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Midweek Storm DISCO


DomNH

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  On 1/16/2011 at 8:29 PM, cpickett79 said:

SNE snow bomb tuesday?

we may need a clown map

panel 54 0c 850 ........waiting waiting where is the 0c line at hr 54. cause ya know there's a qpf bomb modeled then.

Well into NH/VT. A good 1/3" of liquid in the form of snow for N MA this run...probably 3-4".
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I see a dangerous trap that I feel many are going to fall into on the heels of the NAM's huge mesoscale win in the HECS; that system underwent incredible bombogensis as a result of the polar air interacting with the ocean, which is a mesoscale phenomenon and directly in wheelhouse of the NAM....John did a great job foretelling that.

This sytem, however is a far different animal and in sharp contrast to the HECS in that it represents the NAM's greatest deficiency...swfes.

We have seen time and time again that the NAM will not drive the warm advestion far enough n in these, so I'd be careful that it doesn't over trend in the cold direction, before correcting itself to a degree at the last moment.

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