CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Actually, by 00z not much different. still a pocket of 850 0C air near BOS and ne mass..up through ORH and points north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Although it slows down at 36hr...similar to 00z. Big diff is much less precip making it up into NNE. Well, that's the sucky part of it all. I'm sticking with my NAM volumes. Seriously though, while its a long distance of using "trajectory", there's a big slug of qpf on the radar with NY and WNE in the cross-hairs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Well for me, a crappy a/p delay but if it's snowing I can at least see it from the ground. When it flips, I'm off to TPA. When I return, perhaps a HECS ensues 12 hours later.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 If I have to take less QPF with more cold, that is a trade-off I'm willing to make. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I dunno if either one of these events is gonna be epic, but two nice moderate sized events within 3-4 days is a sweet winter week. In case it hasn't been apparent, I want it to be. Who wants to be missing epic snows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Euro status quo from 00z..snow to damaging ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I dunno if either one of these events is gonna be epic, but two nice moderate sized events within 3-4 days is a sweet winter week. I'm being generous with my wording. Speaking more to the steady flow of wintry events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 0.50-0.75" up here around CON-LCI...all snow. Probably pushing lower warning criteria, but more pedestrian than 00z's run. I'm not sure if I'd rather have 5-7" of all snow or 7-9" followed by glaze like the NAM has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Very active pattern. Wintry qpf threat about every 3-4 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 My initial thought is that event #2 is too fast moving to rival the snowfall maxes NE just had. I'm thinking more like 12"-16" in the max band...... I think the 12Z NAM extrapolated would be on board. I'm being generous with my wording. Speaking more to the steady flow of wintry events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 0.50-0.75" up here around CON-LCI...all snow. Probably pushing lower warning criteria, but more pedestrian than 00z's run. I'm not sure if I'd rather have 5-7" of all snow or 7-9" followed by glaze like the NAM has. EMA QPF and type? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 My initial thought is that event #2 is too fast moving to rival the snowfall maxes NE just had. I'm thinking more like 12"-16" in the max band...... I think the 12Z NAM extrapolated would be on board. For Friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 EMA QPF and type. Euro with about an inch. Snow to sleet to rain on the coast, snow to ice inland (west of 495). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Yeah the second event.... For Friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 For Friday? Friday's big imho. Will be somewhat similar to 12/26 but not as robust as 1/12 most likely. That's my early take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Lagging quite a bit with the post-system CAA as well...right into Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Yeah 850 0C line into MA/CT border by hr 30. AIT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Euro with about an inch. Snow to sleet to rain on the coast, snow to ice inland (west of 495). QPF? Or snow? If it held serve from 00z, about a quarter-half would be snow. I'm thinking 1-3" here, then IP -> IP/RN -> RN at 34-36F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 The thing about Friday that people are missing is that it is a big time overrunning event. With us on the cold side, there can be mucho snow in some areas. I think the CMC bomb is overkill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 QPF? Or snow? If it held serve from 00z, about a quarter-half would be snow. I'm thinking 1-3" here, then IP -> IP/RN -> RN at 34-36F. qpf. Probably 2-5 for you snow before taint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Euro with about an inch. Snow to sleet to rain on the coast, snow to ice inland (west of 495). Looks like some lingering inverted trough precip on Wednesday? Maybe a tenth of QPF for ENE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Looks like some lingering inverted trough precip on Wednesday? Maybe a tenth of QPF for ENE. Yeah maybe 1-2" thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Yep. Euro brings a slug of moderate overrunning snow into all of SNE by 12Z Friday. Watch out for this event. Not much wind but juice is available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Does it torch ENE on Wed? It had 40 for BOS a day ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Does it torch ENE on Wed? It had 40 for BOS a day ago Not with clouds/precip lingering around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Euro Friday is slightly more robust. The trend is good but to me the signal is moderate to heavy overrunning snows for much of NE Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Does it torch ENE on Wed? It had 40 for BOS a day ago It has most of us getting to near 40. If we can keeps clouds around, it could be cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 snowpack is going to be around for a long time by the looks of things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Actually, by 00z not much different. still a pocket of 850 0C air near BOS and ne mass..up through ORH and points north. scott am i stradling the 0c line at 0z wednesday? seems like borderline heavy snow scenario......? no i mean if it could snow from 9am to 7pm or so. wonder wether there is a sneaky warm layer at 8H? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 scott am i stradling the 0c line at 0z wednesday? seems like borderline heavy snow scenario......? no i mean if it could snow from 9am to 7pm or so. wonder wether there is a sneaky warm layer at 8H? Yeah 850 0C line is right over your fanny. Probably several inches for you before any changeover verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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