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GL/MW/OV January 2011 Disco Part II


Chicago Storm

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Looks like we might get an inch or two off the lake tomorrow. Almost all our significant snows have come off the lakes this winter :snowman:

Models I've looked at aren't really showing it but that didn't stop last Monday's event from really rocking, at least for south Etobicoke/Mississauga. The fact that EC's mentioning it makes me think something's showing up on their in-house hi resolution models.

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EC rarely if ever hypes E wind events, probably because they've been burned in the past. Issuing an SPS with wording like this is as ostentatious as they'll get:

WOCN11 CWTO 232102

Special weather statement

Issued by Environment Canada Ontario region. 4:02 PM EST Sunday

23 January 2011.

Special weather statement issued for..

City of Toronto

Halton - Peel

York - Durham

Belleville - Quinte - Northumberland.

Special weather statement ended for..

Sarnia - Lambton

Waterloo - Wellington.

North to northwest winds will continue to diminish this evening.

Therefore, wind chill values are expected to moderate in the next few

hours. However, very cold temperatures will stay around tonight into

Monday morning. The mercury is expected to moderate significantly

To near normal for the beginning of the work week.

On another note, lake effect flurries are expected to develop Monday

morning into early afternoon around the north shore of the Golden

Horseshoe area. These areas include Halton-Peel, Toronto,

York-Durham and Western Northumberland. Flurries at times heavy are

expected to move across the above mentioned areas with local snow

amounts of around 5 cm. Higher amounts are also possible if the

Lake effect bands move more slowly across the area. Visibilities may

reduce to near zero at times in heavy flurries.

Another Alberta clipper is expected to sweep across Southern Ontario

Monday afternoon into Tuesday, along with 2 to 5 cm of snow.

Environment Canada is closely monitoring this situation and may issue

warnings as necessary.

Listen for further statements. Additional information may also be

found by consulting the latest public forecast. The next public

forecast will be issued by 5 AM.

END/OSPC

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The Detroit River used to freeze every winter like the St. Clair River, didn't it?

I know WAY back in the old days it did, but with current and ice breakers in modern times, never happens anymore. Whats interesting, is no matter how mild or cold the winter is (because a mild winter in MI still gives ice), the River generally has the same appearance (one day partially or mostly open water, the next day blockades of ice flows). The difference is the regular ponds and lakes, which in mild winters the ice is clearly unsafe and there are warnings by public officials not to use, this winter the ice is so thick everywhere that ice skating, fishing, etc is pretty much a go anywhere.

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Not sure why. There's pretty good model agreement on about .1 qpf for us.

DTX said it will be the grainy snow, so im thinking 10-12:1 ratios, but still thats 1-2" for you probably, 1" for here Id guess. Anything to freshen up the pack as our february awaits :scooter:. A few days near freezing this week (Tue/Sat) so any additional snow is always welcomed. Not that wed lose it all of course, not this glacier, just saying, always welcome all snow!

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EC rarely if ever hypes E wind events, probably because they've been burned in the past. Issuing an SPS with wording like this is as ostentatious as they'll get:

This January has been a parade of underperforming clippers and overperforming LES events.

The east wind events are fickle and hard to put a finger on (except pure East into Hamilton with duration)

The surprise one a couple of weekends ago that left 6 inches was one of the best i have seen in over 30 years of seriously paying attention to this stuff.:bike:

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This January has been a parade of underperforming clippers and overperforming LES events.

The east wind events are fickle and hard to put a finger on (except pure East into Hamilton with duration)

The surprise one a couple of weekends ago that left 6 inches was one of the best i have seen in over 30 years of seriously paying attention to this stuff.:bike:

I agree. In the 12 years I've been seriously paying attention to the weather, the Jan 8th event was by far the most impressive pure LES I've ever seen, in terms of amounts and in terms its meteorological structure. There been some notable synoptic/LES tandem storms (Jan 2-3, 1999, Jan 14-15, 1999, Jan 26-27, 2004, Dec 15-16, 2007, and I could name a few more) which dropped more snow, but weren't as unique and exciting.

addendum: Meh, Jan 2-3, 1999 was probably more exciting :pimp:

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