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Midweek Storm DISCO


DomNH

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This thing looks like it's gonna stay frozen for almost everyone..with room to trend even colder. I'd much prefer all snow over ice...but welcome ice as well

kev what the heck do you think the wed 0z panel looks like on the euro....0c line BL temps etc....? that is a big key.

other models takes a path from HSE up thru delmarva then scoots east to where Euro has low at hr 72. just wondering how euro gets from hr 48 position to hr 72? and esp. where 850 0c line and BL temps are at 0z wed.

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The reality is that the main effect of living in the interior uplands is many more BKN and OVC days. So clouldy wx FTW if you like to keep more snow pack and supress daily maxes. Most normal people would call that a negative of course. ;)

So yeah I get many many days with some flakes in the air, but the LES probably only adds up to a cumulative of perhaps 18" total over the course of a season. All the multi band stuff is nuisance dustings by the time it gets to here or the Berks. It is the rarer single band event (preferably with a Huron or Superior connection) that can actually deliver something decent.

Chris--are you out here today? You can pick up lots of traces on a lot of days, that's for sure.

It had been snowing all morning. Now just occasional flakes, but more clouds moving in.

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Nice burst there......pulling for the Bears in this one. Seattle has no business being in the playoffs.

I 'd like Seattle to win though don't think they will

Looking at radar out there is crazy..there's bands moving in about 5 different directions..Looks like Lake enhancement..and maybe some sort of land/lake breeze convergence?

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kev what the heck do you think the wed 0z panel looks like on the euro....0c line BL temps etc....? that is a big key.

other models takes a path from HSE up thru delmarva then scoots east to where Euro has low at hr 72. just wondering how euro gets from hr 48 position to hr 72? and esp. where 850 0c line and BL temps are at 0z wed.

sfc low tracks from about 50mi E of NJ at 60hr to over CC Canal at 66hr ~992mb. 0C H85 temps are up to about me at 66hr before temps start crashing back SE.
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What do thermal profiles look like across CT?

Pretty warm in the mid levels...maybe a little snow to start. I have the 0C line N of the CT/MA border at 54hr, but the usual elevated cold spots in these situations may be icy. 54-60hr is where it starts getting tricky. Lots of QPF in SNE during that 6hr period. It might be a mess for the higher terrain in the interior...hopefully most of it is a snow thump before a changeover.
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ok not so many euro comments but 20 comments on the 6 and 12z nam. too bad we can't see the 6 hour increments

Scott does the euro show significant icing for 495 corridor or does it have bL temps as well as 850's going over 0c by afternoon and most of the overnite ? for the bos-495 belt. i.e is this a 0c snowbomb? lol or an ice threat or a snow pack beat down. just wondering the breakdown for GC ORH greater bos area.

Well verbatim it has 2m temps above freezing well west of 495, but it may be overdoing the temps as usual. Could easily be advisory snow on the euro for you before any changeover. The 0c 850 line barely moves in 6 hrs from the ma/ct border to BOS. That may signify an isothermal snow event for some during Tuesday aftn. Eventually you flip to fzra and maybe rain, but it's close. I probably would rather be in an elevated spot in order to ensure I stay below freezing.

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Pretty warm in the mid levels...maybe a little snow to start. I have the 0C line N of the CT/MA border at 54hr, but the usual elevated cold spots in these situations may be icy. 54-60hr is where it starts getting tricky. Lots of QPF in SNE during that 6hr period. It might be a mess for the higher terrain in the interior...hopefully most of it is a snow thump before a changeover.

Yeah....I'm thinking 2-4 inches of snow..then sleet then about .50 qpf or a bit more of icing in the hills..with temps never getting much above 30-31..Could be fun

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Yeah the Euro would be 6+ from ORH north..while south of ther ices..and cold rain on coast after a front end thump

It's almost a swfe on the euro. Low over canal, 850 0C line starts to align more wnw-ese. If high pressure was nosed in a little more to the nw....it would be s+ to drizzle for me.

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Yeah....I'm thinking 2-4 inches of snow..then sleet then about .50 qpf or a bit more of icing in the hills..with temps never getting much above 30-31..Could be fun

It'll help strengthen your growing glacier. A few inches of 10:1 added on and then topped off with a nice layer of ZR. It'll be tough to melt that down before late March unless we get an epic torch event.

If the EC verifies I may rack up 8-12" of cement. That would be a nice surprise.

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