WestMichigan Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Forecasting this stuff here where i am i do admit is a bit of a challenge considering i am inland a bit and usually on the line. With THIS GRR has never been so hot with. Usually too much or too little. I as well think that like many others the problem is they get caught up in seasonal etc trends which is never a good thing when you let it overwhelm your reasoning/calls. See it here all the time and thus note those who who think every storm is gonna do the same thing. Some very nice lake effect set up this morning. At times maybe 1/4 mile visibility. Looks like it is winding down now. Had a pretty uniform 3 1/2" - 4" in open areas with some decent drifting. At least another inch maybe a little more has fallen today. Looking forward to a little more tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Gino's thoughts on the patern: THE NEXT WEEK OR SO IS SHAPING UP TO BE FAIRLY UNEVENTFUL WITH BELOW AVERAGE TEMPS AND PRECIP LIKELY TO CONTINUE...THOUGH LESS BONE CHILLINGLY COLD THAN THIS MORNINGS TEMPS. return to the good old winters of the mid 90's cold and dry..while watching the EC boys get laced Thats the way it was in the mid 90's very frustrating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Cmichweather, you out there in Grand Forks? It's currently -12F with moderate snow and a wind chill of -39F...gotta love it! At least the wind is out of the south. Grand Forks International Airport Lat: 47.96 Lon: -97.18 Elev: 839 Last Update on Jan 21, 9:53 am CST Snow Blowing Snow and Breezy -12 °F Humidity:81 % Wind Speed:S 22 G 28 MPH Barometer:29.89" (1015.7 mb) Dewpoint:-16 °F (-27 °C) Wind Chill:-39 °F (-39 °C) Visibility:0.50 mi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 deep DGZ's showing up on both the NAM and GFS fcst soundings for here during the overnight hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Cmichweather, you out there in Grand Forks? It's currently -12F with moderate snow and a wind chill of -39F...gotta love it! At least the wind is out of the south. Grand Forks International Airport Lat: 47.96 Lon: -97.18 Elev: 839 Last Update on Jan 21, 9:53 am CST Snow Blowing Snow and Breezy -12 °F Humidity:81 % Wind Speed:S 22 G 28 MPH Barometer:29.89" (1015.7 mb) Dewpoint:-16 °F (-27 °C) Wind Chill:-39 °F (-39 °C) Visibility:0.50 mi. that would be fun KGFK 211553Z 17019G24KT 1/2SM SN BLSN FEW004 BKN023 OVC036 M24/M27 A2989 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 nice temp gradient in the northern plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Got to love the extended GFS ... brutal stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Lots of fun to go around: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Mallows dreams of an epic winter going up in smoke Who would have thunk both Milwaukee and Milwaukie, OR would be struggling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Here's a positive update to a story I posted last year involving a South Bend WSBT tv met. A major update today concerning the case against WSBT Chief Meteorologist Rick Mecklenburg. The St. Joseph County Prosecutor has dismissed all charges against Mecklenburg. He was arrested Nov. 30 and later charged with two counts of false informing after he reported police hit his car, and he was being shot at. South Bend police said there was no evidence either of those was true. In exchange for the charges being dismissed, Mecklenburg has agreed to pay court costs, complete an approved counseling assessment, and not commit any criminal offense for the next year. One inch of LES here at Elkhart Dunlap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 With this cold shot and the way the remainder of the month looks, I think it's pretty likely we'll finish the month on the negative side. We'll only have to put up about +7 in February to break even for meteorological winter. [/sarcasm] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 At least the pattern is active with no torches in sight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 Clouds thickening up some here. Looks like most of the models give us around 0.05" of precip tonight. With very high snow to water ratios we'll probably pick up another inch or so of feathers, much like the other day. The quality of the snow isn't all that great, but it's still kind of nice to look out and see it snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 I've decided to bike to Florida to escape winter. Wish me luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 21, 2011 Share Posted January 21, 2011 alot of -SN reports in IA with no returns on radar, I remember this happening during an event back in january 09' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 From the University of Waterloo: A very cold Sunday forecasted Environment Canada is forecasting a high of only -17 C on Sunday. If this were to happen it would be the coldest high temperature for any day since January 19th, 1994 when the high was a very frigid -21.3 C. TWN has the wind chill at -27C/-17F for Sunday, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 1888 it was -42F here... brrr...makes the -19F seem warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Have only had 5 completely dry days so far this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 How many days has DTW had 3"+ on the ground now...seems like its been a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 How many days has DTW had 3"+ on the ground now...seems like its been a while. 3"+ snowcover at DTW this winter has been Dec 13th-30th then Jan 12th to present. ****** Tried to capture that cold, arctic look the mornings sunshine brought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 snow is really starting to break out across the DVN area and into northwest IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 1000th post going to be of the 0z DVN radiosonde balloon sounding showing the DGZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Had some good snow come through (not much accumulation, but it came down pretty good)...stuck at 2F... My mom got me a ghetto weather station at Goodwill for $4.99... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 from LOT: NUISANCE EVENT BUT WITH ENOUGH LOWER AND MID LEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION AND RESULTING LIFT OCCURRING AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROF TO LIKELY LEAVE BEHIND AT LEAST A TENTH OF AND INCH SF AND A HUNDREDTH LIQUID EQUIVALENT........................................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 22, 2011 Author Share Posted January 22, 2011 Friday, January 21st: Hi: 9F Lo: -4F Overall Sky Conditions: Partly Cloudy. Max Wind Gust: 15MPH Rainfall: Trace Snowfall: Trace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Been snowing here for the last few hours. Did have a period of pretty decent snowfall, with nice fluffy flakes. Probably picked up a half inch of powder so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 22, 2011 Author Share Posted January 22, 2011 -SN here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I think the January 25-27 1978 analog needs to be considered majorly for the January 29-31 period. Phffttt, a couple of changes to that 168-192 and we are there!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I think the January 25-27 1978 analog needs to be considered majorly for the January 29-31 period. Phffttt, a couple of changes to that 168-192 and we are there!!!! Wow, now that is what I call crazy talk. The great blizzard, The Cleveland Bomb, The worst snowstorm in Ohio's history? That's some analog you're wanting to throw out there. Might wanna post something to back a statement like that up if you're gonna throw out 78' as an analog, crazy man lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 You know the interesting thing when looking at the ensemble mean for the GFS all the way to 384, is that we stay in a trough the entire time, I don't if I have ever seen something like that before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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