Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 On 1/17/2011 at 6:19 PM, stormtracker said: I guess Euro Bias! is our new fall guy it's hard not to think the idea of the northern stream killing us might be right since we've already seen it a number of times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 On 1/17/2011 at 6:20 PM, Ian said: weak surface shows up over wv then is enlongated as it crosess our area before consolidating/reforming just south of long island area then just inside benchmark and toward gulf of maine The GFS and the Euro agree...we're f-cked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 On 1/17/2011 at 6:19 PM, stormtracker said: I guess Euro Bias! is our new fall guy The proverbial cherry on top is that the bias has come into effect ONLY when it's shown something for us. We knew this winter would be bad but this is mother nature laughing at us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 What the heck is the Euro doing out by day 5?... this is a screwy run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 Euro has some waves in the long wave 5H map on Day 5 any suggestion there of anything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Sounds about right. Lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Euro showing a snowhole over us is a good thing after what's happened all winter...SECS on the way, book it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 On 1/17/2011 at 6:23 PM, BethesdaWX said: Euro showing a snowhole over us is a good thing after what's happened all winter...SECS on the way, book it. How is the Euro showing the exact thing that has happened all winter a good thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 looks like it's back west a bit at 126 with the dt/nads event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanVA Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 It's like The Happening, except rather than trees being pissed, it's the troposphere doing the killing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 On 1/17/2011 at 6:19 PM, stormtracker said: I guess Euro Bias! is our new fall guy Which is so ridiculous...I want to know how this bit of CW even started. I'm pretty sure it's been noted that the Euro struggles with cut-offs over the southwest (in that it holds onto the energy too long)....but this doesn't mean that it always just holds back energy under every scenario. In fact, I wonder if it even exhibits this behavior anymore, but I digress. I've already seen "Euro SW bias" posted about 5 times in the past 10 minutes....so cringe-worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 On 1/17/2011 at 6:17 PM, Grothar of Herndon said: The pattern lives and continues to deny! We need an atmosphere reshuffle. We need help from kazoo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 still looks ots but it's a good deal better than 0z.. precip coming still west into eastern nc at 132 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 HMMMMMMMMMMMM hr 132 low off the se coast way west from 0z still looks like a miss precip up to va beach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I do not care much anymore what the Euro shows at this range. I am still sore from the 50" its given me at day 5. Euro has already flipped once with this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 books east after.. coastal nc gets half a foot or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 congrats hatteras Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 On 1/17/2011 at 6:23 PM, SeanVA said: It's like The Happening, except rather than trees being pissed, it's the troposphere doing the killing. Nicely done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 most GFS ensembles show a major storm for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 ^trickery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Its the GFS/GEFS/NAM/UKMET/GGEM vs the Euro at day 3 with the upper energy. Like I said, cant wait to see the Euro Ensembles and if the GFS/NAM starts to trend toward the Euro at 18Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 On 1/17/2011 at 6:28 PM, Ian said: ^trickery That your inner little weenie hopes is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 oh here we go again precip breaking out in the western plains hr144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg81988 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 so at hr 132 its showing snow for eastern NC? am i understanding that right? if so, how much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 17, 2011 Author Share Posted January 17, 2011 On 1/17/2011 at 6:30 PM, Midlo Snow Maker said: oh here we go again precip breaking out in the western plains hr144 and let me guess southern feature and northern energy coming on the scene as well, ehh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 On 1/17/2011 at 6:30 PM, greg81988 said: so at hr 132 its showing snow for eastern NC? am i understanding that right? if so, how much? 0.25" to 0.50" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 On 1/17/2011 at 6:29 PM, Dr No said: Its the GFS/GEFS/NAM/UKMET/GGEM vs the Euro at day 3 with the upper energy. Like I said, cant wait to see the Euro Ensembles and if the GFS/NAM starts to trend toward the Euro at 18Z. Just to be funny this is the time where they all WILL trend toward the Euro. That hasn't happened yet this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 JMA at 96..complete disgrace for Washington DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 On 1/17/2011 at 6:32 PM, mitchnick said: and let me guess southern feature and northern energy coming on the scene as well, ehh? yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 On 1/17/2011 at 6:30 PM, greg81988 said: so at hr 132 its showing snow for eastern NC? am i understanding that right? if so, how much? .25"+ inland about 50-80 miles then sharp cutoff behind.. .5" touches the shore south of the outer banks. -- so ~3-6" or so i guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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