TalcottWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 5-10" still looks like the call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Off to the game..Enjoy the game it's the only game you've got Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'll post a map pretty soon. Widespread 4-8" NW of I95. Jackpot 8-12" Berks, S Greens, Monadnocks, 6-10" S Whites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 BOX's map is out. lol. That about covers it for my area. That map gives me 4-5" but 10 miles east has <1 and 10 miles west has >7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 That's from 4:00am this morning Weird, I was looking at a new map on the site a minute ago, then it switched back to the old one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 anyone got a 12z nam clown map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 anyone got a 12z nam clown map? You don't wanna see..trust me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jack Suslak Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Still looks like an inch or 2 then rain for Boston and the North Shore for tomorrow right? Fri might be the better potential for me. Jack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toller65 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'd guess warnings for all, right to the coast. Make our coastal friends happy. The 5-9" sounds pretty good, too. Thanks, looks like we'll need some positive thinking to keep us out of the filth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Seems to me, the only option is to go with the NAM for this area (KLEB). Considering how consistent it has been, and the fact that it gives about 9 inches of Snow followed by a slight glaze... It's the only way. My dreams and aspirations aside, I'm pretty sure this is the 2nd straight euro run to chomp down qpf here. Whether or not that's a big deal given dynamics (see watcher91), idk. One thing that has been consistent has been the GFS MOS, which is printing out a whole lot of "z" and a "2" consistently (for like 6 consecutive runs). I don't think that's right, but it's there. GGEM looks ridic wet... and the RGEM is pretty impressive too... Bottom line is, idk... but not willing to chomp on any solution. I would throw up a warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 anyone got a 12z nam clown map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 You don't wanna see..trust me. well on the twister wx site the 12z gfs looks like it wants to give me around 6 inches of snow......or more. HPC last nite was talking about a blend of GFS/ECWMF profiles.......so interesting stuff setting up especially N of pike and W of 495....but perhaps even W of 128 ? i think some places may ice like hell. tommorrow afternoon even just outside boston? what a traffic disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I love how the NNE guys can switch back and forth between threads, I want to start a South of Mass/ NH line sub forum to the NE sub forum which is a sub forum of American Weather or maybe start my own website and call it 42 south 41 north, j/ k Brian What's our WRF model say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Just checked it out for fun, the difference between the 7.7 in sNH and 1.9 in nMA (on the box sf map) is roughly ~25 miles. And that might be generous. Nice gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I love how the NNE guys can switch back and forth between threads, I want to start a South of Mass/ NH line sub forum to the NE sub forum which is a sub forum of American Weather or maybe start my own website and call it 42 south 41 north, j/ k Brian What's our WRF model say? There is an SNE banter thread, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Those WRF clownies are always funny. They take the valley and say "no snow for you" every time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 My initial thought is that event #2 is too fast moving to rival the snowfall maxes NE just had. I'm thinking more like 12"-16" in the max band...... I think the 12Z NAM extrapolated would be on board. Some said the same thing about the HECS.....if it bombs, you are going to have 20"+ is 12 hrs somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 well on the twister wx site the 12z gfs looks like it wants to give me around 6 inches of snow......or more. HPC last nite was talking about a blend of GFS/ECWMF profiles.......so interesting stuff setting up especially N of pike and W of 495....but perhaps even W of 128 ? i think some places may ice like hell. tommorrow afternoon even just outside boston? what a traffic disaster. Yeah this is definitely looking ugly..especially up your way. A colder solution aloft like the GFS is probably a better scenario since it'd mean more in the way of snow and less in the way of ice. Of course there could be those sneaky warm layers around 900 mb. Ugh..such a tough, tough forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'm not worried about the extent of QPF. Lots of moisture involved, along with large scale isentropic lift, should yield widespread 0.75"+ Becoming more confident in a 8-12" deal for S NH and N MA with 0.25-0.5" ice accretion across central MA - southwest MA - northern CT Bullish. I like a little extra upglide enhancement too over what the 12z EC has, but I'm not 100% convinced we remain all snow yet. I could see us wasting some tail end precip on light ZR garbage. The 4 to 5km 12z NMM/ARW WRFs are very juicy for us and cold. They would verify your amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I love how the NNE guys can switch back and forth between threads, I want to start a South of Mass/ NH line sub forum to the NE sub forum which is a sub forum of American Weather or maybe start my own website and call it 42 south 41 north, j/ k Brian What's our WRF model say? These aren't SNE threads. They're New England storm discussions. SNE and NNE have general discussion/obs threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 These aren't SNE threads. They're New England storm discussions. SNE and NNE have general discussion/obs threads. Guess you missed the just kidding part, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Those WRF clownies are always funny. They take the valley and say "no snow for you" every time... 90% of the time, they should be saying that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 You guys totally missed the Matt ZWYTS sarcasm here, this is what he would say during super thread discussions, carry on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Guess you missed the just kidding part, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Some said the same thing about the HECS.....if it bombs, you are going to have 20"+ is 12 hrs somewhere. i would add to that ...that last weekend turned from a MECS to an HECS because the H5 low captured the surface low...and slowed it significantly thus changing it from 10-12 hours to 15-18. ray earlier the other day you said effectively that you gave up on tommorrow's storm cause it will not be much in wilmington......seeing your up by tewksbury line it looks like the gfs and euro would give you 3-6 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 So did the Euro basically hold serve or did it get a little colder? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 For our friends in the Upton CWA ... Snow Ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Looks like the first warning have been hoisted. PHL has put NW NJ and neigboring PA counties through Reading/Allentown in the pink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 i would add to that ...that last weekend turned from a MECS to an HECS because the H5 low captured the surface low...and slowed it significantly thus changing it from 10-12 hours to 15-18. ray earlier the other day you said effectively that you gave up on tommorrow's storm cause it will not be much in wilmington......seeing your up by tewksbury line it looks like the gfs and euro would give you 3-6 inches. I've thought 2-5" for a couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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