MaineJayhawk Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 8:15 PM, wxwatcher91 said: NAM came into line with the rest of the guidance at 12z for Wednesday, and now the 18z is WEST of the consensus LOL. I like how it went from a track over Cape Cod to a track through eastern Ohio in 24 hours. Nothing like a 600 mile swing in guidance to assist the pro forecaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 8:15 PM, wxwatcher91 said: NAM came into line with the rest of the guidance at 12z for Wednesday, and now the 18z is WEST of the consensus LOL. I like how it went from a track over Cape Cod to a track through eastern Ohio in 24 hours. NAM usually has some disaster events...but just stick to the EE rule for determining if its right. Occasionally it can score a coup all by itself though like Dec 5th last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 49 socked in all day with low clouds on a light easterly fetch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 8:52 PM, litchfieldlibations said: 49 socked in all day with low clouds on a light easterly fetch. Same here. Been that way since yesterday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 48 and drizzle here at .035k. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 43.7/42. .01" Bleh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 8:51 PM, ORH_wxman said: NAM usually has some disaster events...but just stick to the EE rule for determining if its right. Occasionally it can score a coup all by itself though like Dec 5th last winter. haha yeah, it was pretty clear anyway that the NAM was way out in right field on those couple of runs this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 9:07 PM, MaineJayhawk said: 48 and drizzle here at .035k. .034k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 9:07 PM, MaineJayhawk said: 48 and drizzle here at .035k. Same here at .080K. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 9:07 PM, MaineJayhawk said: 48 and drizzle here at .035k. I think you mean 0.35k if you are 350 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 9:17 PM, ORH_wxman said: I think you mean 0.35k if you are 350 feet. .350 is hall of fame numbers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 9:16 PM, CoastalWx said: Same here at .080K. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 9:17 PM, ORH_wxman said: I think you mean 0.35k if you are 350 feet. I'm at the office in PWM, three blocks from the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 I was at 1.832K yesterday ok? Today was so Novembery out Cool, cloudy, getting ready for Winter 10 days till snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 8:51 PM, ORH_wxman said: NAM usually has some disaster events...but just stick to the EE rule for determining if its right. Occasionally it can score a coup all by itself though like Dec 5th last winter. How did it do with 12/9 last year when many forecasted the SW flow event to change to rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 9:48 PM, H2Otown_WX said: How did it do with 12/9 last year when many forecasted the SW flow event to change to rain? I think 12/9 was pretty well forecasted by most guidance. The snow hung ona little longer down there than thought, but on a larger scale it wasn't bad. That storm did change to rain for all of us eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 9:52 PM, ORH_wxman said: I think 12/9 was pretty well forecasted by most guidance. The snow hung ona little longer down there than thought, but on a larger scale it wasn't bad. That storm did change to rain for all of us eventually. I thought it stayed all snow til almost the very end. Got like 4.5" in Danbury and 7" at my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 10:07 PM, H2Otown_WX said: I thought it stayed all snow til almost the very end. Got like 4.5" in Danbury and 7" at my house. From the METAR archive it looks like KBDL changed to rain at about 830am that morning. Which should be a good barometer since this event wasn't about elevation as much as it was the mid-level 0C line advancing northward. I recall it changing to rain here sometime after 10am. It maybe rained for 3 hours or so until it shut off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 10:12 PM, ORH_wxman said: From the METAR archive it looks like KBDL changed to rain at about 830am that morning. Which should be a good barometer since this event wasn't about elevation as much as it was the mid-level 0C line advancing northward. I recall it changing to rain here sometime after 10am. It maybe rained for 3 hours or so until it shut off. I believe we remained snow the entire time. I wish I had my old signature so I could see how much snow we got. It's kind of depressing to be talking about snow when I don't see any on our horizon. 43.3/42. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 BOX talking wintry mix Sunday night /Monday while everyone else talking torch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScituateWX Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 Saw today where Harvey Leonard will be giving his thoughts on the coming winter tonight during the Six o'clock news. Should be intresting to see what his thoughts are! I believe Burbank will be putting somthing out around Turkey day he mentioned on his news cast last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 10:24 PM, moneypitmike said: I believe we remained snow the entire time. I wish I had my old signature so I could see how much snow we got. It's kind of depressing to be talking about snow when I don't see any on our horizon. 43.3/42. Everyone in SNE changed to rain eventually in that one. Even if it was a cold 34F rain. But we all got good snow (except right on the water where a CF developed) before that happened and then the cold front came through so we gained snow pack. This was the analysis for that afternoon on Dec 9, 2009....you can see how we warmed plenty by then int he mid-levels so snow was no longer supported. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 10:29 PM, CT Blizz said: BOX talking wintry mix Sunday night /Monday while everyone else talking torch? The overrunning stuff could get in here as a brief period of mix before we go mild latter Monday and Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 10:36 PM, ORH_wxman said: The overrunning stuff could get in here as a brief period of mix before we go mild latter Monday and Tuesday. Wonder if the whole cold press is so strong the whole thing just ends up cold and frozen ending as drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 Quick shot of snow for T-Day on the 18z gfs?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 10:36 PM, ORH_wxman said: The overrunning stuff could get in here as a brief period of mix before we go mild latter Monday and Tuesday. Certainly not anything to keep me up past bedtime to see new model runs! Thanks for posting the stuff on the even last year. My memory's going in my old age. Was that our second event of substance that year? I recall a good snow on a Friday night which I think would have been prior to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 10:35 PM, ORH_wxman said: Everyone in SNE changed to rain eventually in that one. Even if it was a cold 34F rain. But we all got good snow (except right on the water where a CF developed) before that happened and then the cold front came through so we gained snow pack. This was the analysis for that afternoon on Dec 9, 2009....you can see how we warmed plenty by then int he mid-levels so snow was no longer supported. No rain in Plymouth, NH. Just mixed with a little sleet. That was a decent storm for me. I think we ended up around 8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 10:48 PM, moneypitmike said: Certainly not anything to keep me up past bedtime to see new model runs! Thanks for posting the stuff on the even last year. My memory's going in my old age. Was that our second only event of substance that year? I recall a good snow on a Friday night which I think would have been prior to that. fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 10:45 PM, CT Blizz said: Wonder if the whole cold press is so strong the whole thing just ends up cold and frozen ending as drizzle I'll bet you one day next week..either Tuesday or Wednesday (maybe Wednesday) BDL gets into the lower 60's...at least. I'll bet you a shot...if I win you have to get me two shots at the g2g...lemon drips. If you win I'll get you a beer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 On 11/15/2010 at 10:47 PM, CoastalWx said: Quick shot of snow for T-Day on the 18z gfs?? Yeah looks like a vintage '07-'08 event...sleet bomb for Kevin though while you rip dendrites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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