chris87 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 thanks...some decent hits...lots of uncertainty still Pretty nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Awesome, thanks! Closer we are to the line (but on the right side of it), the heavier the precip's going to be. Looks like 6-8hours where we get blasted and then several hours on either side of that with light snow. Pretty quick mover, which makes sense given the lack of blocking. I'd take this in a heartbeat yea this is reminding me more and more of Feb 1995. Look at the snowfall distribution in that event...6" at IAD and nothing just east of DCA. Further north was even more severe, places just west of 95 in NJ got 12" while just east got all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 it's all on friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 it's all on friday Fine by me. Appetizer tonight... Friday storm (I hope to God) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 it's all on friday Good morning Mary sunshine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 it's all on friday I can't believe the one night you do EURO pbp is the only night in the past 2 months i went to sleep early. I hope you will be doing it tonight so JI can complain again . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 yea this is reminding me more and more of Feb 1995. Look at the snowfall distribution in that event...6" at IAD and nothing just east of DCA. Further north was even more severe, places just west of 95 in NJ got 12" while just east got all rain. Agreed. This is looking better for those N & W of I95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Good morning Mary sunshine You get the 12z GFS data yet? I am stuck on the 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Some members hint at a NADS by the end of the weekend into early next week... still strong northern stream influence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'm not one of those who frequently bash Accuweather. The way I often look at it, if they want to hype a storm, so be it. And obviously they have a following. But I mean, come on, this is ridiculous. The banner headline on their site is "Ice Storm to Slam DC, NY" I have seen zero indications this is going to be anything near an ice storm. Maybe freezing drizzle, but absolutely no one official -- ranging from LWX to state highway or PEPCO - are gearing up for anything even remotely resembling an ice storm that I can tell. And doesn't an ice storm have a distinct meterological definition - at least a quarter inch of ice? Meanwhile, some poor fool, and I mean poor literally, is going to see that and run out and spend his last $50 on bottled watter, candles, perhaps even a generator, all because of hype and misinformation. This is very irresponsible of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 it's all on friday I'm all in on Friday. Mr. Positive here. Always bet on black Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 yea this is reminding me more and more of Feb 1995. Look at the snowfall distribution in that event...6" at IAD and nothing just east of DCA. Further north was even more severe, places just west of 95 in NJ got 12" while just east got all rain. Come on now... while S MD may be SOL on some of those solutions... DCA gets a nice snowfall as well on alot of those ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I can't believe the one night you do EURO pbp is the only night in the past 2 months i went to sleep early. I hope you will be doing it tonight so JI can complain again . i dont get monday off that often Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'm all in on Friday. Mr. Positive here. Always bet on black i said id go all in y-day if there was green over me next run of the gfs and there was but i held back because miller bs suck a big one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 i dont get monday off that often Well i guess i will have to wait until President's day to get another 0Z PBP from you . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 NONE of the GFS ensembles show the Apps cutter advertised by the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'm all in on Friday. Mr. Positive here. Always bet on black How many times in your life have you really had to say those words? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Some members hint at a NADS by the end of the weekend into early next week... still strong northern stream influence. What kind of "hints" are you getting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Quarter inch ice at KIAD on the 12z NAM http://coolwx.com/cg...rent&field=prec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Where's Wes? Been quiet. Did he decide to take a break after the last one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 What kind of "hints" are you getting? He's getting a whiff of NADS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'm not one of those who frequently bash Accuweather. The way I often look at it, if they want to hype a storm, so be it. And obviously they have a following. But I mean, come on, this is ridiculous. The banner headline on their site is "Ice Storm to Slam DC, NY" I have seen zero indications this is going to be anything near an ice storm. Maybe freezing drizzle, but absolutely no one official -- ranging from LWX to state highway or PEPCO - are gearing up for anything even remotely resembling an ice storm that I can tell. And doesn't an ice storm have a distinct meterological definition - at least a quarter inch of ice? Meanwhile, some poor fool, and I mean poor literally, is going to see that and run out and spend his last $50 on bottled watter, candles, perhaps even a generator, all because of hype and misinformation. This is very irresponsible of them. Maybe you can provide a link, the main story I see says Ice storm AIMS Dc-NYC but if you click on the story, the headline is Ice storm aims populated areas of northeast but if you read the article, they mention that the big cities get a period of wintry precip...The headline is what draws people to the story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Come on now... while S MD may be SOL on some of those solutions... DCA gets a nice snowfall as well on alot of those ensembles. no 2 storms are exactly alike, what I was talking about was how the storms evolve and what the snow/rain distribution is likely to look like. Heaviest snows will be just west/north of the rain/snow line. Where that sets up is unknown yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 What kind of "hints" are you getting? Out by 162, GOM moisture organizing and lifting NE, also northern energy digging into the plains. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ENSPRSNE_12z/f162.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Out by 162, GOM moisture organizing and lifting NE, also northern energy digging into the plains. http://www.meteo.psu...E_12z/f162.html Ah ok...by "hints" you meant "fantastical extrapolations". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'm not one of those who frequently bash Accuweather. The way I often look at it, if they want to hype a storm, so be it. And obviously they have a following. But I mean, come on, this is ridiculous. The banner headline on their site is "Ice Storm to Slam DC, NY" I have seen zero indications this is going to be anything near an ice storm. Maybe freezing drizzle, but absolutely no one official -- ranging from LWX to state highway or PEPCO - are gearing up for anything even remotely resembling an ice storm that I can tell. And doesn't an ice storm have a distinct meterological definition - at least a quarter inch of ice? Meanwhile, some poor fool, and I mean poor literally, is going to see that and run out and spend his last $50 on bottled watter, candles, perhaps even a generator, all because of hype and misinformation. This is very irresponsible of them. ? Most of central maryland is already below what they were predicted to be for today (which was 30s by noon... well Im still at 26 at 1 pm), add this to the fact that CAD is almost always underplayed (even besides this fact the GFS still has most of central MD/n va below 32 for the duration of the event) and we have a legit ice threat. I'm not sure we hit the .25 required but I'm sure some areas get close to that. Especially if we don't get into the 30s by this evening then I'd definitely say we will get more Ice than progged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Out by 162, GOM moisture organizing and lifting NE, also northern energy digging into the plains. http://www.meteo.psu...E_12z/f162.html thats not the nads.. the nads is not a real storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Ah ok...by "hints" you meant "fantastical extrapolations". pretty much... as is with all models past hr 72 this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 thats not the nads.. the nads is not a real storm when was the nads storm suppose to hit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 when was the nads storm suppose to hit? sunday/monday i think.. that would be at least a day or two later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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