CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Yea, se of the low torches, everyone else to the nw stays in the 30s. Pob like Taunton to PYM. It's too bad that stupid low to our west warms the mid levels so fast. This would be a good dumping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScituateWX Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Everyones snowpack should have a net gain from it That would be great if we could get that here, not gona get my hopes for to much more then maybe a sloppy inch or two before a change here at the coast, but its still a few days out so just gona sit back and watch. I am just excited that the pattern looks good moving forward. The snow pack here is really a disastah right at the shore I am like a half mile from the water and I would say it is maybe 5-6 inches of just rock solid slop, no powder here LOL. I would give anything for some fluff here at the shore the last two storms have just been a mess to plow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Yeah I was hoping at least 1-2" of snow before any changeover in my hood. Just so long as it's not a 55F rain, which I don't think it will be.It would suck to see some of the snow melt off the trees, but oh well. Nam is pretty ugly right now, And the 12z Euro run was not far behind, Looks like it would be a pretty quick changeover after a snow start....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 I hope, for my sake. My gut says most areas will not torch, but I hope I'm right. It could be a classic se mass crossing of low pressure. Those are good!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Those are good!! I agree... Screws most folk, though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I agree... Screws most folk, though I'll gladly sacrifice their snowpack for mine.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Does this map give me a choice?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Does this map give me a choice?? That's really funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 BOX's latest thoughts. AWT LEANED TOWARD THE HPC SOLUTION OF BLENDING THE ECMWF AND GFS ALONG WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...DEVELOPING A WEAKER LOW THAN SUGGESTED BY THE GFS BUT A MORE ORGANIZED SYSTEM THAN SUGGESTED BY OTHER MODELS. THERMAL PROFILE IS STILL TOUGH TO PIN DOWN...BUT HAVE MENTIONED MIXED PRECIP ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN INTERIOR AREAS. KEPT MAINLY SNOW AND SOME SLEET DURING TUESDAY...WHILE MIXED SNOW AND RAIN EVENTUALLY GOES OVER TO RAIN ALONG MOST OF THE COAST ESPECIALLY THE S COAST AS TEMPS SOAR TO AROUND 40 DEGREES. ON TUESDAY NIGHT...COULD SEE A LITTLE BIT OF EVERYTHING AS THE LOW PUSHES NE AND COLD AIR WORKS IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING SYSTEM. HAVE LOW CONFIDENCE ON WHERE THE PRECIP STAYS MAINLY SNOW /BUT FEEL IT WILL ACROSS THE E SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES/ AND WHERE THERE COULD BE PROBLEMS ESPECIALLY WITH FREEZING RAIN. WILL EVENTUALLY CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW FOR E SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES INTO THE MONADNOCKS...AND POSSIBLY INTO THE WORCESTER HILLS. STILL NOT VERY CONFIDENT OF THIS...BUT HAVE MENTIONED THIS POSSIBILITY IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 BOX's latest thoughts. AWT LEANED TOWARD THE HPC SOLUTION OF BLENDING THE ECMWF AND GFS ALONG WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...DEVELOPING A WEAKER LOW THAN SUGGESTED BY THE GFS BUT A MORE ORGANIZED SYSTEM THAN SUGGESTED BY OTHER MODELS. THERMAL PROFILE IS STILL TOUGH TO PIN DOWN...BUT HAVE MENTIONED MIXED PRECIP ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN INTERIOR AREAS. KEPT MAINLY SNOW AND SOME SLEET DURING TUESDAY...WHILE MIXED SNOW AND RAIN EVENTUALLY GOES OVER TO RAIN ALONG MOST OF THE COAST ESPECIALLY THE S COAST AS TEMPS SOAR TO AROUND 40 DEGREES. ON TUESDAY NIGHT...COULD SEE A LITTLE BIT OF EVERYTHING AS THE LOW PUSHES NE AND COLD AIR WORKS IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING SYSTEM. HAVE LOW CONFIDENCE ON WHERE THE PRECIP STAYS MAINLY SNOW /BUT FEEL IT WILL ACROSS THE E SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES/ AND WHERE THERE COULD BE PROBLEMS ESPECIALLY WITH FREEZING RAIN. WILL EVENTUALLY CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW FOR E SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES INTO THE MONADNOCKS...AND POSSIBLY INTO THE WORCESTER HILLS. STILL NOT VERY CONFIDENT OF THIS...BUT HAVE MENTIONED THIS POSSIBILITY IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. Hey, highlight the important part of SNE, too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Hey, highlight the important part of SNE, too! The Worcester area is just an extension of the coastal plain to me.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 The Worcester area is just an extension of the coastal plain to me.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 The Worcester area is just an extension of the coastal plain to me.lol Plenty of el here. Lots of 1000-1200+ just in my town It snows here...maybe almost as much as in your hamlet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 fwiw i think the 0z nam is going to come in colder for alot of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 fwiw i think the 0z nam is going to come in colder for alot of us yeah, definitely colder with different northern stream interaction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 yeah, definitely colder with different northern stream interaction Blizz foretold this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Blizz foretold this... yeah, it looks like it ends up being kind of a wash for eastern sections (relative to 18z)...definitely a positive trend for your area, though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 It's actually warmer at 850 through 66 compared to 72 on the 18z but the 540 thickness line a considerably farther south compared to 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Plenty of el here. Lots of 1000-1200+ just in my town It snows here...maybe almost as much as in your hamlet Our river valleys.lol Just messin with you Dave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 threw 72 the flood threat the nam had is gone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 NAM seems really lost out to hr 72 with a huge difference in LP placement, but not much of a difference in temps (540 thickness wise)...doesn't seem to be a reasonable sol'n, but the synoptic setup is one we haven't seen in a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Our river valleys.lol Just messin with you Dave. There is a picnic table calling for you... Let's see the models tick colder. Tick tick tick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 well, it does move low pressure about 200-250 miles SE of 18z positioning, solid trend if u ask me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 There is a picnic table calling for you... Let's see the models tick colder. Tick tick tick Buried under feet of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Good with it here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Good with it here. Storm looks to be strung out, I am keeping an eye on the LP over Tennesee at the end of the run thats looks to be digging SE............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 fwiw the nam did look alot better but we are going to have no idea on this storm until 24 to 30 hours before it starts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 16, 2011 Author Share Posted January 16, 2011 GFS caves like clockwork. Ice to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 WHDH forecast Tuesday: Our first *messy mix* storm. Snow changes to rain..first along the coast to perhaps never in southern N.H. Highs range from 32 to 42. 1"-8" of snow possible by Tuesday evening. Why not just say an inch or two at the CP and several inches possible farther N&W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 GFS caves like clockwork. Ice to rain. As long as it's not warm rain we're all good. I'm not even thinking much about this until sunday nights model runs. Still feeling we get a fairly frozen outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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