IsentropicLift Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I would think most schools will have a delayed opening unless it becomes clear that the ice is going to persist past 10-11am. We all know how dangerous even a trace of ice can be, thus why the minimum criteria for an advisory is only a trace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 we would having screaming southerly winds with temps in the teens or something inland. looks like that air originates in the arctic circle Now THAT would be an ice storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rygar Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 So, does the 18z NAM trend towards the GFS or vice versa. Should give us an idea of what to expect tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goombatommy Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 How much did it snow out there? 4 or 5 inches? A delayed opening is probably all that was needed. We had around 4.8" at my house; which is 2 blocks from EASD, and 2 blocks in the other direction from Wilson SD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 We had around 4.8" at my house; which is 2 blocks from EASD, and 2 blocks in the other direction from Wilson SD. Delayed opening was fine then IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Update with latest Wxsim module read based on GFS/NAM at 12z Continues it's trend toward more snow for the NW Philly burbs....now forecasting from 4 to 6" of snow and IP before the change to ZR...here are the timings Flurries by 630pm this evening Temp 24.9 Lt Snow at 10pm temp 23.3 Mod Snow at midnight temp 22.3 Heavy Snow at 3am temp 22.1 Heavy Snow/IP mix at 6am temp 24.3 ZR from 7am to 1pm with 0.53" of ZR falling Temp finally rises above freezing by 1pm with just a little leftover drizzle It also has heavy snow arriving after midnight on Thursday with another 5 -7" of snow by Friday AM rush Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomalak55 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'm not sure if your familiar with the Easton/Wilson area SD, but the last event we had, EASD was the only district closed; yet Wilson SD which is literally a block away from EASD, had a delayed opening. Quite humorous. If you're referring to the storm last week, the night before Easton said closed but Wilson only said 2 hour delay. The next morning, Wilson did indeed switch to closed, but not until after 7am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goombatommy Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 If you're referring to the storm last week, the night before Easton said closed but Wilson only said 2 hour delay. The next morning, Wilson did indeed switch to closed, but not until after 7am. I'm talking about the 1/11 -1/12 event. Really? I thought they remained with a Delayed opening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'm not sure if your familiar with the Easton/Wilson area SD, but the last event we had, EASD was the only district closed; yet Wilson SD which is literally a block away from EASD, had a delayed opening. Quite humorous. not true other Lehigh Valley districts were closed also . Wilson was not, which was interesting, but Phillipsburg NJ was closed. Figure nearly all will be closed Tuesday, if forecast holds true Edit: I don't recall seeing Wilson close, but may have been Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomalak55 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'm talking about the 1/11 -1/12 event. Really? I thought they remained with a Delayed opening. No, they did close eventually, but so late that most people didn't realize it (except all the kids from Wilson who were waiting up begging to see a cancelation). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Update with latest Wxsim module read based on GFS/NAM at 12z Continues it's trend toward more snow for the NW Philly burbs....now forecasting from 4 to 6" of snow and IP before the change to ZR...here are the timings Flurries by 630pm this evening Temp 24.9 Lt Snow at 10pm temp 23.3 Mod Snow at midnight temp 22.3 Heavy Snow at 3am temp 22.1 Heavy Snow/IP mix at 6am temp 24.3 ZR from 7am to 1pm with 0.53" of ZR falling Temp finally rises above freezing by 1pm with just a little leftover drizzle It also has heavy snow arriving after midnight on Thursday with another 5 -7" of snow by Friday AM rush Well, I like that. Wish it would verify. Nice dump of snow sealed with a layer of ice. The 43 Accuwx has been advertising for days for tomorrow has really seemed out to lunch... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 not true other Lehigh Valley districts were closed also . Wilson was not, which was interesting, but Phillipsburg NJ was closed. Figure nearly all will be closed Tuesday, if forecast holds true Edit: I don't recall seeing Wilson close, but may have been Yeah, pretty much everything was closed here. Allentown/Parkland/East Penn/Salisbury were all closed, as well as lots of private schools including the one my sister goes to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 So Q, along the I84 corridor do we go freezing rain in the valleys and sleet/snow in the higher elevations? It seems like the storms this year just want to snow on us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Why are we discussing schools in this thread? I think a mod should split it off into a different thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Update with latest Wxsim module read based on GFS/NAM at 12z Continues it's trend toward more snow for the NW Philly burbs....now forecasting from 4 to 6" of snow and IP before the change to ZR...here are the timings Flurries by 630pm this evening Temp 24.9 Lt Snow at 10pm temp 23.3 Mod Snow at midnight temp 22.3 Heavy Snow at 3am temp 22.1 Heavy Snow/IP mix at 6am temp 24.3 ZR from 7am to 1pm with 0.53" of ZR falling Temp finally rises above freezing by 1pm with just a little leftover drizzle It also has heavy snow arriving after midnight on Thursday with another 5 -7" of snow by Friday AM rush Looks more and more like your typical 4-8 inch warm front snow for the LV with a crusty top at the end. 5-7 inches at the end of the week would put set in place the ability for raditional cooling and some below zero weather for all of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 Why are we discussing schools in this thread? I think a mod should split it off into a different thread. Start a new thread, guys, if you want to talk about school closing practices. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I think both events are dependent on elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Start a new thread, guys, if you want to talk about school closing practices. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pohopoco Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 FWIW---MPO reporting Temp of 18 w/a DP of-0.9,Wind SE @5... Let's pay attn to what sfc temps do across New Eng. If they stay below where we're at and we keep Nely winds, I think we'll be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 19.4*F, DP 6*F in Hazleton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldstar Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 llentown Lehigh Valley International Airport Lat: 40.66 Lon: -75.43 Elev: 390 Last Update on Jan 17, 12:51 pm EST Overcast 21 °F (-6 °C) Humidity: 54 % Wind Speed: NE 7 MPH Barometer: 30.28" (1026.0 mb) Dewpoint: 7 °F (-14 °C) Wind Chill: 12 °F (-11 °C) Visibility: 10.00 mi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 FWIW---MPO reporting Temp of 18 w/a DP of-0.9,Wind SE @5... I was mostly talking about New Eng. I guess for your area, you should look at NJ stations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 Why are we putting obs in the forecast discussion thread now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Why are we putting obs in the forecast discussion thread now? Maybe because it's not really even so much of a forecast event now, and we're getting into nowcast time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Why are we putting obs in the forecast discussion thread now? People are anxious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldstar Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 9 Hours until storm start time. No models out until 4:00 Eastern so we wait... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 Maybe because it's not really even so much of a forecast event now, and we're getting into nowcast time? But we have threads for obs. And a single station's observation is pretty meaningless for the forecast at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 9 Hours until storm start time. No models out until 4:00 Eastern so we wait... NAM starts at 2:30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 But we have a thread for obs. And a single station's observation is pretty meaningless for the forecast at this time. We should start separate threads for NYC/PHL like with the last storm. That seemed to work pretty well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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