PhineasC Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Those ensemble members look pretty good. More agreement than we have seen recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 12z euro backs the 32 line up to western loudoun area by 12z tomorrow.. i think it probably implies about .15 ice max somewhere in that area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 How many times in your life have you really had to say those words? I see what you did there. answer...not many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 sunday/monday i think.. that would be at least a day or two later Originally the Euro was showing it for Sat night/Sunday here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 doesnt look like it gives dc any zr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 When I pulled the Euro from Plymouth, here's what I got for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 When I pulled the Euro from Plymouth, here's what I got for tomorrow. looks windy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 NMM/ARW have 850 line over DCA at 18... .10+ QPF has already fallen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Euro will be huge!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 doesnt look like it gives dc any zr How much qpf back into HGR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 NMM/ARW have 850 line over DCA at 18... .10+ QPF has already fallen Really looks like all of us will see 1-2" of snow before any FZRA. As long as we don't get some warm air between 850-700 and turn it to sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 How much qpf back into HGR? .21" thru 24 hrs, but you go above freezing at 850 and stay around 30 degrees on surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Originally the Euro was showing it for Sat night/Sunday here. the nads is fickle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 When I pulled the Euro from Plymouth, here's what I got for tomorrow. Thats day after tomorrow type stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 the nads is fickle Keeps flopping left or right depending on which model you're eyeing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 the nads is fickle Better than when they tickle . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Really looks like all of us will see 1-2" of snow before any FZRA. As long as we don't get some warm air between 850-700 and turn it to sleet. Are we talking SR's below the normal 10:1? Like 7-8:1 because the cold air is shallow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Really looks like all of us will see 1-2" of snow before any FZRA. As long as we don't get some warm air between 850-700 and turn it to sleet. That's what interests me the most about tonight's setup... there's no raging 700 or 850 MB LP to our west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 That's what interests me the most about tonight's setup... there's no raging 700 or 850 MB LP to our west. Yeah it is interesting, and good that we have UVV's so even with a bit of a warm nose, the snow potential on the front end for 1-2'' is pretty valid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 the nads is fickle I will regret this I am sure but since I missed the joke, what started this whole "nads" thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 NMM/ARW look like NAM with QPF... but ARW is more expansive to the west with its QPF through hr 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Wonder what surface temps are on the hi-res at 21, 850's not that high on 21 for either NMM or ARW. Kinda interesting for a bit of ice potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 .51" qpf from tonight/tomorrow on Euro at BWI IAD-.37" DCA-.51" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I will regret this I am sure but since I missed the joke, what started this whole "nads" thing? i guess i did but i didnt realize the acronym.. new and different screwjob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Are we talking SR's below the normal 10:1? Like 7-8:1 because the cold air is shallow? It sounded like LWX was concerned about FZDZ with similar conditions to what caused the FZDZ last week. So perhaps we get snow pellets again. Short answer...possibly. I'd like to see the BUFKIT soundings to get a better idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 .51" qpf from tonight/tomorrow on Euro at BWI IAD-.37" DCA-.51" Can you tell how much of it falls while below freezing?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I love the GFS ensembles. Finally a snow storm for us to the west. I am on board for the Friday storm. Tonight just a little ice to make tomorrows commute a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 euro out thru 66.. no major differences worth noting yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 euro out thru 66.. no major differences worth noting yet I bet tombo and midlo see pretty major differences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Yeah it just wants to hang that energy back in the 4 corners, doesn't it... It will probably have a stretched out and low QPF solution for Fri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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