weathervswife Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 There used to be a time when the 12z euro sniffed a storm..the 18z gfs would follow suite. No more. The Gfs could care less about the euro and frankly I'm tired of it not showing us a storm. Can't the euro and Gfs agree for once?? These GFS enhancements are pissing me off. The GFS is now Dr. No. No more warm fuzzy teddy bear before bedtime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Gfs almost went out of it's way not to bring snow to dc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 18z GFS for the DT storm looks a bit funky... I don't buy it at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Gfs almost went out of it's way not to bring snow to dc I'm not sure I care what any model is showing 5-7 days out anymore....not sure why you do either. Euro isn't going to show this solution for 15 more runs and you know it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Yep, how weenie of me... has nothing to do with IMBY, Just looks like its handing off too much energy.. the classic GFS "frontal" look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Yep, how weenie of me... has nothing to do with IMBY, Just looks like its handing off too much energy.. the classic GFS "frontal" look. Sometimes the energy is a convoluted mess though, it's not always a nice pretty phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Gfs almost went out of it's way not to bring snow to dc Delayed, but not denied . Nice + PNA and -NAO showing up in later frames BTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Delayed, but not denied . Nice + PNA and -NAO showing up in later frames BTW. Not to mention a double storm from the same cloed 500mb low. One at 264 and one at 324. Too bad it won't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Snow/Sleet around one inch... ice one tenth to two tenths in the zones by LWX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 18z gfs ensembles look a little more juicy for the Friday over runner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 DC NBC 4 just went with 1 to 2 inches of snow from tomorrow afternoon till the changeover to ice tomorrow night. This could be the biggest snow so far this year around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 DC NBC 4 just went with 1 to 2 inches of snow from tomorrow afternoon till the changeover to ice tomorrow night. This could be the biggest snow so far this year around here for where? did they say how much ice? i just missed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timstobrazil Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 DC NBC 4 just went with 1 to 2 inches of snow from tomorrow afternoon till the changeover to ice tomorrow night. This could be the biggest snow so far this year around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 For DC. He didn't specify an area. Overall he was very vague. Just said 1 to 2 inches of snow possible and then some sleet/freezing rain, but seemed very uncertain whether to make it sound like a big deal or not. I also saw FOX. They had "light" snow/freezing in all their graphics, but also did not specify amounts. But she sounded pretty bullish that it would be wintry with bad travel tomorrow night into Tuesday a.m. She even mentioned the possible late week storm and said there is lots of weather to watch this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 DC NBC 4 just went with 1 to 2 inches of snow from tomorrow afternoon till the changeover to ice tomorrow night. This could be the biggest snow so far this year around here You just got Yoda excited! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I was actually surprised to see that the 18z NAM was mostly frozen back here for most of both waves of precip..even has around a 1/2 inch of snow then goes to freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I was actually surprised to see that the 18z NAM was mostly frozen back here for most of both waves of precip..even has around a 1/2 inch of snow then goes to freezing rain. 30 01/18 00Z 29 26 105 7 0.00 0.00 537 556 -1.3 -21.7 1024 100 025OVC329 0.0 15.0 33 01/18 03Z 28 28 106 7 0.02 0.00 537 556 -0.9 -21.1 1024 100 -SN 005OVC286 0.2 0.9 36 01/18 06Z 28 27 98 5 0.02 0.00 538 556 0.8 -21.1 1022 100 -SN 006OVC201 0.2 3.1 39 01/18 09Z 29 28 54 4 0.03 0.00 540 556 0.0 -20.5 1020 100 -FZRN 005OVC155 0.0 5.9 42 01/18 12Z 30 29 15 3 0.02 0.00 541 556 0.7 -20.8 1019 100 -FZRN 005OVC131 0.0 7.0 45 01/18 15Z 31 30 332 5 0.02 0.00 542 556 0.6 -20.6 1018 100 005OVC046 0.0 5.9 48 01/18 18Z 32 30 329 5 0.01 0.00 542 555 2.4 -20.0 1015 100 005OVC031 0.0 14.5 51 01/18 21Z 33 31 338 4 0.00 0.00 543 553 3.4 -19.5 1012 100 005OVC020 0.0 14.9 54 01/19 00Z 31 31 341 2 0.00 0.00 543 553 2.9 -19.8 1012 100 004OVC042 0.0 13.1 57 01/19 03Z 29 29 211 2 0.00 0.00 543 552 2.8 -21.1 1011 100 003OVC239 0.0 0.2 60 01/19 06Z 30 30 134 2 0.01 0.00 542 550 2.0 -21.9 1009 100 -FZRN 003OVC328 0.0 6.5 63 01/19 09Z 31 31 121 1 0.05 0.00 541 547 1.9 -22.2 1007 100 -FZRN 007OVC311 0.0 13.4 66 01/19 12Z 32 31 224 1 0.06 0.00 540 546 0.1 -22.4 1007 100 -RA 003OVC310 0.0 6.