mitchnick Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 Maybe it's not an ice storm. Snow and sleet? no, after 30 hrs JI the lower part of the atmosphere really warms BWI at 30 hrs 1014. 53. -1.3 -2.0 50.3 5.3 1000. 164. -2.2 -2.5 55.8 6.8 975. 366. -0.6 -0.7 89.1 12.7 950. 574. 0.5 0.5 114.8 16.0 925. 788. 0.3 0.3 132.3 11.2 900. 1007. 0.1 0.0 159.8 6.3 875. 1233. -0.1 -0.1 184.4 5.8 850. 1465. -0.4 -0.3 207.3 5.4 825. 1704. -0.6 -0.6 183.3 10.2 800. 1950. -0.9 -0.9 181.0 14.1 775. 2203. -1.5 -1.5 183.2 17.3 750. 2464. -2.5 -2.7 187.1 18.7 BWI at 33 hrs 1010. 53. 0.8 0.5 30.8 5.3 1000. 138. 0.4 0.1 38.2 6.7 975. 342. 2.5 2.3 75.7 13.0 950. 552. 2.4 2.0 90.7 13.1 925. 767. 0.8 0.8 97.1 11.8 900. 987. 0.2 0.2 105.6 11.5 875. 1213. -0.1 -0.1 113.4 11.7 850. 1445. -0.5 -0.5 122.1 13.0 825. 1684. -0.9 -0.9 134.2 15.2 800. 1929. -1.1 -1.1 147.0 18.2 775. 2182. -1.6 -1.5 158.9 20.8 750. 2443. -2.4 -2.4 169.3 22.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 this is the sounding link for IAD you need to choose which hour you want http://ready.arl.noa...bin/profile1.pl Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I agree. keep taking your pictures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 if yoda ji and jb are all over it you know not to get too heavily invested LOL! These ice storm threats hardly ever affect this region maybe out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 keep taking your pictures. Just speaking the truth... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 if we can keep the high from drifting out to the middle of the ocean we might be able to salvage it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 maybe....probably not likely...further NW (towards PA border) maybe more frozen, or at least frozen for longer. Maybe it's not an ice storm. Snow and sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 He changed it already from either side of 1-81? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Anyone remember how the 1999 event took shape? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 if yoda ji and jb are all over it you know not to get too heavily invested Oh come now... I have been getting better. I still think we see ice from this. The ZFP's stayed the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 lol ...the nam is wrong....but now that the boundary layer temps are warm it's probably right. Like I said earlier if we get .75 liquid from this...I may get a bit excited about the next event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 i just want to get past this event. i feel really good about the period after. i think we'll end up happy with this month on the whole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 i just want to get past this event. i feel really good about the period after. i think we'll end up happy with this month on the whole. I don't punt any event...even if it's just some wet gloppy snow for 5 minutes then some pingers for 2 minutes and some rain with temps at 31.9 for 8 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I don't punt any event...even if it's just some wet gloppy snow for 5 minutes then some pingers for 2 minutes and some rain with temps at 31.9 for 8 hours i dont live nw of the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derecho Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Lol at the way people are bashing a legit threat. Always the next storm... I remember during Feb 5-6 people were already looking at the next threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 if we can keep the high from drifting out to the middle of the ocean we might be able to salvage it salvage a little ice? Just trash it already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I don't punt any event...even if it's just some wet gloppy snow for 5 minutes then some pingers for 2 minutes and some rain with temps at 31.9 for 8 hours Me either. Don't know if you noticed, but this NAM came to the GFS solution from 18z yesterday. At least with regard to the low on the SE coast and its strength. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 the time between when the 00z nam ends and the 00z gfs starts is awful/trolling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 the time between when the 00z nam ends and the 00z gfs starts is awful/trolling i tried to get some nam extrapolation going but no one bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 i tried to get some nam extrapolation going but no one bit sounds like you cant wait till this event is over so we can focus on the DT facebook threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 the worst part of the NAM possibly being correct is PTB127 gets snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 the idea of a model thread on the main forum was a big fail The main forum now is an afterthought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 the idea of a model thread on the main forum was a big fail The main forum now is an afterthought. it was working before the Dec 26th storm, then after that event everyone abandoned it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Oh come on! Someone is got to post the BUFKIT.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 the idea of a model thread on the main forum was a big fail The main forum now is an afterthought. You are 100% correct. To get good analysis, depending on the storm threat, you have to troll through regional forums and BS posts to see what the model is saying at a given time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 It's up to the mods to enforce it. it was working before the Dec 26th storm, then after that event everyone abandoned it. It's up to the mods to enforce it. It's a shame, on eastern it seemed to work well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 it was working before the Dec 26th storm, then after that event everyone abandoned it. maybe it would work on a storm that affects everyone..not just PHL North Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 now i read tombo...then read IAN who usually has the maps from the run before....then Midlo who always makes the storm sound better than it actually is.....earthlight does a good job with the Euro but its definitely not one stop shopping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 the idea of a model thread on the main forum was a big fail The main forum now is an afterthought. I agree but nothing is worse than reading a positive comment in the main forum model thread to only see that it was posted by someone from Chicago or Boston and realizing that it is bad news for MBY (talking about when I lived in Virginia - everything is bad news down here). I can't wait to get back to Virgina so I can legitimately post in this sub-forum! Now for some weak arse trolling, I think I am ahead of some of y'all with 4" so far this winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I will laugh (cry?) if we finally get a high QPF event and the temps are like 2 degrees too warm. This winter hates us. :-( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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