Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,606
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

January 17-19th Plains/MW/Lakes Storm Potential Part II


Powerball

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 349
  • Created
  • Last Reply

has it turned back to snow from rockford west to Iowa border?

Looks like it. Like I said earlier, such a nailbiter here. 24 degrees with the wind whipping out of the south, had an hour and a half of good snow and picked up around an inch. Next big round should start in an hour as snow, the question is how long will it remain?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looks like it. Like I said earlier, such a nailbiter here. 24 degrees with the wind whipping out of the south, had an hour and a half of good snow and picked up around an inch. Next big round should start in an hour as snow, the question is how long will it remain?

still snowing here but nearly as heavy, have sinking feeling we are about to turn over to a mix, hopefully we get in on that heavy snow that has redevelped in Iowa. Up to 31 at 3pm

Link to comment
Share on other sites

KLOT UPDATE

DISCUSSION...

250 PM CST

SHORT TERM (THROUGH TONIGHT)...

TRENDS EVOLVING MORE OR LESS AS ANTICIPATED AS WARMER AIR AND THE

SFC FREEZING LINE CONTINUE TO MARCH STEADILY NORTHWARD. PRECIP IS

SPREADING EAST BACK INTO CHGO METRO AREA AT THIS TIME AND SHOULD

GRADUALLY SPREAD SOUTH INTO OUR SOUTHERN MOST COUNTIES AS WELL.

WITH SFC TEMPS WARMING ABOVE FREEZING THREAT FOR PROLONGED PERIOD

OF FRZ RAIN OVER CWA IS DECREASING...THOUGH BRIEF PERIOD OF ICING

CERTAINLY POSSIBLE IN THE SLOPPY TRANSITION ZONE. SNOWFALL TOTALS

WILL LIKELY END UP IN THE 2-5 INCH RANGE OVER NORTHERN MOST TIER

OF COUNTIES...THOUGH WITH RFD NOW REPORTING SLEET/FRZ RAIN MIXING

IN WOULD ANTICIPATE THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL ACCUMS TO

DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST AS SLOP BEGINS MIXING IN WITH SNOW EVEN

UP TO THE WISCONSIN BORDER.

SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A VIGOROUS VORT OVER NORTHERN

IOWA PUSHING EAST-SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE AREA. TEXTURE/LUMIPNESS OF

THE CLOUDINESS OVER IOWA INDICATES SOME IMPRESSIVE VERTICAL MOTION

AND EVEN SOMEWHAT OF A CONVECTIVE NATURE TO THE PRECIPITATION...SO

SOME PERIODS OF HEAVIER PRECIP CERTAINLY A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY

TONIGHT. WHILE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BECOME THE PREDOMINANT PRECIP

TYPE OVER ABOUT THE SE 1/2 TO 2/3 OF THE AREA...THE MORE CONVECTIVE

NATURE OF THE UPSTREAM PRECIP DOES MEAN THAT PRECIP TYPE COULD FLOP

BACK AND FORTH A BIT THIS EVENING WITH COLUMN COOLING SOME WITH THE

STRONGER UPDRAFTS/PRECIP CORES.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

KLOT UPDATE

DISCUSSION...

250 PM CST

SHORT TERM (THROUGH TONIGHT)...

TRENDS EVOLVING MORE OR LESS AS ANTICIPATED AS WARMER AIR AND THE

SFC FREEZING LINE CONTINUE TO MARCH STEADILY NORTHWARD. PRECIP IS

SPREADING EAST BACK INTO CHGO METRO AREA AT THIS TIME AND SHOULD

GRADUALLY SPREAD SOUTH INTO OUR SOUTHERN MOST COUNTIES AS WELL.

WITH SFC TEMPS WARMING ABOVE FREEZING THREAT FOR PROLONGED PERIOD

OF FRZ RAIN OVER CWA IS DECREASING...THOUGH BRIEF PERIOD OF ICING

CERTAINLY POSSIBLE IN THE SLOPPY TRANSITION ZONE. SNOWFALL TOTALS

WILL LIKELY END UP IN THE 2-5 INCH RANGE OVER NORTHERN MOST TIER

OF COUNTIES...THOUGH WITH RFD NOW REPORTING SLEET/FRZ RAIN MIXING

IN WOULD ANTICIPATE THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL ACCUMS TO

DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST AS SLOP BEGINS MIXING IN WITH SNOW EVEN

UP TO THE WISCONSIN BORDER.

SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO SHOW A VIGOROUS VORT OVER NORTHERN

IOWA PUSHING EAST-SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE AREA. TEXTURE/LUMIPNESS OF

THE CLOUDINESS OVER IOWA INDICATES SOME IMPRESSIVE VERTICAL MOTION

AND EVEN SOMEWHAT OF A CONVECTIVE NATURE TO THE PRECIPITATION...SO

SOME PERIODS OF HEAVIER PRECIP CERTAINLY A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY

TONIGHT. WHILE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BECOME THE PREDOMINANT PRECIP

TYPE OVER ABOUT THE SE 1/2 TO 2/3 OF THE AREA...THE MORE CONVECTIVE

NATURE OF THE UPSTREAM PRECIP DOES MEAN THAT PRECIP TYPE COULD FLOP

BACK AND FORTH A BIT THIS EVENING WITH COLUMN COOLING SOME WITH THE

STRONGER UPDRAFTS/PRECIP CORES.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yeah, that rain/mix line is creeping steadily north :thumbsdown: I hate how warm air always wins out. BTW, is your avatar of the Dec 1, 2006 storm?

Nope, it was a lighter event - around Thanksgiving 2004: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ilx/events/nov242004/nov24.php

The 12/1/06 storm was a futher north, wound up storm. Chicago was on the southern edge of that one.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Wonder if BowMe got some of this?

METAR KMKE 172052Z COR 17012KT 1/2SM SN FZFG VV003 M02/M03 A2963 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 3/4 SLP045 SNINCR 1/4 P0003 60011 T10171033 58018 RVRNO

Pretty much dinked over here with the heavier returns outside of about 5 mins. MBY is where heavier snow returns come to die or just miss this winter. That dry air tongue that creeped up my fanny for the last 45 mins didn't do nothing for me. Always something this winter.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Pretty much dinked over here with the heavier returns outside of about 5 mins. MBY is where heavier snow returns come to die or just miss this winter. That dry air tongue that creeped up my fanny for the last 45 mins didn't do nothing for me. Always something this winter.

Blah...sorry man. Rough ride for you this winter. :thumbsdown:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...