0z run the 24 and 12 hr 0c line has shifted from near allentown to binghamton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I don't care if some cranberry bog in in Carver, MA gets down to -10, tonight.....it has no baring; this setup blows because the high is offshore and the primary joins it to tag team us. More wet, than white in these parts......probably break even. Will make for a nice ice skating rink to drive on. That's the part that sucks. I'd rather it be 32F and pouring rain than 10F and pouring rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I was thinking Feb 07 when this run was coming out too. The only question is will it be more IP or ZR? H9 is the warm level so I'm leaning ZR. What did you get during that storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheetah440 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 The one, the only. That's pretty funny you got a pic at the ready. There's only so many trailside you know. We usually ride to the Lakehouse from Whately but have been to Liston's a few times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 It's a good thing Kevin was sleeping through this. I'm out. Keep up the good fight! 9.0/-2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Will make for a nice ice skating rink to drive on. That's the part that sucks. I'd rather it be 32F and pouring rain than 10F and pouring rain. Not east of I 495, it won't.....plain old liquid puddles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I was thinking Feb 07 when this run was coming out too. The only question is will it be more IP or ZR? H9 is the warm level so I'm leaning ZR. where's the ZR Line from late evening to overnite on the 0z nam? 495? S NH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheetah440 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 HA! My bad, and I can imagine there's the same "type" on the snowmobiles too. Never really gave it much thought that they could tear up those trails too. Now worries. Yeah, mostly aholes in the snowmobiling game really. It's too bad, it used to be so much fun, now it's survival out there. Machines too big, too powerful, too fast and the general IQ of the rider has gone down. It's hard to imagine 3 feet of snow is now gone on most trails, but that's the way it is these days. Back in the glory days of the Cheetah440 (1973 vintage) we'd be good for the rest of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Alright I'll go ahead and embarrass myself. First time trying this: New Haven 2-4" snow brief sleet then .4" rain New London 1-3" snow brief ice then . 5" rain Providence 2-4" snow brief ice then . 4" rain Hartford 4-8" snow sleet then .2" ice ending with 33F drizzle Torrington 7-10" snow sleet Charlemont 9-13" snow sleet then ice Worcester 9-11" snow sleet brief ice Westford 8-10" snow sleet brief ice Wilmington 4-7" snow sleet, .3" ice Boston 3-6" snow ice, rain Nashua 8-10" snow brief sleet then ice Keene 10-13" snow sleet Concord 9-12" snow northern extent of sleet/ice Laconia 11-15" snow Portland 6-10" snow sleet ice Bridgton 15-18" snow good ole Weenie Radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 You right but - Ah, No Worcester County North big time issues This is sacrificial to snowgods for next one. Gots to even out. I drove down to Plymouth Ma today. I swear I have more snow than anywhere around. DPW in town did lousy job. The streets are very narrow and dangerous. Rain actually welcome to lower snowbanks on sides so atleast one can see. OT Jets still suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Not east of I 495, it won't.....plain old liquid puddles. You said -10F. If it starts to rain at that temp, there will be an ice skating rink to drive on. Obviously that won't be the case but you did say -10F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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