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January 17-19th Plains/MW/Lakes Storm Potential Part II


Powerball

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Just had a nasty drive home from class at COD, wow. took 88 west home cause I figured butterfied would be worse. It was good till about rt 59 and then the heavens opened and it started pouring +SN with monster flakes, was going probably 20mph with hardly any vis. was like like till farnsworth for a bit of a break only to pick back up again near my house. 88 and the main roads by me are completely snow covered, a solid 2" I would say here.

I wasn't home all day, my mom said we had sleet and rain for awhile but solid snow since about 7pm.

what an event, wasn't expecting this on the backside, although the NAM/RUC were hinting at this.

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what an event, wasn't expecting this on the backside, although the NAM/RUC were hinting at this.

Haha yeah, it's been an interesting day. I thought we were done too after we had several hours of freezing rain/rain/sleet, but the back end gave us some nice bonus snow. Good to see you guys get some decent snow.

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DTX kinda interesting.

000FXUS63 KDTX 180454AFDDTXAREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI1154 PM EST MON JAN 17 2011.AVIATION...SUSTAINED MOISTURE TRANSPORT IN ADVANCE OF A WEAK LOW PRESSURESYSTEM WILL ALLOW PRECIPITATION TO EXPAND EASTWARD INTO SOUTHEASTMICHIGAN THROUGH THE EARLY AND MID MORNING HOURS. A STRONG SURGE OFWARM AIR IN THE MID LEVELS WILL ALLOW THIS PRECIPITATION TO FALL ASLIGHT FREEZING IN DETROIT OVERNIGHT...BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO RAINBETWEEN 11-12Z AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES NUDGE ABOVE FREEZING. FORTHE NORTHERN TAF SITES...A MIX OF LIGHT SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN WILLOCCUR THROUGHOUT THE MORNING HOURS. VFR/MVFR CONDITIONS EARLY WILLDETERIORATE INTO IFR AS THE PRECIPITATION INTENSITY/COVERAGEINCREASES. PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION BACK TO LIGHT SNOWAREAWIDE DURING THE AFTERNOON AS WINDS BECOME NORTHWESTERLY WITH THEPASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT.

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After what I thought would be a mostly precipitaiton free night, radar retuns just popped up out of nowhere. Now if we were expecting snow this stuff would have never developed and we'd waiting on the moisture out west all night.

Dude, I just dont get you sometimes lol. First of all, how many surprise and overachieving snowfalls did we see the last week alone? Several. And as for this...precip has been moved back constantly every few hours or so...it was originally supposed to start Monday afternoon.

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