CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 It's interesting the gfs ensembles are west of the op run for mid week, although they are trending to a strong coastal low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 I have a feeling tonight's event might overperform. In past snowy winters like the one we're experiencing now...these little events always seem to do do better than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 It's interesting the gfs ensembles are west of the op run for mid week, although they are trending to a strong coastal low. Yeah this is going to be a mess to resolve. If the coastal low comes to fruition it's going to be an icy mess in the interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 I have a feeling tonight's event might overperform. In past snowy winters like the one we're experiencing now...these little events always seem to do do better than expected. I think it's too quick hitting to really overperform though I bet it rips for a period of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Yeah this is going to be a mess to resolve. If the coastal low comes to fruition it's going to be an icy mess in the interior There was a storm/setup very similiar to this one in 2004 or 2005 I think. I remember Walt wrote the disco for it that morning..and it was thought it would mostly snow..but instead it ended up being an icestorm south of the Pike. Will might remember the one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Yeah this is going to be a mess to resolve. If the coastal low comes to fruition it's going to be an icy mess in the interior Not good, no-good at all. Trees are already hanging over power lines here snow encrusted, not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 I think it's too quick hitting to really overperform though I bet it rips for a period of time. Well by overperform I meant maybe some folks get 3 instead of 1-2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 I have a feeling tonight's event might overperform. In past snowy winters like the one we're experiencing now...these little events always seem to do do better than expected. Wouldn't be surprised to see someone with some orographic assistance see a quick 4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 I have a feeling tonight's event might overperform. In past snowy winters like the one we're experiencing now...these little events always seem to do do better than expected. it's mostly over by midnite...this looks to start in 2 hours per albany radar for most of Western Ma/ NW looks like more north of the Ct/MA line...but everyone gets something (CT later this evening with the Pa band) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Well by overperform I meant maybe some folks get 3 instead of 1-2 I doubt 3... I think by overperforming it's really going to rip for a period of time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Well by overperform I meant maybe some folks get 3 instead of 1-2 This pattern has Du Hast written all over it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 The GFS is a nasty ice event for some... even the valleys probably get in on the action as long as the BL isn't cold enough for sleet. Sleet works Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Wouldn't be surprised to see someone with some orographic assistance see a quick 4" looks like the monads will get spanked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Balls deep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Wouldn't be surprised to see someone with some orographic assistance see a quick 4" It's starting to look good for central ne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 so can someone give a summary of the euro...I'm a little confused about what the deal is with respect to ice, snow, and rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 It's starting to look good for central ne. Hey Scott. Keep the terminals open so I can get back into Boston around 9:20 Thurs night. Last nights Euro looks tasty for Friday...lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 NCEP doing an 18z balloon launch in the deep south for better coverage of s.w in northern Mexico. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Hey Scott. Keep the terminals open so I can get back into Boston around 9:20 Thurs night. Last nights Euro looks tasty for Friday...lol.. LOL, I'll be on that desk during that time as well. as of now, you'll sneak in it seems...even if the euro is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Wow UKMET says my flight round 14Z is delayed Tuesday morning for sure. Moderate snow falling by 12Z. I wouldn't mind. A cancellation would be just about perfect as I'd probably have to do what I need to do Wednesday remotely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 what is criteria in S and/or SW NH for a WWA? i wonder if everyone knows roads will be slippery........or did they just hear "maybe a few flurries". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 so can someone give a summary of the euro...I'm a little confused about what the deal is with respect to ice, snow, and rain? It starts as snow, but goes over to some ip/zr for the interior it seems..and a cold rain at that coast. Could be like 1-3 or 2-4 even for you in Blackstone.The euro shows a complicated scenario, as the primary is way east of the BM, but it has an inv trough like depiction hanging back to the west, with a small mini low pressure right near the Cape. It's close to an all snow event for the interior, if that coastal can develop quicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 LOL, I'll be on that desk during that time as well. as of now, you'll sneak in it seems...even if the euro is right. I may PM you in the afternoon that day if it's close...lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 money pit mike could get 2-3 this PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 It starts as snow, but goes over to some ip/zr for the interior it seems..and a cold rain at that coast. Could be like 1-3 or 2-4 even for you in Blackstone.The euro shows a complicated scenario, as the primary is way east of the BM, but it has an inv trough like depiction hanging back to the west, with a small mini low pressure right near the Cape. It's close to an all snow event for the interior, if that coastal can develop quicker. thanks...does it look like significant ice verbatim for the interior or here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 This pattern has Du Hast written all over it Just a kick azz song..can't get enough of that guitar riff http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=My0HQ0QkGLQ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheetah440 Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 Wow UKMET says my flight round 14Z is delayed Tuesday morning for sure. Moderate snow falling by 12Z. I wouldn't mind. A cancellation would be just about perfect as I'd probably have to do what I need to do Wednesday remotely. I'm begging for a cancel with my 5pm flight. Hell trip coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 I'm begging for a cancel with my 5pm flight. Hell trip coming up. How long you gone for? I hate these 36 hour turn arounds! I show up at the office Friday zombielike.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheetah440 Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 How long you gone for? I hate these 36 hour turn arounds! I show up at the office Friday zombielike.... Leaving Tuesday at 5pm for ORD, all day in Chicago,then Wed night to Omaha, All morning in Omaha Thursday then back home through Chicago landing around 10pm. Nothing direct from Omaha. If my flight out Tues was canceled I wouldn't be terribly upset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 15, 2011 Share Posted January 15, 2011 NCEP doing an 18z balloon launch in the deep south for better coverage of s.w in northern Mexico. nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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