BethesdaWX Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 28.4, ZR mixing with sleet now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 The funny thing is I have seen numerous "ice storms" hyped up around here that ended up being FAR less than what that this turned out to be. And this one was under-forecast and under-hyped. There wasn't even a watch -- LWX was forced to go to st8 to warnings for the northern suburbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcwx Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Well the power is still on here, we are usually one of the first buildings to go so that says something... Pepco map looks pretty clear so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 only 67 customers out per BGE....thinking this wont be a major power outage situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 how about the fact that models couldn't even predict the precip from 6 hours out. Tonight's 0z models kept the heavy precip from 95 east. Perhaps this breaks the pattern of having issues with precip in our area. I would much rather fight with rain then this stupid precip hole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 28.8..if it contiues at this rate ill be at 32 by 3am.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 how about the fact that models couldn't even predict the precip from 6 hours out. Tonight's 0z models kept the heavy precip from 95 east. Perhaps this breaks the pattern of having issues with precip in our area. I would much rather fight with rain then this stupid precip hole Agreed, I tried to make the point earlier how guidance sucks this year, but I only got bashed for it and accused of insulting the programmers....But its the truth..they have been terrible this winter...Could be La Nina..but still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 only 67 customers out per BGE....thinking this wont be a major power outage situation. I really doubt widespread power outages, largely cause so much of the storm so far has fallen as sleet/snow. However, since areas like Northern Montgomery and Howard and Baltimore County have only recently went over to freezing rain from sleet/snow, I would wait to see what things look like at 8 or 9 a.m. tomorrow before you rule out power outages in some of the traditionally colder areas that are unlikely to rise above freezing till sometime tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I really doubt widespread power outages, largely cause so much of the storm so far has fallen as sleet/snow. However, since areas like Northern Montgomery and Howard and Baltimore County have only recently went over to freezing rain from sleet/snow, I would wait to see what things look like at 8 or 9 a.m. tomorrow before you rule out power outages in some of the traditionally colder areas that are unlikely to rise above freezing till sometime tomorrow morning. Oh im not ruling out any power outages...in fact I guarantee that number goes up..Im just saying overall i dont expect it to be a big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Mine says 28.2 also... but the Bannockburn ES Station about 2 miles to my SE has 29.2.... 26 at landon, 27 at bradley hills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Not to be redundant, but now 29.1...Im a little surprised at how quicly the temp is rising, I know im close to the bay, but the majority of the bay is frozen over...at this point Im thinking Ill be plain rain by 4AM and the rush will be spared...Different story obviously on the northwest side of town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 back to heavy snow but its definitely very icy about 3" total now Temp 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
32º Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I really doubt widespread power outages, largely cause so much of the storm so far has fallen as sleet/snow. However, since areas like Northern Montgomery and Howard and Baltimore County have only recently went over to freezing rain from sleet/snow, I would wait to see what things look like at 8 or 9 a.m. tomorrow before you rule out power outages in some of the traditionally colder areas that are unlikely to rise above freezing till sometime tomorrow morning. Now 25F in Freeland along MD/PA line and just switched over to sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I know its difficult to measure ice, but do we have any ice measurements in the area to this point? Im just curious if the LWX WSW upgrade will verify for most places or not.. Because for me I dont think it will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 29.5 now, and based on radar I might get in on a little of that dryslot coming north...I honestly dont think I see much more ice/sleet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 eeek, 29 degrees sharp now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 looks like its mostly sleet now, finished with 3" of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 eeek, 29 degrees sharp now... Yeah for the winter weather lovers south of the people just south of the PA line, these trends arent looking good here..Fast temp rises.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Now 29.8 While Baltimore Martin is now 32....whats going to fall by 4AM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Just took a walk outside, the street is icy enough to be a skating rink, trees are coated in about 0.1" ice, pine branches bending down. Honestly, I'm confident in my trees ability to handle the ice, after putting up with snowmaggedon & The 7/25 severewx.... most of the weak stuff has probably been taken care of. I'm hoping I'm far enough west to avoid warming much further. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Just took a walk outside, the street is icy enough to be a skating rink, trees are coated in about 0.1" ice, pine branches bending down. Honestly, I'm confident in my trees ability to handle the ice, after putting up with snowmaggedon & The 7/25 severewx.... most of the weak stuff has probably been taken care of. I'm hoping I'm far enough west to avoid warming much further. Thanks for the ice accumulation update...watch those temps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Thanks for the ice accumulation update...watch those temps... Yeah up to 29.1....... PLEASE stop rising dammit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 NowFreezing rain mixed with sleet...will continue across the Baltimore area and northern Washington suburbs into the early morning. Up to one tenth inch ice accretion is possible through 3 am. Temperatures will be in the mid 20s. ^nowcast by NWS....sounds like a fail on the temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Yeah up to 29.1....... PLEASE stop rising dammit An even 30 now for me...this thread is dead btw...I guess no one cares anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Just took a walk outside, the street is icy enough to be a skating rink, trees are coated in about 0.1" ice, pine branches bending down. Honestly, I'm confident in my trees ability to handle the ice, after putting up with snowmaggedon & The 7/25 severewx.... most of the weak stuff has probably been taken care of. I'm hoping I'm far enough west to avoid warming much further. Accreting quickly though approaching .15 in bethesda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 An even 30 now for me...this thread is dead btw...I guess no one cares anymore. hehe people are sleeping. I don't feel like missing this, so I'm up for a bit..or until power goes out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JYarsh Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 For those who want more ZR accumulations at this point, lighter precip is better than heavier. Marginal temps won't freeze moderate rain, but it can keep up with the light stuff. Also heavier returns at this point are likely to bring down the warm layer further and could push temps up higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 hehe people are sleeping. I don't feel like missing this, so I'm up for a bit..or until power goes out I dont even care about the precip, Im just curious to see how fast the temp keeps climbing LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 30 degrees just south of Waldorf, .15 ice here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 For those who want more ZR accumulations at this point, lighter precip is better than heavier. Marginal temps won't freeze moderate rain, but it can keep up with the light stuff. Also heavier returns at this point are likely to bring down the warm layer further and could push temps up higher. Good post, but for me at this point Im doubting it matters much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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