MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 That map is a good 1st call, But it could be underdone in the area away from the coast...... Little chilly this am.....-7 F Yeah, I agree with you about the map. I don't know when it was drawn up. I expect to see some double digits as higher-end totals for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 SREFs are pretty dang warm, even for the icy outposts in GC. You're right (03z run, right?). Looks like it has the 2m 32* line through mby and NW of there at 18z Tuesday and then above freezing after that. Let's see what 09 brings and what the snowpack might mean for actual ground temps. But, that's a good sign for power lines/tree branches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adam038 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 So I guess we'll have that nice crust on our snowpack FTW. -1.1F attm BOX calling for 4-8" here for the day, then freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 You're right (03z run, right?). Looks like it has the 2m 32* line through mby and NW of there at 18z Tuesday and then above freezing after that. Let's see what 09 brings and what the snowpack might mean for actual ground temps. But, that's a good sign for power lines/tree branches. Rooting for the SREF's to some degree... some of these members are very wet across central and northern VT. With 40" of snow on the mountain in the past 8 days, including 9 (base)-14(summit)" from the weekend clipper, I'd love to keep the ball rolling... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kmcfarland99 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Sweet, all of Maine and NH away from coastal zones is under a WSWatch. Here's to good trends on the models today. Is there any likelihood for this to trend cool enough for the coast to eventually end up in the watch area or is it pretty much a given that we (Portland, ME area) are doomed for rain and slop this time around? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Yeah, I agree with you about the map. I don't know when it was drawn up. I expect to see some double digits as higher-end totals for some. That map was probably done last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 9z SREFs came in colder through about 36-39hr and there's some increased spread over SNE. They're still fairly warm, but I think they'll continue to trend colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Is there any likelihood for this to trend cool enough for the coast to eventually end up in the watch area or is it pretty much a given that we (Portland, ME area) are doomed for rain and slop this time around? I don't know if it's a likelihood but my opinion is that it can trend whiter for the coastal areas - it's been trending colder all weekend. Of course, I'm not a met but I stayed at a Holiday Inn Express last night. Keep an eye on the models today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 9z SREFs came in colder through about 36-39hr and there's some increased spread over SNE. They're still fairly warm, but I think they'll continue to trend colder. How are they looking on qpf? Seems like we have a consensus developing on a widespread 1 inch+ event. Last event overperformed...we had like 1.5 right? This has a ss connection and is coming over a very cold dome so perhaps we overperform again. I'm rooting for a 30 inch snowpack Edit: just saw the sref map posted and it looks like widespread 1"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Cant see that map for whatever reason jayhawk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Cant see that map for whatever reason jayhawk It's an accum map from WGME. Has you in the 5-8" zone, which is the highest on the map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 This reminds me a little of the Feb storm last year that smoked the ORH hills and sw NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 It's an accum map from WGME. Has you in the 5-8" zone, which is the highest on the map. Fair. I think 5-10" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 This reminds me a little of the Feb storm last year that smoked the ORH hills and sw NH. Is zr a concern for some areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 i like where im at for this storm!! Tonight: A chance of snow, mainly after 3am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 9. Light east wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Tuesday: Snow before 3pm, then snow and sleet between 3pm and 4pm, then freezing rain and sleet after 4pm. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 32. North wind between 5 and 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. Tuesday Night: Freezing rain and sleet, becoming all freezing rain after 10pm. Low around 29. North wind between 7 and 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Fair. I think 5-10" here Yeah, I think you do pretty good up there. I, on the other hand, am sweating out the r/s line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Going to be a serious now casting type day tomorrow. One of the saddest things is seeing beautiful heavy snow change to sleet..Better than plain rain at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Fair. I think 5-10" here Yeah, Thats resonable, I was thinking 6-10".. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Is zr a concern for some areas? Yeah I think so, esp in CT and up into the ORH Hills I think. NAM is still a little warm in the mid levels, but cooled off from 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Yeah, I think you do pretty good up there. I, on the other hand, am sweating out the r/s line. You are riding the fence, And i am very close here, It could go either way.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Yeah, Thats resonable, I was thinking 6-10".. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Wow--heavy qpf slug is WAY west on this at 30z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 i like where im at for this storm!! Tonight: A chance of snow, mainly after 3am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 9. Light east wind. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Tuesday: Snow before 3pm, then snow and sleet between 3pm and 4pm, then freezing rain and sleet after 4pm. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 32. North wind between 5 and 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 4 to 8 inches possible. Tuesday Night: Freezing rain and sleet, becoming all freezing rain after 10pm. Low around 29. North wind between 7 and 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Interesting to see Box going with some pretty good totals even into the Valley. I'm surprised they are being that bullish with totals in what seems to be a tricky set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 I like the 12Z NAM at 36 hours so far, heavy snow NH and ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Pretty good thump on the front end, Then it looks like we will mix........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 12Z NAM and most guidance telling me I'll need to wear the tall boots to avoid some deep puddles tomorrow afternoon in boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 You are riding the fence, And i am very close here, It could go either way.... As Matt said, heavy heavy nowcasting tomorrow. Of course, I'll be in PWM so what is falling there is not necessarily indicative of what is happening in the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Congrats, Albany? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Lots and lots of ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted January 17, 2011 Share Posted January 17, 2011 Wow things just got.real interesting up here.. NAM has that look of ZR to me What's a winter without 250k out of.power in NH?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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