Chicago WX Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 *high fives* Snowstormcanuck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 weee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Even Chi-Town gets some love this run getting into the .25 range.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I love this run, lol...freezing line gets close but won't make it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Only thing is that this is NAM at hr 66+ out. I would wait for the GFS/EURO to get on board before I would get to excited (Ohio posters) Ehh either way, we havent had too much to get excited about, and with how things have flopped this winter, gotta enjoy this while we can lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 weee almost passed out lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Thing of beauty at 78hr! damn that's close....we have about 50 miles of breathing room....yikes call my broker i wanna lock it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Only thing is that this is NAM at hr 66+ out. I would wait for the GFS/EURO to get on board before I would get to excited (Ohio posters) We know that already and have been discussing this already. GFS is making tick-tock changes in its height field. About 1- 2 runs with small changes needed before it goes epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I'll take ~.25 of high ratio snows. A bit further Northwest would give MI and Chicago a little more love. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 *high fives* Snowstormcanuck Was hoping the low would go into PA rather than off the MA coast but the inverted sfc trough at least gets some moderate snow up here. Frankly, with the lake enhancement potential and the better ratios, maybe this is the better scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 *high fives* Snowstormcanuck It's looking good for a lot of us in the region.. Cant wait to see the gfs now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 congrats Buckeye!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Only thing is that this is NAM at hr 66+ out. I would wait for the GFS/EURO to get on board before I would get to excited (Ohio posters) you mean the 72 hr nam isn't a lock? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 PERFECT PHASE, DOES this mean it cannot get any stronger??? if the nam was a bit stronger our area could def see .5+ qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 I'll take ~.25 of high ratio snows. A bit further Northwest would give MI and Chicago a little more love. Even on this run we both get .25+ Lets see if the gfs follows the nam.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 We know that already and have been discussing this already. GFS is making tick-tock changes in its height field. About 1- 2 runs with small changes needed before it goes epic. Not sure I would use the word epic, but yea lol.. It could be a good 8-12" snow storm for someone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 congrats Buckeye!!!!!!!!!! too early...I said yesterday, whoever are the winners on the 00z wed runs with a nam and euro match up...they get the congrats. Right now this is eyecandy, and that's it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stlirish Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 <br />NAM is getting close to a STL special.<br /><br /> the good old wide area 6-12 inch deformation zone.<br /> <br /><br /><br />Agree Friv, the good trends continue. I'm not sure if I'd go as high as 12", but a solid 5-9" snow storm is certainly in the cards for STL with this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Not sure I would use the word epic, but yea lol.. It could be a good 8-12" snow storm for someone. nah, 6-8" max, but still awesome for us.....this is a fast mover, thump and run. We get our 10"+ events with slow moving gulf-juiced systems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 30 mins until the GFS comes in and either makes everyone happy or makes them come crashing back to earth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 too early...I said yesterday, whoever are the winners on the 00z wed runs with a nam and euro match up...they get the congrats. Right now this is eyecandy, and that's it what happened to this guy? LOL should listen to me dilly I said a week out before this past weeks storm that I felt good about it...and that verified. I said a week ago about mon/tues storm that it would be a bust for us...and that looks to verify. so now, I'm saying watch out, I feel good about thurs-fri of next week, even though the gfs is silent. I like the set up with that cold air diving in to our immediate west and something coming out of the sw. Should at least lay down a fresh snowpack before the arctic tundra sets in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 you mean the 72 hr nam isn't a lock? Can someone help me out w/ understanding the timing of this? I fly back from Syracuse into CMH and due to get back at 4:50 PM on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 pitt gets CRUSHED... ...poor DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 30 mins until the GFS comes in and either makes everyone happy or makes them come crashing back to earth. GFS will do fine--ECM will be the one that decides. Dr NO will deliver the answer--but it does have the cards stacked against it. I don't see that S/W nosediving through the Rockies like the Euro has with a missed phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 nah, 6-8" max, but still awesome for us.....this is a fast mover, thump and run. We get our 10"+ events with slow moving gulf-juiced systems I didnt say Ohio, I said for someone, meaning someone on the board lol.. I could see some 12" lollipops if the NAM were to verify.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Was hoping the low would go into PA rather than off the MA coast but the inverted sfc trough at least gets some moderate snow up here. Frankly, with the lake enhancement potential and the better ratios, maybe this is the better scenario. hRmmmmmmmm.....would have preferred that myself not impressed with the way it heads due east there at the end i dont see anything too causative of that, atlantic looks ok.....other than the orientation and positioon of the trough itself. looks as though it will swing up the coast but hopefully not off the coast i know BI has said it cant go negative in this orientation soon enough....has me concerned. overall hopeful that heights can amplify even quicker in futrure runs but this looked pretty damn good, not sure if its ticking time bomb better and better or ticking time bomb overdone.....though trends are encouraging! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherman5416 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Being in Pittsburgh, this storm has me really interested. 00Z NAM looks to give me about 1" of QPF. What sort of ratios are we looking at for this storm? We are supposed to get down to 14 Thursday night so I would assume they are going to be higher than normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 what happened to this guy? LOL that guy is still here. I still think we see our best event this season....that doesn't mean i believe the nam verifies, that's a whole different scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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