CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Nice and bold, Scot. lol Say the same thing for BDL and I'll unpack my bag! The other thing I'm noticing is that a slug of qpf should get shoved more to the north for people in western NE, rather then NE. This means the qpf will be able to reach your area before mid levels warm. It's possible the delayed movement east may not bode well for eastern areas..but we'll see what model trends do today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Looks cold to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 i think bdl is going to have a hard time reaching freezing this cold is locked in and the snowpack will help big time i think! Nice and bold, Scot. lol Say the same thing for BDL and I'll unpack my bag! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 LOl at the folks worried about it not being cold enough..This is a cold system at the surface folks..even at the coast it low -mid 30's at worst Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 OH, don't tell MRG this, he will say you are disturbed because the hypothesis leads to less snow than desired. You're distubed because you want ice for your area. I'm confident mby gets a good thump of snow regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 You would flip to some ice, and then perhaps end as snow. It has a swfe look to it, with 850 0C line starting to align from wnw-ese where the further ne you are, the better you maintain snow. The profiles may be very borderline in the mid levels for CT, so it's tough to tell how much snow would fall. There could be a sneaky warm layer somewhere. Just be happy it trended a little cooler. That's encouraging.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 The other thing I'm noticing is that a slug of qpf should get shoved more to the north for people in western NE, rather then NE. This means the qpf will be able to reach your area before mid levels warm. It's possible the delayed movement east may not bode well for eastern areas..but we'll see what model trends do today. Mm5 showed exactly that, east is least. Hey where is CCdot net Phil? Miss his in site. This seems like a colder version with some good dynamics of our typical swfe event. The Euro is really a red flag to a bigger front end dumper. Maybe someone can remember the last SNE swfe that came through with 12-18 region wide on the ground and antecedent day in the teens / twenties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Its no heat wave here 8.4 F......... -9F here in the city i hate cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 -9F here in the city i hate cold Your living in the wrong place if you don't like it this time of year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Your living in the wrong place if you don't like it this time of year lol i know i wish it was snowing and around 20F every day. one day im going to move to florida and fly back to new england for the big storms thats my plan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 NAM is close to changing around here at 39hr as H9 becomes the warmest level in the column. By then we've had about 0.80-0.90" QPF. Then it's -FZRA/FZDZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 GFS would be a nice snowbomb for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Yeah looks like my home weather station may be having an off day....HPN is at 19 and no one in the region is above 20..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 You're distubed because you want ice for your area. I'm confident mby gets a good thump of snow regardless. Snow and cold gets boring after January (outside of the first snow, and major storms), ready for a change. I don't think that is disturbed, just the novelty wears off for me quickly. lol Yeah the interior will get a nice dump of snow, we'll see about the ice.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 lol i know i wish it was snowing and around 20F every day. one day im going to move to florida and fly back to new england for the big storms thats my plan lol, It would be much better if it was 20F and snow.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 NAM is close to changing around here at 39hr as H9 becomes the warmest level in the column. By then we've had about 0.80-0.90" QPF. Then it's -FZRA/FZDZ. I could live with that scenario...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 OH, don't tell MRG this, he will say you are disturbed because the hypothesis leads to less snow than desired. Nope. I still think 6-12 out there and up here. 4-8 for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 GFS would be a nice snowbomb for many. 12 z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Mm5 showed exactly that, east is least. Hey where is CCdot net Phil? Miss his in site. This seems like a colder version with some good dynamics of our typical swfe event. The Euro is really a red flag to a bigger front end dumper. Maybe someone can remember the last SNE swfe that came through with 12-18 region wide on the ground and antecedent day in the teens / twenties. He is taking some time away after the nonsense that went on last week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 He is taking some time away after the nonsense that went on last week Why his skin is thick, ignore the idiots embrace the weenies. How much did he end up with? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 12 z? I think he was talking about the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 A balmy 5 degrees here currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 GFS would be a nice snowbomb for many. Alpha 5 needs to change his name to Zeta 0 , he is having a bad interpretation day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Snow and cold gets boring after January (outside of the first snow, and major storms), ready for a change. I don't think that is disturbed, just the novelty wears off for me quickly. lol Yeah the interior will get a nice dump of snow, we'll see about the ice.. Creepy, but to each his own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Why his skin is thick, ignore the idiots embrace the weenies. How much did he end up with? I think 3-4 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 12 z? 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 LOl at the folks worried about it not being cold enough..This is a cold system at the surface folks..even at the coast it low -mid 30's at worst TORCH!!! 27 01/18 15Z 32 31 77 7 0.00 0.00 540 556 -0.3 -20.8 1020 100 034OVC361 0.0 14.9 30 01/18 18Z 34 34 88 10 0.08 0.00 542 555 -0.7 -19.5 1015 100 RA 004OVC367 0.0 2.8 33 01/18 21Z 36 36 98 14 0.20 0.00 546 553 0.6 -18.5 1009 100 RA 002OVC365 0.0 0.0 36 01/19 00Z 38 38 92 13 0.33 0.00 549 552 5.6 -18.4 1004 100 RA 001OVC338 0.0 0.0 39 01/19 03Z 38 38 35 10 0.25 0.00 552 550 5.5 -16.7 997 100 RA 000OVC095 0.0 0.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 TORCH!!! 27 01/18 15Z 32 31 77 7 0.00 0.00 540 556 -0.3 -20.8 1020 100 034OVC361 0.0 14.9 30 01/18 18Z 34 34 88 10 0.08 0.00 542 555 -0.7 -19.5 1015 100 RA 004OVC367 0.0 2.8 33 01/18 21Z 36 36 98 14 0.20 0.00 546 553 0.6 -18.5 1009 100 RA 002OVC365 0.0 0.0 36 01/19 00Z 38 38 92 13 0.33 0.00 549 552 5.6 -18.4 1004 100 RA 001OVC338 0.0 0.0 39 01/19 03Z 38 38 35 10 0.25 0.00 552 550 5.5 -16.7 997 100 RA 000OVC095 0.0 0.0 Where's that, Bob? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 National radar is juiced, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 He is taking some time away after the nonsense that went on last week "nonsense" Are you talking about the after affects of last weekends snows, where he was constantly being challenged on the end result of accumulated snow? That whole scene seemed relentless, but to each his own. I personally can't get up for pounding on folks who do the forecasting. It is what it is - forecasting. If someone says I may see 10", and I only get 3", I will be most likely be angry, but not constantly rail on the dude for his call. Being a pro forecaster has to be one of the biggest headache jobs ever. I know at least from the perspective of the general public, they seem to not understand the fact that the word "forecast" is part of the equation, which alone signals - maybe I'm right, or maybe I'm wrong. But, if I'm wrong, I can only hope that I'm not 100 percent off base. Of course it's a whole other deal all together if the forecaster is confident enough to guarantee something that he can't deliver. That is another discussion. I think there's way too much dependence in forecasting, including the notion to take what forecasters say as gospel. One can't always believe, or put a 100 percent stock in what they see on t.v., or hear on the radio. Just my 2 cents (1 cent - adjusted for inflation) [/rant off] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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