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Midweek Storm DISCO


DomNH

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I see a dangerous trap that I feel many are going to fall into on the heels of the NAM's huge mesoscale win in the HECS; that system underwent incredible bombogensis as a result of the polar air interacting with the ocean, which is a mesoscale phenomenon and directly in wheelhouse of the NAM....John did a great job foretelling that.

This sytem, however is a far different animal and in sharp contrast to the HECS in that it represents the NAM's greatest deficiency...swfes.

We have seen time and time again that the NAM will not drive the warm advestion far enough n in these, so I'd be careful that it doesn't over trend in the cold direction, before correcting itself to a degree at the last moment.

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