dryslot Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Probably already mentioned, But Euro cut back qpf up this way........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Can someone give a region-wide Reader's Digest overview of the models and associated qpf's for the region? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Probably already mentioned, But Euro cut back qpf up this way........... Told you you should change your name. Sun's now behind milky clouds. 14.4./-2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 qpf. Probably 2-5 for you snow before taint. Perfect. Nothing more I could ask for...heading out to the movies now for my last flick in America for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Told you you should change your name. Yeah...not....Tell the wife i said hi......lol It will just be all snow instead of snow then taint..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Probably already mentioned, But Euro cut back qpf up this way........... Can you give me a number, please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
COPO Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 snowpack is going to be around for a long time by the looks of things I would assume with the rain and 40 degree temps coming will kill it somewhat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 It has most of us getting to near 40. If we can keeps clouds around, it could be cooler. Yeah i wasn't worried about the hills or west of ORH..but it had wamred up ENE pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Can you give me a number, please? .50-.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 redundant...sorry that's the English major in me. Is it over by Sunday...say 9:40PM I disagree - even kidding. To say it is windy is a distinct characteristic that has a physical nature clearly differentiated by whether or not said wind is accompanied by great quantities of falling snow. Aside, the English majors always ruin poetic license - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Yeah 850 0C line is right over your fanny. Probably several inches for you before any changeover verbatim. scott thanks for the reply. alos is there a sneaky 8h warm layer in the area? most models give .5 qpf between 1 and 8 pm it seems so it seems like accumulation may vary greatly depending on the oscillation of the 850 0 C unless of course there is a 8H warm layer that is even further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 .50-.75" Cool, thanks. Sounds like a decent storm. Much better for us than it looked like a couple days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Cool, thanks. Sounds like a decent storm. Much better for us than it looked like a couple days ago. True dat A couple of days ago many were doomed to an inch of snow then an inch of rain, with a threat of sexy ice 14.2F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 this setup seems like a powder keg for new england and forecasters That polar HP is still NNW of us now (near NY/VT border) http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/flash-wv.html http://www.intellicast.com/National/Radar/Current.aspx?animate=true and that anomalous gulf moisture is just racing northward....up thru hatteras now.........bad bad things are gonna happen. i mean when gulf and atlantic moisture are involved doesn't qpf sometimes over perform.....like a wide spread 1.5-2 QPF for SNE. with 850 temps modeled pretty consistent......we need that cold air to hang tough and N'rly drainage flow to dominate close to the coast. i see most forecasts have ORH....N interior mass getting up to 30. So i guess no sharp coastal front.....would think the air would stay low 20's inland....mid 30's other side of front? with a track near cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 interested to see what Gray does with this. Seems to be consensue for qpf over .5 for up this way and over to Eric. Looking colder so might be all snow. Do they go to warning with afternoon package? I'd say yes, perhaps for 5-9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I like my call of 3-6" for now. I'd lean towards the higher end, but I see no reason to up the forecast. We could still get 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'm not worried about the extent of QPF. Lots of moisture involved, along with large scale isentropic lift, should yield widespread 0.75"+ Becoming more confident in a 8-12" deal for S NH and N MA with 0.25-0.5" ice accretion across central MA - southwest MA - northern CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 BOX updated my P/C to 2-4 inches in the city before a change-over straight to rain which could be a driving rain in the mid-upper 30s through the night. 2-4 would be more than I expect since I'm just about 4 miles from the coast. Seems possible that 495 belt north of the pike (and maybe even in to 95) could be in for some heavy icing if it's this chilly imby. Tuesday: Snow before 2pm, then rain and snow. High near 38. East wind between 6 and 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Tuesday Night: Rain, mainly before 2am. Low around 33. North wind between 13 and 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. Wednesday: A chance of rain and snow showers before 10am, then a chance of rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 41. West wind between 10 and 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 scott thanks for the reply. alos is there a sneaky 8h warm layer in the area? most models give .5 qpf between 1 and 8 pm it seems so it seems like accumulation may vary greatly depending on the oscillation of the 850 0 C unless of course there is a 8H warm layer that is even further north. I'm not sure if there is a sneaky warm layer, since I cannot see the vertical profile, but this could be quite the dump for nrn orh county and srn nh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'm not worried about the extent of QPF. Lots of moisture involved, along with large scale isentropic lift, should yield widespread 0.75"+ Becoming more confident in a 8-12" deal for S NH and N MA with 0.25-0.5" ice accretion across central MA - southwest MA - northern CT The general consensus seems to be ice in northern CT, but I can't really find any concrete forecasts. Do you guys think it will be serious stuff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'm not worried about the extent of QPF. Lots of moisture involved, along with large scale isentropic lift, should yield widespread 0.75"+ Becoming more confident in a 8-12" deal for S NH and N MA with 0.25-0.5" ice accretion across central MA - southwest MA - northern CT After how much snow? With what your expecting qpf wise I would say 4-7"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I'm not worried about the extent of QPF. Lots of moisture involved, along with large scale isentropic lift, should yield widespread 0.75"+ Becoming more confident in a 8-12" deal for S NH and N MA with 0.25-0.5" ice accretion across central MA - southwest MA - northern CT What do you think for the Merrimack Valley and Rockingham county? 8-12"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 interested to see what Gray does with this. Seems to be consensue for qpf over .5 for up this way and over to Eric. Looking colder so might be all snow. Do they go to warning with afternoon package? I'd say yes, perhaps for 5-9. I'd guess warnings for all, right to the coast. Make our coastal friends happy. The 5-9" sounds pretty good, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Just finished digging run off tunnels through the piles to divert any NCP away from the house and driveway. Stuff was heavy especially in snow blown areas and near the house. Massive icicles showing up on some houses in town, actually beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 BOX's map is out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Just finished digging run off tunnels through the piles to divert any NCP away from the house and driveway. Stuff was heavy especially in snow blown areas and near the house. Massive icicles showing up on some houses in town, actually beautiful. "NCP" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 BOX's map is out. I believe that is the same from this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 BOX's map is out. That's from 4:00am this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 "NCP" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 BOX's map is out. that's still from the 4:05 am update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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