TimChgo9 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 So this is how it goes.... We either get a sloppy mess... or a near, or complete miss... I thought with the blocking gone, or at least pushed back, these systems would trend farther north... Guess not. 0.06" for Chicago?? :thumbsdown: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 0z@60 12z@72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 So this is how it goes.... We either get a sloppy mess... or a near, or complete miss... I thought with the blocking gone, or at least pushed back, these systems would trend farther north... Guess not. 0.06" for Chicago?? :thumbsdown: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 go NAM go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 54 hours...I'm sure of it now. This run is coming north. You can see it at H5. Southern stream s/w is slower and the northern s/w is digging more. Earlier phase it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 It's definitly a little bit north through 54.. Not too bad though.. might be a good thing since the heaviest stuff was south of us in previous runs. also might indicate a stronger system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 The height field config is beautiful. NAM may start crapping out here with the way it is phasing and the look of the dynamic tropo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 might be a good thing since the heaviest stuff was south of us in previous runs. also might indicate a stronger system I wouldnt be so sure. it is phasing earlier. This may not be a very good run for us. Will have to see around hr 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 So this is how it goes.... We either get a sloppy mess... or a near, or complete miss... I thought with the blocking gone, or at least pushed back, these systems would trend farther north... Guess not. 0.06" for Chicago?? :thumbsdown: NAM is going to take a positive step for you (but probably not good enough). Calm down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 The height field config is beautiful. NAM may start crapping out here with the way it is phasing and the look of the dynamic tropo. not what i wanted to hear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 NAM is going to take a positive step for you. Calm down. Yeah the bitter casting is kind of getting old... We will get ours Tim we still have a long way to go until winter is done.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 12z hr 78 0z hr 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 0z HR 72 NAM has a sub 1008 low in the TN/KY area with the freezing line in S. Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 LOL you guys--crapping out = bombing out. In other words--this configuration is even better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 oh my! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 It is about to go negative based on the way this is playing out through 72 hours. May be slight negative tilt by 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 12z @ 84 0z @ 72 Not looking to hot for us Buckeye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 QPF field at 72 has definitely shifted NW from 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 C/S. Ohio gets nailed at 78 fyi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 78 should clock ohio looking at those omegas at 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 NAM is getting close to a STL special. the good old wide area 6-12 inch deformation zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 ok...no more strengthening (where's the beaded sweat smiley?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 12z @ 84 0z @ 72 Not looking to hot for us Buckeye. Trust me were fine! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 78 should clock ohio looking at those omegas at 72 We do. I wasnt liking the looks of the dry air in southern ohio athr 72, but 78 looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 NAM dynamic tropopause is epic. Perfect phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 LOL you guys--crapping out = bombing out. In other words--this configuration is even better. well i was wondeiring why you would say crapping out, that 54 and onwards upper level is pretty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Trust me were fine! OKAY! lol no need to yell lol... I just said 78 looks good. look at the 500mb vort.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Thing of beauty at 78hr! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 We do. I wasnt liking the looks of the dry air in southern ohio athr 72, but 78 looks good a stronger system means a more sw to ne orientation of the precip....it also means more precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted January 18, 2011 Share Posted January 18, 2011 Only thing is that this is NAM at hr 66+ out. I would wait for the GFS/EURO to get on board before I would get to excited (Ohio posters) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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