Avdave Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 NAM seems to be pretty close to a day off for the kids out here in horse country....I'm sure the heavy precip is rain but dang it is close to a serious ice storm...one more cold shift and maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 best run since March 1960 If you think half an inch of ice is as good as a MECS, then yeah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 NAM has the resolution to best model Cold Air damning.... This is the Ji that I like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 now this would qualify as a pattern change in my book Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 32.5 and rain. even way out here. Is this based upon anything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 IF the NAM goes any colder, everyone in MD/DC 95 and west better watch out, Derecho could be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Looks like Hagerstown 850 stays below zero but they get less percip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 What a joke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Dave..i would die for a storm like that but we need temps to be at 19 with 850 temps at +4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 What a joke Am i allowed to say I hate you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 What a joke yes for dupont circle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 NAM is still going to bring in that second batch of moisture....0 850's still close by oh my Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 What a joke Don't do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 Am i allowed to say I hate you? the way this winter has gone, "hate" is almost a word of endearment around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Dave..i would die for a storm like that but we need temps to be at 19 with 850 temps at +4 Dec 208 near my house, wicked Ice storm bro, it was wild. it was 27 -29 the entire time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 What a joke Meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 NAM is still going to bring in that second batch of moisture....0 850's still close by oh my yeah, I'm bettin' a little light snow after the cold air gets back in, providing surface temps don't screw us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Somebody tell me this run has a chance to verify. The 850's never do get above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 yes for dupont circle The NAM bounces around a lot. It doesnt know what to do with it's resolution advantage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 the snow just stops right before Northern Virginia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Well 850's have crashed hard as the next batch of light precip comes in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 looks like a good run, expecially for say HGR on west....west of DC in the immediate burbs do decent too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 is this the monster s/w over Oregon for the Friday DT Facebook threat blizzard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 the snow just stops right before Northern Virginia i9ts coming, look at the 700mb RH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 the snow just stops right before Northern Virginia No it doesn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 bastardi says 3-6 inches 50 miles either side of I81 for Northern Virginia....ice problems further east but wont shut down power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Well 850's have crashed hard as the next batch of light precip comes in Can we get the 850's from the last storm back? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 looks like a good run, expecially for say HGR on west....west of DC in the immediate burbs do decent too. it won't be all snow check thicknesses, they are above 540 even in HGR but certainly more snow at the front end and mix/ice out there too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 The NAM bounces around a lot. It doesnt know what to do with it's resolution advantage. Seems to be the dry model from 84-48, then inside 48 it starts doubling down on the QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 bastardi says 3-6 inches 50 miles either side of I81 for Northern Virginia....ice problems further east but wont shut down power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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