JoMo Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Or not. The MO guys will like this run. Nothing major, but from JoMo to Friv, a decent swath of snow. I don't like riding the line though. That's how pretty much every storm is here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I don't like riding the line though. That's how pretty much every storm is here. feels like it has been a while for your region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I don't like riding the line though. That's how pretty much every storm is here. I'm estimating, but it's probably somewhere in the 0.20-0.50" QPF range for you. Friv is probably in the 0.15-0.30" range. The greatest precip, going from NW to SE, is right between JLN and STL ironically...though JLN is a lot closer than STL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 feels like it has been a while for your region. Got 2.5" from the last storm, so 2.5" for the winter. Last year was active and above normal though. Nearly always on the line though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 I'm estimating, but it's probably somewhere in the 0.20-0.50" QPF range for you. Friv is probably in the 0.10-0.30" range. The greatest precip is right between JLN and STL ironically. Thanks, Euro has been behaving strangely recently though. Keeps want to cut something off in the southwest. GGEM had best precip from NE OK into Central Ark, GFS had best precip in SE Kansas. Been disappointed with the lack of storms wrapping up this year, seems like everything is disorganized junk or positively tilted until it reaches the east coast of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Southern IL, southern IN, southern OH and most of KY look good too...although it weakens as it heads east (less for CVG than say EVV). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 16, 2011 Author Share Posted January 16, 2011 Does the Euro give me anything out of this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Thanks, Euro has been behaving strangely recently though. Keeps want to cut something off in the southwest. GGEM had best precip from NE OK into Central Ark, GFS had best precip in SE Kansas. Been disappointed with the lack of storms wrapping up this year, seems like everything is disorganized junk or positively tilted until it reaches the east coast of course. Almost all of the storms have come into the pacific Nw instead of the SW. The pattern has made a lot of storms dive south and not go negative tilt until later. We need the ridge to come west or for the high in the southern pacific to get out of the way. We have been in this pacific NW and bomb off the coast pattern for a month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Does the Euro give me anything out of this? Very light amounts. Northern edge (< 0.10") basically runs from the IA/MO border to IND to CMH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Only have the freebies but it looks like another trough digging in the central CONUS around 144. Maybe a shot at redemption for us northern folks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Thanks, Euro has been behaving strangely recently though. Keeps want to cut something off in the southwest. GGEM had best precip from NE OK into Central Ark, GFS had best precip in SE Kansas. Been disappointed with the lack of storms wrapping up this year, seems like everything is disorganized junk or positively tilted until it reaches the east coast of course. Yeah it seems like that lately. A few storm threats that had a ton of potential fizzled out--but that is the way it goes. We still have a long way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Only have the freebies but it looks like another trough digging in the central CONUS around 144. Maybe a shot at redemption for us northern folks? Looks like another EC snowstorm at 168 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 Only have the freebies but it looks like another trough digging in the central CONUS around 144. Maybe a shot at redemption for us northern folks? MECS/HECS on the 12z Euro. Haven't seen that one before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 OT, but there are some nice sized dendrites falling at Soldier Field right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 MECS/HECS on the 12z Euro. Haven't seen that one before. FFS. Remember when the NW trend existed? Those were swell times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 OT, but there are some nice sized dendrites falling at Soldier Field right now. yeah I was about to mention that. It's really picked up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 FFS. Remember when the NW trend existed? Those were swell times. i tell ya what, i saw that 144 hr euro 500 and thought for sure it was gonna send a storm up inland at 168. Ended up pretty close but too far east. Normally I would be excited at this range thinking plenty of time for a sharper trough and stronger storm, however, this year it's more likely the storm will disappear vs. trend one way or other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 16, 2011 Author Share Posted January 16, 2011 It's nice to see a storm back on all 3 models. A little NW shift would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 FFS. Remember when the NW trend existed? Those were swell times. -AO and -NAO have killed those dreams it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 jma is a big hit with overruning MO valley, lower OV, and especially TN valley... but no coastal like the euro has 2 days later. my hunch is that one of these systems, either the overruning event thurs/fri or the coastal sat/sun will become the bigger, more widespread event and the other will disappear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 -AO and -NAO have killed those dreams it seems. remember the mighty SE ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 hwo does the euro do qpf wise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 FFS. Remember when the NW trend existed? Those were swell times. good ole days when the euro showed a coastal at day 6 and there was a strong chance it would become an app runner. Likewise app runners at day 6 became chicago specials... *sigh* now the euro seems to have developed some weird fetish for eastcoast lows. Has there been a 7 day run on the euro over the last couple months where it wasn't showing a coastal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 All of the models have a weak to decent -NAO again...so that is gold for us south folk. but a more amplified storm would be nice..this is the set up made for a WNW/ENE special laying out a wide area of 8+...but those are pipe dreams for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 hwo does the euro do qpf wise? My guess would be .20" give or take a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 hwo does the euro do qpf wise? Estimating 0.15-0.30" for STL. "Heaviest" swath stays to your south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 remember the mighty SE ridge. Yep M.I.A...in a mod Nina to boot. Strange times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 jma is a big hit with overruning MO valley, lower OV, and especially TN valley... but no coastal like the euro has 2 days later. my hunch is that one of these systems, either the overruning event thurs/fri or the coastal sat/sun will become the bigger, more widespread event and the other will disappear. Thinking how well developed the upper level system over the Lakes on Tuesday night/ Wednesday becomes will determine where the Thu/Fri system ends up. Classic reasoning...more developed initial storm, less wavelength between the storms, more confluence, more chance of the second storm getting quashed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 good ole days when the euro showed a coastal at day 6 and there was a strong chance it would become an app runner. Likewise app runners at day 6 became chicago specials... *sigh* now the euro seems to have developed some weird fetish for eastcoast lows. Has there been a 7 day run on the euro over the last couple months where it wasn't showing a coastal? The EC snow weenies are loving them some Euro even though it has only verified about 2/50 coastal events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 16, 2011 Share Posted January 16, 2011 12z GFS individual ensemble 72 hour total QPF, ending at 0z Saturday (hour 60 to 132), from e-Wall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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