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Snow/Sleet around one inch... ice one tenth to two tenths in the zones by LWX My zone is only a half inch. <Insert joke?> All rain by 9am. Next... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 My zone is only a half inch. <Insert joke?> All rain by 9am. Next... You do realize that by 9am the morning rush would already be destroyed if it was slick.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 My zone is only a half inch. <Insert joke?> All rain by 9am. Next... Feel free to stop posting at any time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 The NYC area has had continuous snow cover since the Dec 26 blizzard and it is not going any time soon. I'm pissed off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maggiemoo Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 The NYC area has had continuous snow cover since the Dec 26 blizzard and it is not going any time soon. I'm pissed off. Well, I've had continuous snow cover since last Tuesday night...it has been a winter wonderland here in Bel Air since then. Get over it and don't pollute the threads with crap...you will get yours soon enough. Sorry for polluting the thread with my crap! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 The NYC area has had continuous snow cover since the Dec 26 blizzard and it is not going any time soon. I'm pissed off. Stop whining over snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Feel free to stop posting at any time. Wow. Didn't realize my posts had an effect on you. I will stop posting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 Sometimes the energy is a convoluted mess though, it's not always a nice pretty phase. unless you live NE of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Wow. Didn't realize my posts had an effect on you. I will stop posting. We have enough negative people here already. At least the others post analysis and are sometimes upbeat. You post the same exact thing every single time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 You do realize that by 9am the morning rush would already be destroyed if it was slick.... Yes, but the warmth usually comes earlier, esp in OPM's back yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Yes, but the warmth usually comes earlier, esp in OPM's back yard. Also, this was never supposed to be a blizzard. If that's what you wanted then go ahead and say next. But I'll be happy with a dusting of snow and some icy goodness. It's not a "next" for me. Seems pretty in line so far with what we were expecting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 30 01/18 00Z 29 26 105 7 0.00 0.00 537 556 -1.3 -21.7 1024 100 025OVC329 0.0 15.0 33 01/18 03Z 28 28 106 7 0.02 0.00 537 556 -0.9 -21.1 1024 100 -SN 005OVC286 0.2 0.9 36 01/18 06Z 28 27 98 5 0.02 0.00 538 556 0.8 -21.1 1022 100 -SN 006OVC201 0.2 3.1 39 01/18 09Z 29 28 54 4 0.03 0.00 540 556 0.0 -20.5 1020 100 -FZRN 005OVC155 0.0 5.9 42 01/18 12Z 30 29 15 3 0.02 0.00 541 556 0.7 -20.8 1019 100 -FZRN 005OVC131 0.0 7.0 45 01/18 15Z 31 30 332 5 0.02 0.00 542 556 0.6 -20.6 1018 100 005OVC046 0.0 5.9 48 01/18 18Z 32 30 329 5 0.01 0.00 542 555 2.4 -20.0 1015 100 005OVC031 0.0 14.5 51 01/18 21Z 33 31 338 4 0.00 0.00 543 553 3.4 -19.5 1012 100 005OVC020 0.0 14.9 54 01/19 00Z 31 31 341 2 0.00 0.00 543 553 2.9 -19.8 1012 100 004OVC042 0.0 13.1 57 01/19 03Z 29 29 211 2 0.00 0.00 543 552 2.8 -21.1 1011 100 003OVC239 0.0 0.2 60 01/19 06Z 30 30 134 2 0.01 0.00 542 550 2.0 -21.9 1009 100 -FZRN 003OVC328 0.0 6.5 63 01/19 09Z 31 31 121 1 0.05 0.00 541 547 1.9 -22.2 1007 100 -FZRN 007OVC311 0.0 13.4 66 01/19 12Z 32 31 224 1 0.06 0.00 540 546 0.1 -22.4 1007 100 -RA 003OVC310 0.0 6.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Leesburg...where is that earl weaver link that gets you the nam soundings again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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