40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Yeah....I'm thinking 2-4 inches of snow..then sleet then about .50 qpf or a bit more of icing in the hills..with temps never getting much above 30-31..Could be fun I'll may get more snow than you, but you may stay below freezing and I won't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 It's almost a swfe on the euro. Low over canal, 850 0C line starts to align more wnw-ese. If high pressure was nosed in a little more to the nw....it would be s+ to drizzle for me. OT--this game is shaping up to be worse than the Falcons/Packers game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 It'll help strengthen your growing glacier. A few inches of 10:1 added on and then topped off with a nice layer of ZR. It'll be tough to melt that down before late March unless we get an epic torch event. If the EC verifies I may rack up 8-12" of cement. That would be a nice surprise. LOL...add 2-4 to my 25-28 OTG currently..then lock it in with some damaging ice..then another 12+ day 8 no grass visible till June? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Euro goes over the Cape d8. Amazing the storm tracks have loved the Cape this year, despite the earlier blocking that we had. That storm would be great for the coast, but would destroy the Berks and nne with prolonged s+. We are finally seeing the Nina winter emerge after a Nino like 1st third. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Euro goes over the Cape d8. Amazing the storm tracks have loved the Cape this year, despite the earlier blocking that we had. That storm would be great for the coast, but would destroy the Berks and nne with prolonged s+. You sweet talker, you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I'll may get more snow than you, but you may stay below freezing and I won't. Yeah I could see you grabbing a 5-7 inch type wet snow..then ending as drizzle at 33 -34 before temps crash back..still time to trend this colder for all of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Yeah I could see you grabbing a 5-7 inch type wet snow..then ending as drizzle at 33 -34 before temps crash back..still time to trend this colder for all of us You look like you nailed this one....I thought this event was crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 You look like you nailed this one....I thought this event was crap. Let's get there first..but as long as you don't see a low winding up in the OV and you have such a strong artic high in place the day before...you can pretty much count on models to trend colder and a weaker type 2ndary as you get closer..GFS will be last to the party again as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I hope temps "crash back"......Dec 16, 2007 is a very favorable memory for the most part, except for the fact that the cold air did not crash back.....once the ageo drain abated; we were stuck with this mixed-out, puke of an airmass and it took about 12 hrs to really cool off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Well verbatim it has 2m temps above freezing well west of 495, but it may be overdoing the temps as usual. Could easily be advisory snow on the euro for you before any changeover. The 0c 850 line barely moves in 6 hrs from the ma/ct border to BOS. That may signify an isothermal snow event for some during Tuesday aftn. Eventually you flip to fzra and maybe rain, but it's close. I probably would rather be in an elevated spot in order to ensure I stay below freezing. thanks alot for the response. i will gladly take advisory snow here.....i will be in stoneham 6-12... for the morning and i hope it is a slow and snowy ride home at noon. now i am more interested in the18z nam trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I hope temps "crash back"......Dec 16, 2007 is a very favorable memory for the most part, except for the fact that the cold air did not crash back.....once the ageo drain abated; we were stuck with this mixed-out, puke of an airmass and it took about 12 hrs to really cool off. I think Wednesday may be mixed-out puke...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I think Wednesday may be mixed-out puke...lol. Yuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I hope temps "crash back"......Dec 16, 2007 is a very favorable memory for the most part, except for the fact that the cold air did not crash back.....once the ageo drain abated; we were stuck with this mixed-out, puke of an airmass and it took about 12 hrs to really cool off. We may be left with sh*tty rotting cold for a little while. The primary low can be thanked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 We may be left with sh*tty rotting cold for a little while. The primary low can be thanked. Yea, I thought this looked like that 2007 event......though it obviously isn't likey to be as prolific before it pukes. No "crashing back" here, folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 My goal is 4" of snow...that should ensure a net gain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Yea, I thought this looked like that 2007 event......thought it obviously isn't likey to be as prolific before it pukes. No "crashing back" here, folks. The only thing I could see is you coming back to like 31F, and then Wednesday you mix out, like Brian said. That could be possible. We still have time for some wiggle room here and there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 16, 2011 Author Share Posted January 16, 2011 Yuck. What's puke...35-40? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 What's puke...35-40? Yea.....not talking torch, but some of that 35-40* will be accompanied by high dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Yea, I thought this looked like that 2007 event......though it obviously isn't likey to be as prolific before it pukes. No "crashing back" here, folks. In fact the EC has 2m temps getting around 40F at your place. There could be quite a few drips along the coastal plain up to PWM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 16, 2011 Author Share Posted January 16, 2011 Yea.....not talking torch, but some of that 35-40* will be accompanied by high dews. Yeah, damp 35-40...but after 3-5'' of snow I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 In fact the EC has 2m temps getting around 40F at your place. There could be quite a few drips along the coastal plain up to PWM. Right.....Dec 2007 got to 39* and hung there forever. I figure get 4" of snow and maybe break event with a net gain in WE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 My goal is 4" of snow...that should ensure a net gain. Id take 3-4 inches of snow then sleet and top it off with rain then freeze the whole ball of wax and we have a solid base for the next few storms to build on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 In fact the EC has 2m temps getting around 40F at your place. There could be quite a few drips along the coastal plain up to PWM. Pardon the MBY post, but how does my (the west of Hartford) area look? I don't know how much more snow/ice my roof can handle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Right.....Dec 2007 got to 39* and hung there forever. I figure get 4" of snow and maybe break event with a net gain in WE. if 850's can hold for some of those hours where qpf really rips....well then that really holds the key to the forecast for the bos-495 corridor it would seem. would really like 0z euro to wiggle colder with 850's tues pm when qpf dumps on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Pardon the MBY post, but how does my (the west of Hartford) area look? I don't know how much more snow/ice my roof can handle Hartford area just west doesn't look to see a lot of snow..maybe a few inches and then flip to some ice..maybe ends as a little rain, but depends where you are. It's probably going to change a little as we get closer so don't lock that in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Right.....Dec 2007 got to 39* and hung there forever. I figure get 4" of snow and maybe break event with a net gain in WE. It wouldn't shock me to see widespread 40s Wednesday for ENE with sun. 850 temps near 0C midday with NW winds increasing and decent mixing. It could be one of those deals where the temp drops off quickly with elevation to the west (ORH). Then toward sunset everyone drops off quickly with CAA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 i wonder how the americanwx-wrf will perform when he get inside 30hrs.... how the heck has that been doing anyway is it a hybrid MESO....ARW like model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 It wouldn't shock me to see widespread 40s Wednesday for ENE with sun. 850 temps near 0C midday with NW winds increasing and decent mixing. It could be one of those deals where the temp drops off quickly with elevation to the west (ORH). Then toward sunset everyone drops off quickly with CAA. Yuck. Early this morning marked the one year anniversary of the accident; much better winter, much better year. Lots to be thankful for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Hartford area just west doesn't look to see a lot of snow..maybe a few inches and then flip to some ice..maybe ends as a little rain, but depends where you are. It's probably going to change a little as we get closer so don't lock that in. Ah thanks, I was thinking along those lines. Would be nice to see a model consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Yuck. Early this morning marked the one year anniversary of the accident; much better winter, much better year. Lots to be thankful for. And on to year two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.