Ji Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 GFS says...time to look ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 GFS is mostly rain for the "ice storm." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 it's a good thing the nam only gets 45 minutes of fame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Looks like models are going with higher QPF amounts which is not good for those who actually want the ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Looks like models are going with higher QPF amounts which is not good for those who actually want the ice. you can almost visualize the 32 line retreating right in front of the heavier rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 it's a good thing the nam only gets 45 minutes of fame not really...GFS cant handle CAD like the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 not really...GFS cant handle CAD like the NAM 33 and rain is cold but not that exciting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 RGEM says "yes" to rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 you can almost visualize the 32 line retreating right in front of the heavier rain. This is the perfect winter; when it is cold and we want heavy QPF, we get none. When temps are marginal and we want light QPF, we get too much. Next..(winter)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 here comes the friday overperformer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 here comes the friday overperformer and here comes the northern stream to wreck it again for us http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_500_102l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 and here comes the northern stream to wreck it again for us http://www.nco.ncep....fs_500_102l.gif yeah i was about to meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 and here comes the northern stream to wreck it again for us http://www.nco.ncep....fs_500_102l.gif Trended closer to a cutoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 on to the dt/nads event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 OTS with the GFS at this range, that's good no, really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Right where we want it to give SNE a MECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 on to the dt/nads event Looks like yours didn't pan out either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Looks like yours didn't pan out either give it time.. nc/s va is due Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Dry and cold, baby. Love it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Son of a b**ch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Both the GFS and Euro are digging the northern stream system from 72-96 too far south and west...S KS/N OK/S MO do not see major winter weather events from northern stream originating systems unless you have a massive PNA ridge out west which we do not have though we have a big broad ridge there....the GFS should be more north and hence faster ejecting the storm out which would result in a bigger storm more northward on the East Coast....the Euro does other things wrong afterwards which causes it to have a later storm than the GFS or GEM want to....the most likely scenario is something very close to the 12z GEM but more amplified and further northwest, the GEM has been a bit progressive all season though its had the right idea most of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Son of a b**ch i concur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 so when its warm...we will have no problem getting qpf. When its cold...its almost impossible. I really hate the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Hmmm... http://68.226.77.253/text/NAM80km/NAM_KIAD.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 its amazing how this all misses us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 the gfs refuses to acknowledge dt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 GFS just rejected our Facebook friend request. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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